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Rhode Island vs Monmouth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 78-64
Projected total 141.8
Final 84-66
36-22 48-44
Position#53
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game59.0
Vs
89%
■ RHOD 89%■ MONM 11%
Pythia win probability
Position#365
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game52.0
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Rhode Island faces Monmouth on 7 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model clearly favouring the Providence side at 89% versus 11% for Monmouth, a result driven by Rhode Island's 1-0 record, 103.0 points per game and 59.0 allowed per game, placing them 34th in the league, while Monmouth sits 360th with 52.0 points per game and 81.5 allowed per game across two losses; Rhode Island's lone home game saw a 103-59 win over Holy Cross, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, whereas Monmouth's road record is 0-2 with recent defeats to Bradley, St. John's (N.Y.) and Hofstra; the teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available; Pythia projects a 78-64 score for Rhode Island, a total of 141.8 points, with a -6.0 line that the home side covers 78% of the time, and an over on the 146.0 total that will go 39% of the time, while the chance of overtime is 2%. The game will hinge on Rhode Island's defensive dominance and Monmouth's struggle to contain high-scoring opponents.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rhode Island winWon
89.5%fair 1.12
Best odds1.37
Implied70.7%
Edge+18.8pp
Monmouth winLost
10.5%fair 9.48
Best odds3.28
Implied29.3%
Edge-18.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rhode IslandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
H14/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#404
W
103-59
103
59
+44
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
18-34
52-41
31-24
32-39
43-37
38-39
25-39
21-20
30-39
46-55
27-30
28-31
19-24
45-28
28-25
21-36
28-35
33-32
58-27
45-32
134.5Avg total
67.1Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)103.059.0162.0+44.0100%
Season at home (1)103.059.0162.0+44.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.167.4134.5-0.330%
Last 5 (5)66.460.0126.4+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.472.0143.4-0.643%
vs Similar (17)69.268.0137.2+1.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)70.863.3134.2+7.550%
This opponent (Monmouth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonmouthUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#17
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A20/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H27/02
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A10/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#113
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A02/11
NCAA
Bradley
#186
L
41-85
41
85
-44
A03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
38-43
35-39
28-35
49-35
33-34
34-28
39-29
52-42
37-41
32-33
33-24
30-24
44-40
32-35
37-40
29-45
34-33
19-37
22-48
140.9Avg total
68.8Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)52.081.5133.5-29.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)52.081.5133.5-29.50%
Last 10 (10)68.872.1140.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)62.471.8134.2-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)60.075.8135.8-15.80%
vs Similar (18)72.468.9141.3+3.561%
vs Weaker (6)78.573.8152.3+4.783%
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 140Actual: Over 140
Over 140
54.3%
@ 1.43-10.6pp
Under 140
45.7%
@ 2.65+10.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.43
Under
Bet365
2.65
Over/Under 145 · main lineActual: Over 145
Over 145
41.8%
@ 1.89-8.7pp
Under 145
58.2%
@ 1.95+8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.86
Over/Under 150Push
Over 150
30.1%
@ 2.50-7.4pp
Under 150
69.9%
@ 1.50+7.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Rhode Island total 71.5Actual: Rhode Island over 71.5
Over 71.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
Under 71.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.60
Rhode Island total 76 · main lineActual: Rhode Island over 76
Over 76
58.8%
@ 1.88+8.8pp
Under 76
41.2%
@ 1.86-8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
Rhode Island total 80Actual: Rhode Island over 80
Over 80
42.1%
Under 80
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monmouth total 66Push
Over 66
40.3%
Under 66
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monmouth total 70 · main lineActual: Monmouth under 70
Over 70
25.7%
@ 1.87-23.8pp
Under 70
74.3%
@ 1.83+23.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Monmouth total 74Actual: Monmouth under 74
Over 74
14.7%
Under 74
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rhode Island -9.5Actual: Rhode Island -9.5
RHOD -9.5
66.8%
@ 2.50+28.8pp
MONM +9.5
33.2%
@ 1.50-28.8pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.40
MONM
