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Rimini vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-73
23-23 22-11 11-21 16-18
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game59.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game69.0
ItalySerie A2Round 2· Palasport Flaminio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rimini v Avellino Basket
04 Oct 2026
RIMI72
AVEL73
08 Feb 2026
RIMI96
AVEL101
13 Nov 2024
RIMI80
AVEL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 76
A19/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-69
84
69
+15
79avg 76
A21/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
69-85
69
85
-16
59avg 76
A23/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-66
83
66
+17
82avg 76
H26/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 76
H28/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
61avg 76
A07/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
67avg 76
A09/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 76
H12/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 76
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
84-59
84
59
+25
79avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-11
21-22
23-27
25-16
23-21
16-18
20-14
18-19
17-13
18-33
16-20
22-19
27-14
19-23
15-10
21-25
24-22
24-12
18-17
24-22
18-29
18-20
14-13
20-17
17-23
21-13
18-31
21-20
20-21
27-11
14-18
16-30
28-16
17-15
14-22
20-21
14-18
28-13
22-7
155.9Avg total
80.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.059.0143.0+25.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)84.059.0143.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.575.4155.9+5.160%
Last 5 (5)78.276.0154.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)81.983.5165.3-1.639%
vs Weaker (7)88.077.1165.1+10.986%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
88-61
88
61
+27
91avg 74
H12/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 74
A19/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
87avg 74
H26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 74
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-76
58
76
-18
43avg 74
A07/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 74
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
62avg 74
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
59avg 74
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 74
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 74
H27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
14-14
26-13
21-15
21-24
14-24
20-26
16-19
23-19
28-17
20-11
16-21
24-24
18-21
15-16
24-14
14-21
8-19
18-23
18-13
21-22
22-17
17-18
4-12
12-21
18-24
27-13
18-13
17-23
18-14
25-16
16-14
9-28
19-17
15-26
18-22
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
149.0Avg total
74.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.069.0156.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)87.069.0156.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.874.2149.0+0.660%
Last 5 (5)72.673.8146.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.081.5154.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.178.6156.6-0.556%
vs Weaker (8)88.578.4166.9+10.188%
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
RiminiAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A19/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A21/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A23/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H26/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A07/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
Serie A2
81.7Avg total
42.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.785.0-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.344.087.3-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)41.241.582.7-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.581.7+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.483.0-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)41.942.884.7-0.939%-
vs Weaker (7)43.442.686.0+0.957%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
38.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.680.9-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.037.580.5+5.556%-
Last 30 away (14)37.144.281.4-7.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.477.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.542.278.8-5.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.341.881.1-2.539%-
vs Weaker (8)44.437.281.6+7.175%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.2
47.3%
51.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.0
38.5%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.4
73.4%
70.8%12.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.414.8
48.7%
51.4%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.4
33.9%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.413.7
78.7%
70.8%13.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
WLWLLWWLWW
Avellino Basket
WLWWLLWWLW
#5
League position
#2
+5.4
Net rating
+0.4
98.1
Offensive rating
95.0
92.7
Defensive rating
94.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
11.4%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.5%
3-point %
33.9%
54.3%
Assist %
57.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 95.0Defence92.7 · 94.6Shooting51.8% · 49.8%3-point %38.5% · 33.9%Ball care11.4% · 12.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Rimini   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rimini wins
2
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Rimini v Avellino Basket96-101
22/11/25Avellino Basket v Rimini87-78
30/03/25Avellino Basket v Rimini70-88
13/11/24Rimini v Avellino Basket80-78
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AMontecatini84-59
14/06/26HVerona75-83
12/06/26HVerona82-70
09/06/26AVerona76-84
07/06/26AVerona74-84
28/05/26HCividale87-76
26/05/26HCividale83-66
23/05/26ACividale69-85
21/05/26ACividale84-69
19/05/26APesaro91-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
17/05/26AFortitudo Bologna61-93
14/05/26HFortitudo Bologna76-67
12/05/26HFortitudo Bologna75-71
09/05/26AFortitudo Bologna64-69
07/05/26AFortitudo Bologna58-76
03/05/26HJuVi Cremona81-75
26/04/26HRoseto87-68
19/04/26AScafati71-93
12/04/26HRuvo Di Puglia88-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game84.0-84.0
Allowed / game59.0-59.0
Point differential+25.0-+25.0
Avg total143.0-143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini110100%84.059.0+25.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna110100%92.070.0+22.0
3 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
4 Avellino Basket110100%87.069.0+18.0
5 Pesaro110100%96.081.0+15.0
6 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
8 Brindisi110100%66.059.0+7.0
9 Sassari110100%70.068.0+2.0
10 Mestre21150%64.072.5-8.5
11 Pistoia1010%62.063.0-1.0
12 Urania Milano1010%68.070.0-2.0
13 JuVi Cremona1010%59.066.0-7.0
14 Caserta1010%73.081.0-8.0
15 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
16 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
17 Cividale1010%68.085.0-17.0
18 Basket Torino1010%57.079.0-22.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%70.092.0-22.0
20 Montecatini1010%59.084.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rimini2322111672
Avellino Basket2311211873
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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