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Rigas Zelli vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-69
21-20 20-14 24-19 20-16
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#10
Record1-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Daugavas Sporta nams
Other2026
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja
17 Oct 2026
RZE85
BK L69
10 Jan 2026
RZE78
BK L87
24 Oct 2025
RZE109
BK L71
15 Mar 2025
RZE90
BK L80
23 Mar 2024
RZE81
BK L79
02 Feb 2024
RZE90
BK L65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
95avg 84
A25/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
69avg 84
H05/04
ENBL
Voluntari
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 84
A09/04
ENBL
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
94-71
94
71
+23
98avg 84
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
72avg 84
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tortona
#18
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 84
H30/09
Eurocup
BK Ogre
#9
W
110-85
110
85
+25
120avg 84
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rostock
#28
L
86-87
86
87
-1
75avg 84
A06/10
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
94avg 84
A09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 84
H14/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
26-23
22-20
18-20
23-25
19-11
24-24
14-21
27-28
25-21
23-20
16-27
20-18
21-17
26-20
27-16
18-27
21-10
18-14
22-22
31-21
19-25
13-16
23-22
34-15
28-21
29-23
19-26
26-20
15-22
25-22
20-23
29-19
17-18
24-26
24-11
27-18
29-22
16-19
17-20
174.1Avg total
90.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.275.8170.0+18.5100%
Season at home (1)110.085.0195.0+25.0100%
Season away (3)89.072.7161.7+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)90.983.2174.1+7.760%
Last 5 (5)93.081.8174.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.788.4175.1-1.729%
vs Similar (9)88.890.6179.3-1.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.279.9171.2+11.385%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
L
71-76
71
76
-5
66avg 70
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 70
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
60avg 70
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
57avg 70
H23/09
ENBL
Parnu
#7
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 70
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
83-87
83
87
-4
61avg 70
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
45avg 70
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 70
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
86avg 70
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 70
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
21-24
20-19
8-16
22-27
26-24
24-13
30-19
13-17
18-30
18-24
25-15
18-21
19-29
17-12
15-30
18-16
18-23
16-18
21-19
20-25
22-23
24-20
17-19
12-17
20-28
11-27
12-10
20-23
23-19
21-15
17-17
23-24
26-23
21-21
28-20
20-16
16-17
15-24
20-21
159.9Avg total
77.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.082.2158.2-6.220%
Season at home (3)84.084.3168.3-0.333%
Season away (2)64.079.0143.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)77.782.2159.9-4.530%
Last 5 (5)77.681.8159.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.888.9164.7-13.16%
vs Similar (2)82.080.5162.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (11)83.184.2167.3-1.136%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
Rigas ZelliBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A25/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/04
ENBL
Voluntari
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A09/04
ENBL
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tortona
#18
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H30/09
Eurocup
BK Ogre
#9
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rostock
#28
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/10
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H14/10
Eurocup
88.1Avg total
47.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.986.8+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.241.186.3+4.262%-
Last 30 away (17)44.542.687.1+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)47.640.588.1+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)51.040.291.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.644.686.1-3.043%-
vs Similar (9)45.045.490.4-0.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.339.285.5+7.185%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H23/09
ENBL
Parnu
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/10
ENBL
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
84.0Avg total
39.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.084.6-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.643.986.6-1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.344.182.4-5.821%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.384.0-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.083.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.545.181.6-8.612%-
vs Similar (2)42.545.087.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (11)44.843.488.2+1.564%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.2
54.6%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.3
37.2%
31.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.320.8
76.2%
68.3%20.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.8
51.2%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.6
31.5%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.414.3
70.1%
68.3%14.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
WWLWWWWLLL
BK Liepaja
LWWLLLLLWL
#1
League position
#10
+8.8
Net rating
-4.5
101.4
Offensive rating
89.7
92.6
Defensive rating
94.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
31.5%
57.4%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 89.7Defence92.6 · 94.2Shooting55.1% · 49.5%3-point %37.2% · 31.5%Ball care15.0% · 15.8%Free throws0.43 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Rigas Zelli wins
2
BK Liepaja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HCedevita Olimpija89-79
09/10/26ATartu Ulikool94-74
06/10/26ARostock86-87
03/10/26HBK Ogre110-85
30/09/26HTortona86-84
26/09/26ATal Tech79-73
25/09/26AKeila Coolbet94-71
09/04/26AVoluntari91-96
05/04/26HVoluntari80-81
25/03/26ABC Kalev/Cramo100-102 OT
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HTal Tech71-78
11/10/26HRigas Juniori98-88
06/10/26HLausanne Basket81-74
03/10/26AVEF Riga55-82
30/09/26HTartu Ulikool83-87
26/09/26AParnu73-76
23/09/26HTindastoll69-92
14/03/26HVEF Riga74-86
10/03/26ALatvijas Universitate102-83
04/03/26AViimsi71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.2110.089.0
Allowed / game75.885.072.7
Point differential+18.5+25.0+16.3
Avg total170.0195.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game76.084.064.0
Allowed / game82.284.379.0
Point differential-6.2-0.3-15.0
Avg total158.2168.3143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga660100%91.266.0+25.2
2 Valmiera Glass Via660100%92.272.2+20.0
3 Rigas Zelli440100%94.275.8+18.5
4 Ventspils64267%88.283.5+4.7
5 Tal Tech53260%78.277.2+1.0
6 Tartu Ulikool42250%84.083.0+1.0
7 Rigas Juniori42250%84.287.0-2.8
8 BK Ogre42250%85.088.0-3.0
9 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.080.0-4.0
10 Keila KK31233%72.388.7-16.3
11 Parnu41325%74.079.0-5.0
12 BK Liepaja51420%76.082.2-6.2
13 Latvijas Universitate61517%78.395.0-16.7
14 Viimsi5050%73.484.6-11.2
15 Keila Coolbet4040%68.089.8-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli2120242085
BK Liepaja2014191669
← all games of the day
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