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Spread Rhode Island -6.5 · main lineActual: Rhode Island -6.5
RHOD -6.5
76.1%
@ 1.95+26.7pp
MONM +6.5
23.9%
@ 1.90-26.7pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
SBO
1.92
1xBet
1.91
MONM
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.82
Marathon Be
1.80
Spread Rhode Island -3.5Actual: Rhode Island -3.5
RHOD -3.5
83.9%
@ 1.60+25.4pp
MONM +3.5
16.1%
@ 2.25-25.4pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.55
MONM
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.20

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -2.2-2.2
Rhode IslandMonmouth
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Rhode IslandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H14/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#404
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H04/11
NCAA
62.1Avg total
30.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)32.533.365.8-0.833%37%
Last 30 at home (15)34.532.266.7+2.340%40%
Last 30 away (15)30.634.465.0-3.827%33%
Last 10 (10)30.731.462.1-0.740%30%
Last 5 (5)32.028.260.2+3.840%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.336.969.1-4.614%57%
vs Similar (17)31.131.662.7-0.541%24%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.834.070.8+2.833%50%
This opponent (Monmouth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonmouthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#17
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#182
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H27/02
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A04/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H09/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A10/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#113
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A02/11
NCAA
Bradley
#186
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A03/11
NCAA
69.7Avg total
34.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 68.5
Last 30 (30)34.233.667.8+0.657%40%
Last 30 at home (14)33.433.566.9-0.157%36%
Last 30 away (16)34.933.768.6+1.256%44%
Last 10 (10)34.335.469.7-1.140%40%
Last 5 (5)28.434.863.2-6.420%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)28.833.862.6-5.020%20%
vs Similar (18)35.332.667.8+2.772%39%
vs Weaker (6)36.334.771.0+1.750%50%
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Rhode Island win
RHOD win
no forecast
@ 1.47
MONM win
no forecast
@ 2.78
1st half Spread Rhode Island -3.5 · main lineActual: Rhode Island -3.5
RHOD -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
MONM +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 68.5 · main lineActual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.98
Under
no forecast
@ 1.92
Rhode Island 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Rhode Island under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Monmouth 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: Monmouth under 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.18
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half: RHOD + total 68.5
RHOD & over
no forecast
@ 2.90
RHOD & under
no forecast
@ 2.90
1st half: Draw + total 68.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 23.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: MONM + total 68.5
MONM & over
no forecast
@ 5.25
MONM & under
no forecast
@ 5.25
1st half Over/Under 67Actual: Under 67
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 70Actual: Under 70
Over
no forecast
@ 2.13
Under
no forecast
@ 1.71
1st half Spread Rhode Island -4.5Actual: Rhode Island -4.5
RHOD -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
MONM +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Rhode Island -2.5Actual: Rhode Island -2.5
RHOD -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
MONM +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Rhode Island -5.5Actual: Rhode Island -5.5
RHOD -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
MONM +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Rhode Island (regulation)
RHOD
no forecast
@ 1.51
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
MONM
no forecast
@ 2.82

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
RHOD win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
MONM win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: RHOD leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Rhode Island -872.3%2.20
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.15
---+29.7ppWon
Rhode Island -8.570.0%2.26
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.22
--+29.4ppWon
Rhode Island -7.573.1%2.10
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.05
--+28.7ppWon
Rhode Island -775.3%2.02
Pinnacle
2.05
SBO
2.00
Bet365
2.00
--+28.6ppWon
Rhode Island -483.5%1.64
Bet365
1.64
----+27.1ppWon
Rhode Island -6.576.1%1.92
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
SBO
1.92
1xBet
1.91
+26.7ppWon
Rhode Island -678.3%1.84
Marathon Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.82
