Regina vs Calgary Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 02:00

Final 70-86

14-28 17-20 16-21 23-17

Position#29

Record6-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game83.5

Regina

Calgary 🏆

Position#5

Record11-3

FormLWWWL

Points / game90.9

Allowed / game75.9

U Sports

Other2016-17

Meetings · Regina v Calgary

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regina winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Calgary winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Regina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trinity Western

#44

107-74

107

+33

A26/11

U Sports

Trinity Western

#44

100-94

100

A27/11

U Sports

Saskatchewan

#10

53-77

-24

H03/12

U Sports

Saskatchewan

#10

83-74

H04/12

U Sports

UBC Okanagan

#46

83-79

A07/01

U Sports

UBC Okanagan

#46

70-79

-9

A08/01

U Sports

Manitoba

#15

81-93

-12

H14/01

U Sports

Manitoba

#15

75-84

-9

H15/01

U Sports

Brandon

#25

91-95

-4

A21/01

U Sports

Brandon

#25

85-95

-10

A22/01

U Sports

22-12

32-12

30-22

23-28

19-27

29-19

25-26

27-22

11-19

10-15

21-23

11-20

21-19

19-17

20-17

23-21

10-15

21-17

27-22

25-25

11-24

16-15

18-15

25-25

20-14

11-27

18-25

32-27

17-15

11-18

16-28

31-23

27-20

15-20

24-32

25-23

20-22

10-16

27-34

28-23

167.2Avg total

82.8Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	82.4	83.5	165.9	-1.1	43%
Season at home (6)	74.3	80.0	154.3	-5.7	33%
Season away (8)	88.5	86.1	174.6	+2.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	84.4	167.2	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	89.2	169.6	-8.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.3	86.3	160.7	-12.0	33%
vs Similar (8)	78.4	83.5	161.9	-5.1	25%
vs Weaker (16)	84.0	77.1	161.1	+6.9	62%

This opponent (Calgary) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Calgary

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lethbridge

#13

95-71

+24

A25/11

U Sports

Lethbridge

#13

91-59

+32

H27/11

U Sports

Mount Royal

#31

87-83

A02/12

U Sports

Mount Royal

#31

109-92

109

+17

H04/12

U Sports

Alberta

69-60

A06/01

U Sports

Alberta

80-81

-1

H08/01

U Sports

UFV

#19

106-68

106

+38

H13/01

U Sports

UFV

#19

92-87

H14/01

U Sports

Saskatchewan

#10

82-69

+13

H21/01

U Sports

Saskatchewan

#10

81-83

-2

H22/01

U Sports

10-7

28-24

31-25

26-15

13-13

22-20

26-11

30-15

18-16

20-27

23-19

26-21

23-17

34-25

24-24

28-26

14-12

19-17

18-11

18-20

22-21

25-23

19-16

14-21

24-13

19-24

31-19

32-12

16-20

32-27

18-15

26-25

20-14

25-23

20-15

17-17

13-24

18-23

20-23

30-13

164.5Avg total

89.2Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	90.9	75.9	166.8	+15.1	79%
Season at home (9)	91.6	77.9	169.4	+13.7	67%
Season away (5)	89.8	72.2	162.0	+17.6	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	75.3	164.5	+13.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	77.6	165.8	+10.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	79.0	101.0	180.0	-22.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	87.0	79.1	166.1	+7.9	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	92.0	75.8	167.9	+16.2	91%

This opponent (Regina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ReginaCalgary

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	18.4	38.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.6	39.3	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	18.8	39.1	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	15.7	33.0	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	26.0	40.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.4	17.3	37.7	+3.1	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.1	36.3	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.6	35.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.6	19.2	31.8	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.8	22.1	36.9	-7.4	0%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.6	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.7	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	23.3	47.5	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.0	47.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.0	18.3	42.3	+5.7	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	73%	-

ReginaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trinity Western

#44

54-24

+30

A26/11

U Sports

Trinity Western

#44

48-46

A27/11

U Sports

Saskatchewan

#10

21-34

-13

H03/12

U Sports

Saskatchewan

#10

40-36

H04/12

U Sports

UBC Okanagan

#46

31-32

-1

A07/01

U Sports

UBC Okanagan

#46

27-39

-12

A08/01

U Sports

Manitoba

#15

31-41

-10

H14/01

U Sports

Manitoba

#15

28-33

-5

H15/01

U Sports

Brandon

#25

42-40

A21/01

U Sports

Brandon

#25

30-38

-8

A22/01

U Sports

71.5Avg total

35.2Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	38.1	76.4	+0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	35.5	74.9	+3.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.3	40.4	77.7	-3.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	36.3	71.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	38.2	69.8	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.8	40.8	77.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.1	40.9	76.0	-5.8	12%	-
vs Weaker (16)	40.4	35.7	76.1	+4.8	50%	-

This opponent (Calgary) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CalgaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lethbridge

#13

38-31

A25/11

U Sports

Lethbridge

#13

35-33

H27/11

U Sports

Mount Royal

#31

38-43

-5

A02/12

U Sports

Mount Royal

#31

57-42

+15

H04/12

U Sports

Alberta

33-29

A06/01

U Sports

Alberta

47-44

H08/01

U Sports

UFV

#19

43-37

H13/01

U Sports

UFV

#19

48-47

H14/01

U Sports

Saskatchewan

#10

45-37

H21/01

U Sports

Saskatchewan

#10

31-47

-16

H22/01

U Sports

80.5Avg total

41.5Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	37.7	80.6	+5.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.9	38.2	81.2	+4.7	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.7	37.0	79.7	+5.7	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.0	80.5	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	42.4	85.2	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	32.0	48.0	80.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.4	35.6	80.0	+8.9	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.8	38.0	80.8	+4.9	73%	-

This opponent (Regina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.1	42.4	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	24.4	47.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	26.8	47.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.2	22.7	40.8	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.0	42.0	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	19.2	41.7	+3.2	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.8	40.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	20.9	41.7	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.7	18.2	41.9	+5.5	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.6	40.8	+1.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	23.2	46.4	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	23.7	48.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	24.2	52.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	22.8	42.2	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.6	21.1	43.6	+1.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	20.7	45.3	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.5	20.3	44.8	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	24.6	21.3	45.9	+3.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	18.5	43.2	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	30.0	53.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.7	22.7	44.4	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	25.5	19.7	45.2	+5.8	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	42.6	84.8	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	39.4	80.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.4	45.4	88.8	-2.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	48.1	95.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	51.0	99.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.5	45.5	83.0	-8.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.2	42.6	85.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.6	41.4	85.0	+2.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.6	39.7	87.3	+7.9	83%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	46.9	39.6	86.5	+7.4	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	48.6	39.9	88.5	+8.7	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	36.3	84.0	+11.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	35.2	80.6	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	53.0	100.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.6	43.6	86.1	-1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	49.2	37.9	87.1	+11.4	95%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Regina wins

Calgary wins

Date	Game	Score
13/02/16	Calgary v Regina	95-79
12/02/16	Calgary v Regina	115-91
16/11/14	Regina v Calgary	62-70
15/11/14	Regina v Calgary	85-76

Reginalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/17	A	Brandon	85-95
21/01/17	A	Brandon	91-95
15/01/17	H	Manitoba	75-84
14/01/17	H	Manitoba	81-93
08/01/17	A	UBC Okanagan	70-79
07/01/17	A	UBC Okanagan	83-79
04/12/16	H	Saskatchewan	83-74
03/12/16	H	Saskatchewan	53-77
27/11/16	A	Trinity Western	100-94
26/11/16	A	Trinity Western	107-74

Calgarylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/17	H	Saskatchewan	81-83
21/01/17	H	Saskatchewan	82-69
14/01/17	H	UFV	92-87
13/01/17	H	UFV	106-68
08/01/17	H	Alberta	80-81
06/01/17	A	Alberta	69-60
04/12/16	H	Mount Royal	109-92
02/12/16	A	Mount Royal	87-83
27/11/16	H	Lethbridge	91-59
25/11/16	A	Lethbridge	95-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regina

