Rogaska vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 84-61

19-15 21-5 24-28 20-13

Position#1

Record3-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game96.0

Allowed / game68.3

Rogaska 🏆

Helios Domzale

Position#4

Record2-2

FormWLLWL

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game65.0

Liga Nova KBMRound 5

Other2015-16

Meetings · Rogaska v Helios Domzale

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Helios Domzale winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rogaska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helios Domzale

66-82

-16

A15/05

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

77-67

+10

H18/05

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

81-73

H22/05

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

81-88 OT

-7

A24/05

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

57-65

-8

H26/05

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

65-67

-2

A28/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

#10

83-68

+15

H17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Elektra Sostanj

#13

115-61

115

+54

H07/11

Liga Nova KBM

Portoroz

90-76

+14

A14/11

Liga Nova KBM

Parklji

#31

99-62

+37

A17/11

Slovenian Cup

18-27

16-18

13-18

19-19

20-17

25-17

15-12

17-21

18-9

19-24

20-17

24-23

13-17

20-20

21-13

14-18

13-9

19-20

11-18

20-17

15-15

13-20

17-15

22-9

18-14

19-23

24-22

26-23

30-16

30-9

29-13

20-21

25-14

20-22

25-19

31-13

26-19

18-12

24-18

152.3Avg total

81.4Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	96.0	68.3	164.3	+27.7	100%
Season at home (2)	99.0	64.5	163.5	+34.5	100%
Season away (1)	90.0	76.0	166.0	+14.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	70.9	152.3	+10.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	66.8	157.2	+23.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	88.5	94.0	182.5	-5.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	75.9	76.5	152.4	-0.7	43%
vs Weaker (5)	93.2	64.8	158.0	+28.4	100%

This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Helios Domzale Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Elektra Sostanj

#13

134-48

134

+86

H17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Portoroz

77-80

-3

A24/10

Liga Nova KBM

Ventspils

62-67

-5

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

50-58

-8

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Zlatorog Lasko

74-63

+11

H07/11

Liga Nova KBM

Jance

#33

96-52

+44

H09/11

Slovenian Cup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#23

71-80

-9

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Sencur

63-69

-6

H14/11

Liga Nova KBM

Jance

#33

94-60

+34

A16/11

Slovenian Cup

Ventspils

72-81

-9

H18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

36-7

32-11

29-10

37-20

22-26

16-18

18-19

21-17

18-14

14-15

20-19

10-19

12-14

10-14

22-13

6-17

17-19

21-10

17-11

19-23

32-9

21-14

17-15

26-14

15-16

24-21

17-22

15-21

12-16

17-22

20-18

14-13

26-11

26-15

23-17

19-17

13-19

21-23

17-16

145.1Avg total

79.3Scored

65.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	87.0	65.0	152.0	+22.0	50%
Season at home (3)	90.3	60.0	150.3	+30.3	67%
Season away (1)	77.0	80.0	157.0	-3.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	65.8	145.1	+13.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	68.4	147.6	+10.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	65.7	72.3	138.0	-6.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	77.1	73.1	150.1	+4.0	71%
vs Weaker (10)	84.2	59.2	143.4	+25.0	80%

This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RogaskaHelios Domzale

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.6	40.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	25.5	43.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.7	35%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.2	17.0	41.2	+7.2	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	16.9	37.5	+3.7	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	16.4	37.9	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	17.4	37.1	+2.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	15.1	35.4	+5.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.2	33.8	+5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	16.3	30.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.4	15.1	39.6	+9.3	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.3	36.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.6	38.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.4	15.2	39.6	+9.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	17.3	37.7	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.3	38.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.3	36.5	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+2.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	16.0	37.1	+5.1	67%	-

RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helios Domzale

34-45

-11

A15/05

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

45-34

+11

H18/05

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

37-33

H22/05

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

26-34

-8

A24/05

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

27-27

H26/05

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

35-32

A28/05

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

#10

40-23

+17

H17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Elektra Sostanj

#13

56-39

+17

H07/11

Liga Nova KBM

Portoroz

45-35

+10

A14/11

Liga Nova KBM

Parklji

#31

57-32

+25

A17/11

Slovenian Cup

73.6Avg total

40.2Scored

33.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.7	76.3	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	36.6	75.6	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	39.0	77.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	33.4	73.6	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	32.2	78.8	+14.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	46.5	85.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	36.3	38.2	74.5	-1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	48.6	32.2	80.8	+16.4	100%	-