+26.4ppWon
Rhode Island -385.5%1.55
Bet365
1.55
----+25.8ppWon
Rhode Island -3.583.9%1.58
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.55
---+25.4ppWon
Rhode Island -5.578.9%1.78
Marathon Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
SBO
1.74
+25.0ppWon
Rhode Island -581.0%1.73
Marathon Bet
1.74
Bet365
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
-+24.9ppWon
Rhode Island -287.8%1.47
Bet365
1.47
----+24.4ppWon
Rhode Island -2.585.8%1.50
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
---+23.9ppWon
Monmouth under 7074.3%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
---+23.8ppWon
Rhode Island -4.581.5%1.67
Marathon Bet
1.68
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
-+23.6ppWon
Rhode Island (regulation)88.0%1.39
Marathon Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.39
--+23.3ppWon
Rhode Island -1.588.1%1.42
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.40
---+23.1ppWon
Rhode Island -189.3%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+23.0ppWon
Monmouth under 70.575.1%1.76
WilliamHill
1.80
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.72
--+21.2ppWon
Monmouth under 69.571.9%1.86
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
+20.8ppWon
Monmouth under 71.578.1%1.57
Betano
1.57
----+20.6ppWon
Rhode Island +190.4%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+20.3ppWon
Rhode Island +1.590.5%1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.29
---+19.3ppWon
Monmouth under 72.580.8%1.47
Betano
1.47
----+19.3ppWon
Rhode Island win89.5%1.35
Marathon Bet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
WilliamHill
1.36
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+18.8ppWon
Monmouth under 75.587.6%1.31
Betano
1.31
----+18.6ppWon
Monmouth under 73.583.3%1.40
Betano
1.40
----+18.6ppWon
Rhode Island +2.592.0%1.24
Betano
1.24
----+17.7ppWon
Monmouth under 74.585.6%1.33
Betano
1.33
----+17.4ppWon
Under 15478.0%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+7.5ppWon
Overtime: no97.7%1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
---+7.2pp-
Under 15274.1%1.38
Bet365
1.38
----+7.1ppWon
Under 15172.0%1.43
Bet365
1.43
----+7.1ppWon
Under 150.570.6%1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
---+7.0ppWon
Under 153.576.5%1.33
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.31
---+6.9ppWon
Under 154.578.4%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+6.9ppWon
Under 151.572.6%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
---+6.9ppWon
Under 152.574.6%1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35
---+6.5ppWon
Under 15376.1%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+6.1ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rhode Island wins
0
Monmouth wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HHoly Cross103-59
12/03/26ADuquesne61-67
07/03/26AFordham49-61
05/03/26HDuquesne64-52
28/02/26HSaint Josephs Hawks55-61
26/02/26ASt. Bonaventure76-94
21/02/26ALa Salle46-59
18/02/26HSt. Louis Billikens81-76
14/02/26HFordham66-70 OT
11/02/26AGeorge Washington70-75
Monmouthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ABradley41-85
02/11/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)63-78
10/03/26AHofstra69-75
09/03/26HCampbell74-64
08/03/26HDrexel65-57
04/03/26ANortheastern89-83
28/02/26HElon73-57
27/02/26HStony Brook82-69
21/02/26ACharleston63-74
20/02/26ANC Wilmington69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rhode Island
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game59.059.0-
Point differential+44.0+44.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over 145100%100%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Monmouth
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game52.0-52.0
Allowed / game81.5-81.5
Point differential-29.5--29.5
Avg total133.5-133.5
Over 1450%-0%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Washington110100%91.039.0+52.0
2 Rhode Island110100%103.059.0+44.0
3 Richmond Spiders220100%103.561.5+42.0
4 Dayton110100%89.058.0+31.0
5 Loyola Chicago220100%76.552.5+24.0
6 George Mason220100%75.052.5+22.5
7 St. Louis Billikens220100%91.075.5+15.5
8 Davidson110100%76.061.0+15.0
9 Saint Josephs Hawks110100%82.073.0+9.0
10 Duquesne110100%78.071.0+7.0
11 VCU Rams21150%85.080.5+4.5
12 Fordham21150%74.079.0-5.0
13 La Salle21150%71.587.0-15.5
14 St. Bonaventure1010%71.079.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston220100%111.560.5+51.0
2 NC Wilmington220100%89.570.0+19.5
3 William & Mary110100%80.066.0+14.0
4 Elon220100%79.068.0+11.0
5 Hofstra21150%77.555.5+22.0
6 Stony Brook21150%81.062.5+18.5
7 N. Carolina A&T21150%81.066.5+14.5
8 Drexel21150%68.581.5-13.0
9 Towson2020%63.578.0-14.5
10 Northeastern2020%78.595.0-16.5
11 Campbell1010%64.083.0-19.0
12 Hampton1010%55.075.0-20.0
13 Monmouth2020%52.081.5-29.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Rhode Island364884
Monmouth224466
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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