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Rockhampton Rockets vs Cairns Marlins Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 109-81
31-23 20-21 30-13 28-24
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game95.3
vs
Position#12
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game101.5
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Rockhampton Rockets v Cairns Marlins
30 May 2025
ROCK109
CAIR81
06 Jul 2024
ROCK94
CAIR91
28 May 2023
ROCK79
CAIR82
07 May 2022
ROCK97
CAIR83
01 Aug 2021
ROCK89
CAIR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rockhampton Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rockhampton RocketsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H22/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A28/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
118-89
118
89
+29
A29/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A30/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H06/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A20/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A03/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
67-89
67
89
-22
H09/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
103-98
103
98
+5
H24/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-32
18-24
25-29
22-24
22-23
17-19
26-18
25-32
29-19
26-36
29-14
34-20
24-22
17-31
23-13
24-24
30-31
19-21
20-13
25-26
21-27
25-22
27-26
32-22
21-27
19-27
17-24
24-20
19-28
15-30
20-16
25-25
20-16
15-22
14-34
18-17
28-18
28-37
16-24
31-19
187.1Avg total
91.9Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.095.3178.3-12.333%
Season at home (2)85.093.5178.5-8.550%
Season away (1)79.099.0178.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)91.995.2187.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)87.096.2183.2-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)94.299.5193.7-5.427%
vs Similar (9)84.092.7176.7-8.722%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)101.491.6193.0+9.880%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H15/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H21/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H28/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
75-129
75
129
-54
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
84-111
84
111
-27
A03/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
75-111
75
111
-36
H17/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
22-17
25-16
24-29
30-20
28-23
22-13
18-29
16-25
20-25
24-20
27-15
21-29
24-29
6-46
24-25
31-30
21-19
13-20
26-25
30-21
34-15
16-14
15-37
21-20
24-40
23-30
16-21
18-35
22-22
32-22
29-20
26-24
23-21
21-24
19-16
16-22
19-28
16-30
24-31
186.3Avg total
88.5Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.2101.5188.8-14.250%
Season at home (1)75.0111.0186.0-36.00%
Season away (3)91.398.3189.7-7.067%
Last 10 (10)88.597.8186.3-9.350%
Last 5 (5)88.898.6187.4-9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)88.099.1187.1-11.139%
vs Similar (9)91.688.9180.4+2.767%
vs Weaker (3)96.085.0181.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Rockhampton Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
Rockhampton RocketsCairns Marlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rockhampton RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H22/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A28/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A29/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H06/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H12/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A20/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A03/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H24/05
NBL1 North
95.4Avg total
44.2Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.950.997.8-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.849.196.9-1.329%-
Last 30 away (16)46.252.498.6-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)44.251.295.4-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)42.250.893.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)49.156.0105.1-6.918%-
vs Similar (9)40.748.889.4-8.111%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.247.197.3+3.150%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H15/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H21/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H28/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
64-36
64
36
+28
H12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H17/05
NBL1 North
96.0Avg total
46.5Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.348.695.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.147.595.6+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)44.649.794.3-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)46.549.596.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)46.649.696.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)44.851.496.3-6.633%-
vs Similar (9)46.843.890.6+3.067%-
vs Weaker (3)54.046.3100.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Rockhampton Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HGold Coast Rollers103-98
09/05/25HTownsville Heat67-89
03/05/25AMackay Meteors79-99
20/07/24ABrisbane Capitals81-98
12/07/24HSouthern District105-97
06/07/24HCairns Marlins94-91
30/06/24ALogan Thunder88-90
29/06/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks118-89
28/06/24AGold Coast Rollers90-92
22/06/24HMackay Meteors94-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HBrisbane Capitals75-111
10/05/25ALogan Thunder89-85
09/05/25AGold Coast Rollers101-99
03/05/25ATownsville Heat84-111
12/07/24HIpswich Force95-87
06/07/24ARockhampton Rockets91-94
05/07/24AMackay Meteors75-129
28/06/24HMackay Meteors87-85
21/06/24HSouth West Metro Pirates98-85
15/06/24HGold Coast Rollers90-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rockhampton Rockets
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game83.085.079.0
Allowed / game95.393.599.0
Point differential-12.3-8.5-20.0
Avg total178.3178.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game87.275.091.3
Allowed / game101.5111.098.3
Point differential-14.2-36.0-7.0
Avg total188.8186.0189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals54180%92.279.4+12.8
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix43175%95.583.0+12.5
3 Mackay Meteors53260%98.896.6+2.2
4 Ipswich Force53260%84.486.8-2.4
5 Townsville Heat63350%89.583.5+6.0
6 Northside Wizards63350%88.085.8+2.2
7 Southern District42250%89.093.0-4.0
8 Cairns Marlins42250%87.2101.5-14.2
9 Gold Coast Rollers52340%94.497.2-2.8
10 Rockhampton Rockets31233%83.095.3-12.3
11 South West Metro Pirates41325%87.297.8-10.5
12 Logan Thunder51420%90.890.0+0.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rockhampton Rockets31203028109
Cairns Marlins2321132481
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