This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Elektra Sostanj

#13

68-18

+50

H17/10

Liga Nova KBM

Portoroz

38-44

-6

A24/10

Liga Nova KBM

Ventspils

32-29

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Turow Zgorzelec

#39

22-28

-6

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Zlatorog Lasko

38-29

H07/11

Liga Nova KBM

Jance

#33

53-23

+30

H09/11

Slovenian Cup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#23

39-37

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Sencur

29-38

-9

H14/11

Liga Nova KBM

Jance

#33

52-26

+26

A16/11

Slovenian Cup

Ventspils

34-42

-8

H18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

71.9Avg total

40.5Scored

31.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.0	34.2	75.2	+6.8	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	33.7	76.1	+8.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	34.8	74.1	+4.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	31.4	71.9	+9.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	33.2	74.6	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	31.7	36.3	68.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.2	35.5	75.6	+4.7	76%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.6	31.1	76.7	+14.4	67%	-

This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.2	38.9	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	16.2	38.2	+5.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.4	39.6	-1.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.0	25.0	53.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.8	15.4	37.2	+6.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	18.4	37.8	+0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.3	36.3	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.4	41%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	16.7	38.6	+5.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.4	41.2	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	17.2	40.0	+5.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	17.7	36.7	+1.4	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	16.9	34.7	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	13.7	16.0	29.7	-2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.4	18.2	36.5	+0.2	59%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	37.3	77.9	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	34.9	77.4	+7.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	35.4	75.2	+4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	34.6	78.4	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.5	47.5	97.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	38.9	37.4	76.3	+1.5	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.6	32.6	77.2	+12.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.4	36.1	74.5	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	35.7	74.9	+3.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	36.6	74.0	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	34.4	73.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	35.2	73.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	36.0	70.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	36.1	37.3	73.4	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	44.1	33.9	78.0	+10.2	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rogaska wins

Helios Domzale wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/15	Rogaska v Helios Domzale	77-67
15/05/15	Helios Domzale v Rogaska	82-66
13/05/15	Rogaska v Helios Domzale	73-72
07/03/15	Helios Domzale v Rogaska	95-87
06/12/14	Rogaska v Helios Domzale	90-68
08/05/14	Helios Domzale v Rogaska	82-75
06/05/14	Rogaska v Helios Domzale	74-64
03/05/14	Helios Domzale v Rogaska	75-55
28/04/14	Helios Domzale v Rogaska	77-63
09/04/14	Rogaska v Helios Domzale	73-77 OT

Rogaskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/15	A	Parklji	99-62
14/11/15	A	Portoroz	90-76
07/11/15	H	Elektra Sostanj	115-61
17/10/15	H	KK Primorska	83-68
28/05/15	A	Tajfun Sentjur	65-67
26/05/15	H	Tajfun Sentjur	57-65
24/05/15	A	Tajfun Sentjur	81-88 OT
22/05/15	H	Tajfun Sentjur	81-73
18/05/15	H	Helios Domzale	77-67
15/05/15	A	Helios Domzale	66-82

Helios Domzalelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/15	H	Ventspils	72-81
16/11/15	A	Jance	94-60
14/11/15	H	Sencur	63-69
11/11/15	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	71-80
09/11/15	H	Jance	96-52
07/11/15	H	Zlatorog Lasko	74-63
04/11/15	H	Turow Zgorzelec	50-58
27/10/15	A	Ventspils	62-67
24/10/15	A	Portoroz	77-80
17/10/15	H	Elektra Sostanj	134-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska

Liga Nova KBM 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	96.0	99.0	90.0
Allowed / game	68.3	64.5	76.0
Point differential	+27.7	+34.5	+14.0
Avg total	164.3	163.5	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Helios Domzale

Liga Nova KBM 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWL	50%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	50%	67%	0%
Points / game	87.0	90.3	77.0
Allowed / game	65.0	60.0	80.0
Point differential	+22.0	+30.3	-3.0
Avg total	152.0	150.3	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rogaska	3	3	0	100%	96.0	68.3	+27.7
2	Sencur	3	3	0	100%	84.3	66.3	+18.0
3	LTH Castings	3	3	0	100%	81.7	76.3	+5.3
4	Zlatorog Lasko	4	3	1	75%	81.2	74.2	+7.0
5	Helios Domzale	4	2	2	50%	87.0	65.0	+22.0
6	Polzela	3	1	2	33%	85.3	88.0	-2.7
7	Portoroz	4	1	3	25%	74.8	80.8	-6.0
8	KK Primorska	4	0	4	0%	68.0	82.2	-14.2
9	Elektra Sostanj	4	0	4	0%	61.2	106.2	-45.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rogaska	19	21	24	20	84
Helios Domzale	15	5	28	13	61

← all games of the day

Rogaska vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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