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RIG Lulea W vs Ostersund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 51-109
16-25 16-30 10-30 9-24
Position#13
Record1-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.4
Allowed / game85.4
RIG Lulea W
Sweden
vs
Ostersund W 🏆
Sweden
Position#4
Record13-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.9
SwedenBasketligan W· Halsans hus
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RIG Lulea W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ostersund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RIG Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#5
L
60-64
60
64
-4
57avg 52
A13/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
49avg 52
H10/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
65-97
65
97
-32
no box
H18/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
59-75
59
75
-16
46avg 52
H24/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
71avg 52
A31/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
54avg 52
A01/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
67-86
67
86
-19
60avg 52
A07/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
44-61
44
61
-17
29avg 52
A08/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
60-66
60
66
-6
53avg 52
H14/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
55-105
55
105
-50
48avg 52
H21/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
15-18
12-18
23-8
15-21
20-22
18-19
9-19
20-17
13-26
17-31
15-23
21-14
13-26
4-12
21-23
18-20
20-19
16-23
19-26
16-19
18-23
13-24
11-15
17-16
22-21
9-25
19-24
17-20
14-22
6-13
7-6
13-15
19-12
7-26
21-13
14-30
15-33
18-25
8-17
140.7Avg total
60.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)53.485.4138.8-32.05%
Season at home (10)56.487.4143.8-31.010%
Season away (12)50.883.8134.6-32.90%
Last 10 (10)60.380.4140.7-20.10%
Last 5 (5)56.879.8136.6-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)52.086.7138.8-34.70%
vs Similar (2)66.572.5139.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (8)87.455.0142.4+32.4100%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 71
A20/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 71
A11/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
A17/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 71
A24/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
88-73
88
73
+15
77avg 71
H31/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 71
H07/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
75avg 71
A12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
95-89
95
89
+6
98avg 71
A14/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 71
H22/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
72-104
72
104
-32
66avg 71
A27/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
27-28
15-8
8-17
12-16
26-19
30-13
20-12
11-17
23-17
29-15
15-16
18-19
19-21
35-18
19-19
20-18
19-20
23-16
26-19
18-20
22-28
26-17
19-22
16-21
19-12
25-10
19-25
17-21
23-17
32-21
23-30
24-20
23-23
11-18
11-7
18-32
14-28
21-29
19-15
157.5Avg total
81.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.275.9157.1+5.362%
Season at home (10)81.274.7155.9+6.550%
Season away (11)81.277.0158.2+4.273%
Last 10 (10)81.276.3157.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)80.083.2163.2-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.384.9153.2-16.611%
vs Similar (10)75.081.2156.2-6.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.568.3153.7+17.291%
This opponent (RIG Lulea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -9.6-9.6Q3: +8.2+8.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -9.6-9.6Q3: +8.2+8.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
RIG Lulea WOstersund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RIG Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#5
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A13/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H10/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H18/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A31/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A08/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H14/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
29-63
29
63
-34
H21/02
Basketligan W
74.4Avg total
33.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.638.870.4-7.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.637.771.3-4.147%-
Last 30 away (15)29.739.969.5-10.227%-
Last 10 (10)33.041.474.4-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.042.275.2-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.244.672.9-16.410%-
vs Similar (2)29.033.562.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (8)40.825.566.2+15.2100%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A20/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H31/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A12/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H22/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-60
32
60
-28
A27/02
Basketligan W
80.2Avg total
38.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.077.9-2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.438.777.1-0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)37.541.178.6-3.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.680.2-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.483.2-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.841.275.0-7.433%-
vs Similar (10)39.643.683.2-4.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.835.675.5+4.282%-
This opponent (RIG Lulea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
RIG Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

RIG Lulea W: 56.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.817.6
44.2%
46.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.13.9
22.8%
31.2%11.7
🏀 Free throws16.39.9
60.7%
72.5%9.9
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.923.4
49.9%
46.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
31.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.613.1
66.8%
72.5%13.1
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
RIG Lulea W
LLLLLLLLLL
Ostersund W
LWWWLWWWWL
#13
League position
#4
-31.5
Net rating
+3.9
58.1
Offensive rating
88.5
89.6
Defensive rating
84.6
41.2%
Effective FG%
48.5%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
29.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
22.8%
3-point %
30.5%
67.9%
Assist %
63.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence58.1 · 88.5Defence89.6 · 84.6Shooting41.2% · 48.5%3-point %22.8% · 30.5%Ball care29.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds33.8% · 32.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ RIG Lulea W   ■ Ostersund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
RIG Lulea W wins
1
Ostersund W wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Ostersund W v RIG Lulea W88-73
RIG Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HAIK Basket W55-105
14/02/26HBrahe W60-66
08/02/26AMalbas Malmo W44-61
07/02/26ALund W67-86
01/02/26AUppsala W58-81
31/01/26AOstersund W73-88
24/01/26HMalbas Malmo W59-75
18/01/26HLund W65-97
10/01/26HSodertalje W62-81
13/12/25AAIK Basket W60-64
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ALulea W72-104
22/02/26HSodertalje W69-68
14/02/26ALund W95-89
12/02/26AMalbas Malmo W79-68
07/02/26HAIK Basket W85-87
31/01/26HRIG Lulea W88-73
24/01/26AUppsala W91-77
17/01/26AAlvik W78-65
11/01/26ABrahe W88-60
20/12/25ASodertalje W67-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

RIG Lulea W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %5%10%0%
Points / game53.456.450.8
Allowed / game85.487.483.8
Point differential-32.0-31.0-32.9
Avg total138.8143.8134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%50%73%
Points / game81.281.281.2
Allowed / game75.974.777.0
Point differential+5.3+6.5+4.2
Avg total157.1155.9158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%40%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2220291%92.263.5+28.8
2 Uppsala W2117481%81.571.2+10.3
3 Hogsbo W2115671%84.173.6+10.5
4 AIK Basket W2214864%79.473.9+5.5
5 Ostersund W2113862%81.275.9+5.3
6 Sodertalje W2213959%79.570.0+9.6
7 Norrkoping W2112957%82.173.1+9.0
8 Malbas Malmo W2112957%75.376.9-1.6
9 Alvik W2181338%73.974.4-0.6
10 Lund W2171433%77.980.3-2.4
11 Brahe W2261627%66.277.8-11.5
12 Visby W211205%58.689.3-30.7
13 RIG Lulea W221215%53.485.4-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
RIG Lulea W161610951
Ostersund W25303024109
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