Rimini will host Vigevano on 8 November 2026 in Serie A2, and the Pythia model rates the home side as the clear favourite, giving them a 91% chance of winning and projecting a 90-75 score; the 5-2 record, 82.6 points per game and 71.0 allowed per game, plus a 4-1 home-only record of 2-1 with 86.3 points per game, underpin that confidence. Vigevano, meanwhile, sits 16th with a 2-5 record, 77.7 points per game and 85.6 allowed, and a 1-3 road record of 80.0 points per game and 89.8 allowed; their last five games include two wins, one of which was a 93-85 victory over Fortitudo Bologna. In the three meetings between the clubs, Rimini has won all three, most recently 87-71 on 6 April 2025, and the Pythia model gives the home team a 46% chance to cover the -16.5 line while the over on the 165.1 total has a 2% chance of occurring. The projected total of 165.1 points reflects the higher offensive output of the home side, and the game is expected to stay within the spread, with Rimini's dominance evident in every statistical line.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 82.6 | 71.0 | 153.6 | +11.6 | 71% |
| Season at home (3) | 86.3 | 74.0 | 160.3 | +12.3 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 79.8 | 68.8 | 148.5 | +11.0 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.1 | 73.4 | 154.5 | +7.7 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.4 | 73.0 | 157.4 | +11.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (21) | 81.2 | 80.6 | 161.8 | +0.6 | 43% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 88.9 | 75.3 | 164.2 | +13.6 | 89% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 77.7 | 85.6 | 163.3 | -7.9 | 29% |
| Season at home (3) | 74.7 | 80.0 | 154.7 | -5.3 | 33% |
| Season away (4) | 80.0 | 89.8 | 169.8 | -9.8 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.3 | 83.5 | 161.8 | -5.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 86.6 | 168.8 | -4.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 75.8 | 82.5 | 158.3 | -6.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar (12) | 79.8 | 86.2 | 166.1 | -6.4 | 33% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.8 | 40.9 | 84.7 | +2.9 | 53% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.6 | 41.9 | 87.5 | +3.7 | 53% | 87% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.0 | 40.0 | 82.0 | +2.0 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.1 | 37.4 | 81.5 | +6.7 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.0 | 34.8 | 82.8 | +13.2 | 100% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (21) | 42.5 | 41.1 | 83.6 | +1.4 | 48% | 62% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 46.8 | 40.6 | 87.3 | +6.2 | 67% | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.2 | 42.0 | 81.3 | -2.8 | 37% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.8 | 41.4 | 82.2 | -0.6 | 50% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.9 | 42.6 | 80.4 | -4.7 | 25% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.5 | 44.0 | 82.5 | -5.5 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 44.6 | 87.2 | -2.0 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 38.1 | 42.6 | 80.7 | -4.5 | 22% | 44% |
| vs Similar (12) | 40.9 | 41.2 | 82.1 | -0.2 | 58% | 58% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 155.5 | 71.4% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Lost |
| Vigevano over 68.5 | 73.0% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.42 | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Lost |
| Vigevano over 66.5 | 79.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 73.5% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Lost |
| Vigevano over 67.5 | 76.2% | 1.37 | 1.39 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 75.5% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| Rimini over 82.5 | 77.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Lost |
| Rimini over 83.5 | 74.6% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Lost |
| Rimini over 84.5 | 71.2% | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Lost |
| Vigevano +23.5 | 76.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Vigevano +22.5 | 74.1% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Rimini (regulation) | 89.4% | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Vigevano +21.5 | 71.2% | 1.34 | 1.39 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Rimini -8.5 | 72.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Lost |
| Rimini win | 90.7% | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.04 | +1.0pp | Won |
| Over 156 | 70.8% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | - | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.1 | 18.1 | 51.2% | 36.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.8 | 8.8 | 34.5% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.3 | 12.5 | 71.0% | 12.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.3 | 17.0 | 51.2% | 34.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.9 | 10.7 | 34.5% | 32.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.1 | 13.2 | 71.0% | 13.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/04/25 | Rimini v Vigevano | 87-71 |
| 11/12/24 | Vigevano v Rimini | 72-87 |
| 10/03/24 | Rimini v Vigevano | 82-72 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Urania Milano | 85-71 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Sebastiani Rieti | 96-73 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Sassari | 84-67 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Mestre | 91-76 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Fortitudo Bologna | 66-78 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Avellino Basket | 72-73 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Montecatini | 84-59 |
| 14/06/26 | H | Verona | 75-83 |
| 12/06/26 | H | Verona | 82-70 |
| 09/06/26 | A | Verona | 76-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Libertas Livorno | 81-87 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Fortitudo Bologna | 93-85 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Forli | 79-74 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Pistoia | 70-89 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Cento | 88-98 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Sebastiani Rieti | 64-79 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Avellino Basket | 69-87 |
| 21/05/25 | A | Libertas Livorno | 77-85 |
| 18/05/25 | H | Libertas Livorno | 83-79 |
| 16/05/25 | H | Libertas Livorno | 79-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 71% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Points / game | 82.6 | 86.3 | 79.8 |
| Allowed / game | 71.0 | 74.0 | 68.8 |
| Point differential | +11.6 | +12.3 | +11.0 |
| Avg total | 153.6 | 160.3 | 148.5 |
| Over 159.75 | 29% | 67% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 29% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Points / game | 77.7 | 74.7 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.6 | 80.0 | 89.8 |
| Point differential | -7.9 | -5.3 | -9.8 |
| Avg total | 163.3 | 154.7 | 169.8 |
| Over 159.75 | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertas Livorno | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 81.6 | 68.2 | +13.4 |
| 2 | Avellino Basket | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 80.7 | 73.0 | +7.7 |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 74.2 | 69.2 | +5.0 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 79.6 | 74.2 | +5.4 | |
| 5 | Rimini | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.6 | 71.0 | +11.6 |
| 6 | Sebastiani Rieti | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 75.0 | 74.9 | +0.1 |
| 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 77.0 | 73.4 | +3.6 | |
| 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 80.2 | 77.9 | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 82.5 | 78.5 | +4.0 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 74.9 | 75.1 | -0.2 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 74.5 | 75.9 | -1.4 | |
| 12 | Cividale | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 70.6 | 73.5 | -2.9 |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.1 | 69.3 | +6.9 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.8 | 83.5 | -3.7 | |
| 15 | Ruvo Di Puglia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.0 | 84.6 | -6.6 |
| 16 | Vigevano | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 77.7 | 85.6 | -7.9 |
| 17 | Cento | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 72.2 | 82.6 | -10.4 |
| 18 | Montecatini | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 68.6 | 82.1 | -13.6 |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 74.5 | 81.9 | -7.4 | |
| 20 | JuVi Cremona | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 73.4 | 80.3 | -6.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rimini | 23 | 14 | 22 | 17 | 76 |
| Vigevano | 24 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 68 |
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