U Sports 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	43%
Home	WLWLL	33%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	6	8
Win %	43%	33%	50%
Points / game	82.4	74.3	88.5
Allowed / game	83.5	80.0	86.1
Point differential	-1.1	-5.7	+2.4
Avg total	165.9	154.3	174.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	17%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Calgary

U Sports 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	79%
Home	LWWWL	67%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	9	5
Win %	79%	67%	100%
Points / game	90.9	91.6	89.8
Allowed / game	75.9	77.9	72.2
Point differential	+15.1	+13.7	+17.6
Avg total	166.8	169.4	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	56%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	25% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	13	13	0	100%	92.5	60.0	+32.5
2	TMU	14	13	1	93%	91.3	66.4	+24.9
3	UBC	14	13	1	93%	87.6	72.2	+15.4
4	University of Ottawa	13	12	1	92%	80.9	62.0	+18.9
5	Calgary	14	11	3	79%	90.9	75.9	+15.1
6	Alberta	16	12	4	75%	82.1	72.6	+9.4
7	McGill	10	7	3	70%	71.2	61.2	+10.0
8	Dalhousie	13	9	4	69%	81.1	71.8	+9.3
9	Brock	13	9	4	69%	73.5	72.7	+0.8
10	Saskatchewan	14	9	5	64%	79.8	72.9	+6.9
11	Winnipeg	14	9	5	64%	82.1	76.6	+5.5
12	Saint Marys	14	9	5	64%	84.6	79.6	+5.0
13	Memorial	14	9	5	64%	84.1	82.3	+1.8
14	Lethbridge	16	10	6	62%	79.5	78.1	+1.4
15	UNB	13	8	5	62%	85.8	81.0	+4.8
16	Toronto	13	8	5	62%	79.2	77.2	+2.0
17	Manitoba	14	8	6	57%	86.0	80.0	+6.0
18	Concordia	9	5	4	56%	66.9	67.6	-0.7
19	UQAM	11	6	5	55%	70.7	74.0	-3.3
20	StFX	13	7	6	54%	88.5	85.7	+2.8
21	Windsor	15	8	7	53%	77.9	79.2	-1.3
22	Acadia	12	6	6	50%	86.0	83.6	+2.4
23	Mount Royal	14	7	7	50%	81.9	80.4	+1.5
24	McMaster	14	7	7	50%	76.6	75.6	+1.1
25	Thompson Rivers	14	7	7	50%	74.1	79.5	-5.4
26	Laurier	15	7	8	47%	71.7	79.3	-7.5
27	Queens	13	6	7	46%	76.3	78.2	-1.8
28	Laval	9	4	5	44%	65.7	66.2	-0.6
29	Brandon	16	7	9	44%	77.8	82.4	-4.6
30	Regina	14	6	8	43%	82.4	83.5	-1.1
31	UFV	14	6	8	43%	75.8	80.2	-4.4
32	Nipissing	14	6	8	43%	69.6	77.1	-7.5
33	Victoria	14	5	9	36%	75.8	79.1	-3.4
34	Laurentian	14	5	9	36%	74.1	81.8	-7.7
35	UPEI	12	4	8	33%	84.5	89.8	-5.2
36	Guelph	13	4	9	31%	75.5	81.1	-5.5
37	York	13	4	9	31%	70.7	76.8	-6.1
38	MacEwan	14	4	10	29%	78.6	84.1	-5.5
39	UNBC	14	4	10	29%	71.0	79.1	-8.1
40	Algoma	14	4	10	29%	66.5	80.4	-13.9
41	Western	13	3	10	23%	72.2	78.9	-6.7
42	Lakehead	13	3	10	23%	66.3	74.5	-8.2
43	Waterloo	13	3	10	23%	70.6	83.1	-12.5
44	Bishop's	9	2	7	22%	68.8	74.7	-5.9
45	UBC Okanagan	14	2	12	14%	66.9	81.4	-14.6
46	Trinity Western	14	2	12	14%	78.9	93.9	-15.0
47	Cape Breton	13	0	13	0%	72.5	94.1	-21.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Regina	14	17	16	23	70
Calgary	28	20	21	17	86

← all games of the day

Regina vs Calgary Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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