Rhode Island hosts Holy Cross on 3 November 2026 in the NCAA, with Pythia designating the Rams as the clear favourite thanks to a 77% chance of victory and a projected 74-66 win that reflects their superior season performance. Rhode Island has won 1 of their last 5 outings, losing 4, with recent losses to Duquesne 61-67 and Fordham 49-61, and a home win over Duquesne 64-52, while Holy Cross has won 2 of their last 5, falling to Lehigh 66-69 and Loyola Maryland 62-76, but beating Lafayette 82-77. In the single meeting between the clubs, Rhode Island prevailed 91-77 on 8 November 2024. Pythia projects a total of 140.4 points with a 21% probability that Rhode Island covers the home line of -17.5, and a 29% chance the game will exceed the 149.5 total. The overtime probability sits at 4%. The Rams' projected 74 points versus the Crusaders' 66 suggests a decisive margin, and the last meeting's 91-77 score confirms Rhode Island's recent dominance.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rhode Island winWon
77.1%fair 1.30
Best odds1.03
Implied93.6%
Edge-16.6pp
Holy Cross winLost
22.9%fair 4.36
Best odds18.00
Implied6.4%
Edge+16.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Rhode Island total 84 · main lineActual: Rhode Island over 84
Over 84
16.0%
@ 1.85-34.3pp
Under 84
84.0%
@ 1.87+34.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Rhode Island total 88Actual: Rhode Island over 88
Over 88
8.1%
Under 88
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holy Cross total 59.5Actual: Holy Cross under 59.5
Over 59.5
73.5%
@ 1.22-2.7pp
Under 59.5
26.5%
@ 3.90+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.90
Holy Cross total 63.5 · main lineActual: Holy Cross under 63.5
Over 63.5
59.2%
@ 1.91+9.3pp
Under 63.5
40.8%
@ 2.22-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.53
Under
Betano
2.22
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
WilliamHill
1.80
Holy Cross total 67.5Actual: Holy Cross under 67.5
Over 67.5
43.7%
@ 2.07+0.1pp
Under 67.5
56.3%
@ 1.60-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.60
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Rhode Island -23.5Actual: Rhode Island -23.5
RHOD -23.5
9.5%
@ 3.05-21.3pp
HOLY +23.5
90.5%
@ 1.34+21.3pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.95
HOLY
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.34
Spread Rhode Island -20.5 · main lineActual: Rhode Island -20.5
RHOD -20.5
14.4%
@ 2.30-35.6pp
HOLY +20.5
85.6%
@ 1.91+35.6pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
2.30
SBO
1.92
Marathon Be
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.85
HOLY
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
SBO
1.82
Spread Rhode Island -17.5Actual: Rhode Island -17.5
RHOD -17.5
20.9%
@ 1.90-29.1pp
HOLY +17.5
79.1%
@ 1.93+29.1pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
HOLY
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Rhode IslandHoly Cross
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Rhode IslandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Rhode Island win
RHOD win
no forecast
@ 1.16
HOLY win
no forecast
@ 5.30
2nd half Spread Rhode Island -7.5 · main lineActual: Rhode Island -7.5
RHOD -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
HOLY +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Rhode Island 2nd half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Rhode Island over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Holy Cross 2nd half total 34.5 · main lineActual: Holy Cross under 34.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Spread Rhode Island -8.5Actual: Rhode Island -8.5
RHOD -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
HOLY +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
2nd half Spread Rhode Island -9.5Actual: Rhode Island -9.5
RHOD -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
HOLY +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Rhode Island (regulation)
RHOD
no forecast
@ 1.18
Draw
no forecast
@ 24.00
HOLY
no forecast
@ 5.20
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Holy Cross +18.5
81.4%
1.88
Pinnacle
2.29
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.74
Bet365
1.74
+40.0pp
Lost
Holy Cross +19
83.3%
1.93
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathon Bet
1.92
Bet365
1.68
-
-
+39.8pp
Lost
Holy Cross +19.5
83.6%
1.90
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.00
SBO
2.00
Betano
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.87
+38.3pp
Lost
Holy Cross +20
85.3%
1.84
Pinnacle
2.00
SBO
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.86
Bet365
1.58
-
+37.8pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 85
86.4%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+36.4pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 80.5
73.0%
2.49
1xBet
2.62
Betano
2.35
-
-
-
+36.0pp
Lost
Holy Cross +20.5
85.6%
1.81
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
SBO
1.82
+35.6pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 81.5
76.2%
2.25
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.12
-
-
-
+35.3pp
Lost
Holy Cross +21
87.2%
1.70
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.76
SBO
1.74
Bet365
1.50
-
+34.7pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 84.5
84.4%
1.86
Betano
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
-
+34.4pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 84
84.0%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+34.3pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 82.5
79.2%
2.00
Betano
2.00
-
-
-
-
+32.9pp
Lost
Holy Cross +21.5
87.4%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.70
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
+32.7pp
Lost
Holy Cross +22
