Rigas Juniori will host BK Liepaja in the Latvia-Estonian League on 7 November 2026, and the Pythia model names BK Liepaja as the favourite, giving the away side an 80% chance to win and a projected score of 77-86, while Rigas Juniori has only a 20% chance to win. Rigas Juniori are 3-4 in all games this season, averaging 81.6 points and allowing 87.0, and they are 3-2 at home with 80.8 points scored and 82.2 points allowed; their last five games include a 66-79 loss to Keila KK, an 89-82 win over Keila Coolbet, and a 79-100 defeat to BC Kalev/Cramo. BK Liepaja are 3-5 overall, 81.6 points per game and 76.9 allowed, and they have gone 0-3 on the road, scoring 65.7 and conceding 81.0; their last five games contain a 92-65 win over Keila Coolbet, a 112-54 victory against Viimsi, and a 72-85 loss to Bristol Flyers. The only prior meeting was on 11 October 2026, when BK Liepaja beat Rigas Juniori 98-88. The model sets a home line of 11.5 with a 58% chance the home team covers, a total line of 162.0 with a 50% over probability, and a 4% chance of overtime, and the projected total points are 162.3.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 81.6 | 87.0 | 168.6 | -5.4 | 43% |
| Season at home (5) | 80.8 | 82.2 | 163.0 | -1.4 | 60% |
| Season away (2) | 83.5 | 99.0 | 182.5 | -15.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (8) | 78.4 | 90.8 | 169.1 | -12.4 | 38% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.8 | 88.0 | 168.8 | -7.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 80.0 | 93.3 | 173.3 | -13.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (1) | 66.0 | 79.0 | 145.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 88.3 | 83.3 | 171.7 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 81.6 | 76.9 | 158.5 | +4.8 | 38% |
| Season at home (5) | 91.2 | 74.4 | 165.6 | +16.8 | 60% |
| Season away (3) | 65.7 | 81.0 | 146.7 | -15.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.6 | 80.6 | 162.2 | +1.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.6 | 79.4 | 165.0 | +6.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 75.4 | 89.8 | 165.2 | -14.4 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 82.0 | 80.5 | 162.5 | +1.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 86.5 | 80.2 | 166.7 | +6.3 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (8) | 38.8 | 46.2 | 85.0 | -7.5 | 12% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (6) | 36.5 | 44.7 | 81.2 | -8.2 | 17% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (2) | 45.5 | 51.0 | 96.5 | -5.5 | 0% | 100% |
| Last 10 (8) | 38.8 | 46.2 | 85.0 | -7.5 | 12% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 43.8 | 85.8 | -1.8 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (3) | 42.0 | 49.0 | 91.0 | -7.0 | 0% | 67% |
| vs Similar (1) | 36.0 | 39.0 | 75.0 | -3.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 42.0 | 42.0 | 84.0 | +0.0 | 33% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 42.3 | 83.9 | -0.7 | 40% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 43.1 | 41.6 | 84.6 | +1.5 | 53% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 39.7 | 43.3 | 83.0 | -3.6 | 23% | 54% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.6 | 39.4 | 81.0 | +2.2 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 35.8 | 78.6 | +7.0 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 36.5 | 44.0 | 80.5 | -7.5 | 13% | 40% |
| vs Similar (2) | 42.5 | 45.0 | 87.5 | -2.5 | 50% | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 46.6 | 40.8 | 87.3 | +5.8 | 67% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rigas Juniori +16 | 73.1% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +14.2pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +15 | 70.0% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +17 | 76.0% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +16.5 | 73.9% | 1.47 | 1.54 | 1.52 | 1.36 | - | - | +13.5pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +15.5 | 71.0% | 1.55 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.44 | - | - | +13.1pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +17.5 | 76.6% | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.30 | - | - | +13.0pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +18.5 | 79.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +19.5 | 81.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +20.5 | 83.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori +22.5 | 87.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori over 70.5 | 71.6% | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori over 69.5 | 74.9% | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.32 | - | - | +7.9pp | Lost |
| Rigas Juniori over 68.5 | 78.0% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 93.5 | 77.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Lost |
| BK Liepaja under 92.5 | 74.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| BK Liepaja under 91.5 | 71.5% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.34 | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| BK Liepaja over 67.5 | 96.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 70.0% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 69.5 | 94.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 65.5 | 97.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 66.5 | 97.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Over 135.5 | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 71.5 | 92.2% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 75.5 | 84.8% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 90.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +3.2pp | - |
| Over 145.5 | 84.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 73.5 | 88.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 76.5 | 82.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja +12.5 | 96.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 76.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 94.5 | 95.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 95.5 | 96.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 93.5 | 94.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 91.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 77.5 | 79.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 91.5 | 92.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja +7.5 | 92.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 79.5 | 73.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 86.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 89.5 | 89.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 79.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja win | 79.5% | 1.11 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 1.11 | -0.7pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 87.5 | 85.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja (regulation) | 77.3% | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 85.5 | 81.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -2.7pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 84.5 | 78.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| Rigas Juniori under 83.5 | 75.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -3.3pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja +2.5 | 83.9% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.6pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja -2.5 | 73.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -5.6pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.7 | 22.7 | 52.5% | 45.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 20.6 | 7.1 | 31.4% | 21.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.1 | 13.3 | 68.3% | 13.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.0 | 18.7 | 52.5% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.9 | 7.9 | 31.4% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.6 | 18.1 | 68.3% | 18.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/10/26 | BK Liepaja v Rigas Juniori | 98-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | H | Keila KK | 66-79 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Keila Coolbet | 89-82 |
| 17/10/26 | A | BC Kalev/Cramo | 79-100 |
| 11/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 88-98 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Viimsi | 82-81 |
| 01/10/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 94-87 OT |
| 22/09/26 | H | Valmiera Glass Via | 73-82 |
| 29/12/25 | H | VEF Riga | 56-117 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Keila Coolbet | 92-65 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Viimsi | 112-54 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Bristol Flyers | 72-85 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Kapfenberg Bulls | 83-108 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Rigas Zelli | 69-85 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Tal Tech | 71-78 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Rigas Juniori | 98-88 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Lausanne Basket | 81-74 |
| 03/10/26 | A | VEF Riga | 55-82 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Tartu Ulikool | 83-87 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 43% |
| Home | LWWWL | 60% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Win % | 43% | 60% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.6 | 80.8 | 83.5 |
| Allowed / game | 87.0 | 82.2 | 99.0 |
| Point differential | -5.4 | -1.4 | -15.5 |
| Avg total | 168.6 | 163.0 | 182.5 |
| Over 161.75 | 71% | 60% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 14% | 20% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWW | 38% |
| Home | LWLWW | 60% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 38% | 60% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.6 | 91.2 | 65.7 |
| Allowed / game | 76.9 | 74.4 | 81.0 |
| Point differential | +4.8 | +16.8 | -15.3 |
| Avg total | 158.5 | 165.6 | 146.7 |
| Over 161.75 | 38% | 60% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 60% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 75.6 | +18.4 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 89.8 | 71.4 | +18.4 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 89.5 | 75.8 | +13.8 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 87.0 | 81.1 | +5.9 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.3 | 74.0 | +8.3 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 74.6 | 71.8 | +2.8 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 84.1 | 81.3 | +2.9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 77.2 | 77.8 | -0.7 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 72.7 | 81.7 | -9.0 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.7 | 86.1 | +0.6 | |
| 11 | Rigas Juniori | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 81.6 | 87.0 | -5.4 |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 81.6 | 76.9 | +4.8 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 71.2 | 86.0 | -14.8 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 76.9 | 91.9 | -15.0 | |
| 15 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.3 | 91.1 | -20.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rigas Juniori | 24 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 69 |
| 23 | 28 | 28 | 20 | 99 |
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