88.8%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
+32.2pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 83
81.4%
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87
-
-
-
-
+31.9pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 83.5
81.9%
1.86
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
+31.9pp
Lost
Holy Cross +15
73.0%
2.22
Bet365
2.22
-
-
-
-
+31.4pp
Lost
Holy Cross +16
75.8%
2.05
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
-
+30.8pp
Lost
Holy Cross +14.5
70.8%
2.30
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.30
-
-
-
+30.7pp
Lost
Holy Cross +22.5
89.0%
1.47
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
+30.5pp
Lost
Holy Cross +16.5
76.5%
2.02
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
-
-
-
+30.4pp
Lost
Holy Cross +15.5
73.8%
2.12
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.12
-
-
-
+30.3pp
Lost
Holy Cross +17
78.5%
1.93
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.91
-
-
-
+30.3pp
Lost
Holy Cross +18
81.0%
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.80
-
-
-
+29.3pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 85.5
86.7%
1.57
Betano
1.57
-
-
-
-
+29.2pp
Lost
Holy Cross +17.5
79.1%
1.88
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
+29.1pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 86.5
88.7%
1.50
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+27.5pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 87.5
90.5%
1.42
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+26.0pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 88.5
92.1%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+24.1pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 89.5
93.4%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+22.3pp
Lost
Holy Cross +23
90.3%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+21.4pp
Lost
Holy Cross +23.5
90.5%
1.34
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Lost
Rhode Island under 90.5
94.6%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+20.9pp
Lost
Holy Cross +24
91.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Lost
Under 151
74.9%
1.67
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.67
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Lost
Holy Cross +24.5
91.7%
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+19.9pp
Lost
Under 150.5
73.5%
1.73
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.74
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.63
-
+19.9pp
Lost
Under 151.5
75.4%
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66
-
-
+19.9pp
Lost
Under 152
76.8%
1.63
Marathon Bet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
+19.8pp
Lost
Under 152.5
77.3%
1.59
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
+19.2pp
Lost
Under 153
78.6%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Lost
Under 153.5
79.0%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+18.4pp
Lost
Under 149
70.8%
1.80
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.67
-
-
+18.2pp
Lost
Holy Cross +25
92.8%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Lost
Under 150
72.9%
1.73
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
-
-
+17.9pp
Lost
Under 154
80.4%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Lost
Under 149.5
71.5%
1.80
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
+17.6pp
Lost
Under 154.5
80.7%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+17.4pp
Lost
Under 155
82.0%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Lost
Under 155.5
82.3%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+16.8pp
Lost
Under 156
83.5%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Lost
Under 156.5
83.8%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+15.8pp
Lost
Under 157
85.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Lost
Under 157.5
85.2%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Lost
Under 159.5
87.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.6pp
Lost
Under 164.5
92.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Under 169.5
95.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Under 174.5
97.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
Holy Cross over 60.5
70.1%
1.40
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Lost
Holy Cross over 57.5
79.6%
1.19
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Holy Cross under 71.5
70.8%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Holy Cross over 55.5
84.7%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Holy Cross over 59.5
73.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.7pp
Lost
Holy Cross under 72.5
73.9%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
-7.5pp
Won
Over 124.5
83.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.5pp
Won
Rhode Island over 64.5
83.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-9.9pp
Won
Rhode Island +2.5
81.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-10.4pp
Won
Rhode Island (regulation)
74.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Marathon Bet
1.03
-
-
-
-13.0pp
Won
Rhode Island over 66.5
78.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-13.1pp
Won
Over 129.5
74.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-15.2pp
Won
Rhode Island win
77.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
WilliamHill
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathon Bet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-16.6pp
Won
Rhode Island over 68.5
72.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-18.0pp
Won
Rhode Island -2.5
71.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-18.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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