Rogaska vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 102-90

32-25 32-23 21-26 17-16

Position#10

Record3-5

FormWWLLL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game74.5

Rogaska 🏆

MZT Skopje

Position#3

Record6-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game91.0

Allowed / game82.4

ABA League 2Round 9

Other2018

Meetings · Rogaska v MZT Skopje

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

MZT Skopje winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vrsac

#12

92-80

+12

H17/10

ABA League 2

KK Primorska

70-64

H20/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Dynamic

74-91

-17

A24/10

ABA League 2

Sencur

81-79

A27/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

#11

58-66

-8

A31/10

ABA League 2

Perspektiva Ilirija

#10

75-74

A03/11

Liga Nova KBM

Sutjeska

95-81

+14

H07/11

ABA League 2

Zlatorog Lasko

75-77

-2

H10/11

Liga Nova KBM

Spars Sarajevo

59-63

-4

A14/11

ABA League 2

Petrol Olimpija

81-99

-18

A18/11

Liga Nova KBM

18-19

24-18

22-19

28-24

13-18

11-16

25-12

21-18

21-26

14-16

18-26

21-23

24-22

24-24

20-16

13-17

13-10

20-13

13-22

12-21

20-17

13-16

18-21

24-20

17-19

25-13

31-26

22-23

24-31

18-19

15-13

18-14

22-23

16-12

8-12

13-16

16-21

21-18

23-35

21-25

153.4Avg total

76.0Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	73.0	74.5	147.5	-1.5	38%
Season at home (3)	84.3	74.3	158.7	+10.0	100%
Season away (5)	66.2	74.6	140.8	-8.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	77.4	153.4	-1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	78.8	155.8	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	72.5	79.3	151.8	-6.7	18%
vs Similar (14)	77.6	76.6	154.2	+1.1	57%
vs Weaker (5)	71.4	61.4	132.8	+10.0	100%

This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lovcen Cetinje

100-90 OT

100

+10

H17/10

ABA League 2

Vardar

102-72

102

+30

A20/10

Superleague

Zrinjski Mostar

87-93

-6

A24/10

ABA League 2

Gostivar

97-81

+16

H28/10

Superleague

Split

104-87

104

+17

H01/11

ABA League 2

Ohrid

#10

83-80

A03/11

Superleague

Vrsac

#12

95-88

A07/11

ABA League 2

Rabotnicki

88-90

-2

H12/11

Superleague

KK Dynamic

84-74

+10

H15/11

ABA League 2

Kozuv

89-79

+10

A17/11

Superleague

19-24

24-21

16-19

20-15

24-25

24-12

34-14

20-21

16-25

20-26

20-25

31-17

17-25

30-23

23-20

27-13

23-25

28-23

29-22

24-17

17-22

26-11

19-16

21-31

26-27

36-24

23-22

10-15

21-23

23-25

23-20

21-22

23-17

13-18

27-18

21-21

26-24

21-22

19-14

23-19

176.3Avg total

92.9Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	91.0	82.4	173.4	+8.6	75%
Season at home (5)	92.4	77.4	169.8	+15.0	100%
Season away (3)	88.7	90.7	179.3	-2.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	83.4	176.3	+9.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	82.2	170.0	+5.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	79.0	84.7	163.7	-5.7	17%
vs Similar (10)	88.2	79.5	167.7	+8.7	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	91.9	79.9	171.9	+12.0	79%

This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RogaskaMZT Skopje

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	20.5	37.8	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	17.8	36.1	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.2	42.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	22.4	44.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.7	44.9	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.4	22.1	44.5	+0.2	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.5	35.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.6	34.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.7	17.1	34.8	+0.6	55%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	16.8	37.5	+4.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	18.7	42.1	+4.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	20.5	45.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.9	19.1	44.0	+5.7	79%	-

RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vrsac

#12

42-37

H17/10

ABA League 2

KK Primorska

24-34

-10

H20/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Dynamic

35-42

-7

A24/10

ABA League 2

Sencur

48-46

A27/10

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

#11

33-23

+10

A31/10

ABA League 2

Perspektiva Ilirija

#10

33-33

A03/11

Liga Nova KBM

Sutjeska

42-32

+10

H07/11

ABA League 2

Zlatorog Lasko

42-50

-8

H10/11

Liga Nova KBM

Spars Sarajevo

38-35

A14/11

ABA League 2

Petrol Olimpija

37-39

-2

A18/11

Liga Nova KBM

74.5Avg total

37.4Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.7	37.6	75.3	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.3	36.3	75.6	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	38.7	75.1	-2.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	37.1	74.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.8	76.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.5	38.4	75.9	-0.8	55%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.4	36.7	74.1	+0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.5	25%	-

This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lovcen Cetinje

43-45

-2

H17/10

ABA League 2

Vardar

48-37

+11

A20/10

Superleague

Zrinjski Mostar

36-51

-15

A24/10

ABA League 2

Gostivar

47-48

-1

H28/10

Superleague

Split

51-48

H01/11

ABA League 2

Ohrid

#10

43-33

+10

A03/11

Superleague

Vrsac

#12

62-51

+11

A07/11

ABA League 2

Rabotnicki

44-48

-4

H12/11

Superleague

KK Dynamic

36-35

H15/11

ABA League 2

Kozuv

47-46

A17/11

Superleague

89.9Avg total

45.7Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	40.8	85.5	+3.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.2	38.7	82.9	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	43.0	88.1	+2.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	44.2	89.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	42.6	89.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.3	40.2	83.5	+3.2	83%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.9	40.6	82.5	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	47.2	41.3	88.5	+5.9	86%	-

This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	18.5	38.1	+1.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.3	19.9	37.2	-2.6	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	17.5	39.2	+4.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	19.3	42.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.6	18.4	42.1	+5.2	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	18%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	20.5	43.8	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.9	40.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.9	42.4	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	22.8	39.2	-6.5	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.1	39.5	77.6	-1.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.7	38.5	78.2	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	40.3	77.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	40.3	78.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.0	79.6	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.0	40.9	75.9	-5.9	9%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.6	38.8	77.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.0	38.0	83.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.1	81.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	36.1	80.5	+8.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	42.0	82.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	38.1	83.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	39.6	81.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.5	42.2	76.7	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.2	37.8	82.0	+6.4	90%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.7	38.6	83.4	+6.1	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 69.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

49%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	16.4	46.1%	55.2%	32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.1	33.5%	33.0%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.9	78.8%	72.6%	14.9

They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.2	19.2	61.5%	55.2%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.3	12.7	38.1%	33.0%	38.1
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.9	74.9%	72.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.2	52.8%	55.2%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.5%	33.0%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.1	74.2%	72.6%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.9	55.8%	55.2%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.6	36.1%	33.0%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.9	73.8%	72.6%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rogaska wins

MZT Skopje wins

No previous meetings.

Rogaskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/18	A	Petrol Olimpija	81-99
14/11/18	A	Spars Sarajevo	59-63
10/11/18	H	Zlatorog Lasko	75-77
07/11/18	H	Sutjeska	95-81
03/11/18	A	Perspektiva Ilirija	75-74
31/10/18	A	Helios Domzale	58-66
27/10/18	A	Sencur	81-79
24/10/18	A	KK Dynamic	74-91
20/10/18	H	KK Primorska	70-64
17/10/18	H	Vrsac	92-80

MZT Skopjelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/18	A	Kozuv	89-79
15/11/18	H	KK Dynamic	84-74
12/11/18	H	Rabotnicki	88-90
07/11/18	A	Vrsac	95-88
03/11/18	A	Ohrid	83-80
01/11/18	H	Split	104-87
28/10/18	H	Gostivar	97-81
24/10/18	A	Zrinjski Mostar	87-93
20/10/18	A	Vardar	102-72
17/10/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	100-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska

ABA League 2 2018

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	38%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	38%	100%	0%
Points / game	73.0	84.3	66.2
Allowed / game	74.5	74.3	74.6
Point differential	-1.5	+10.0	-8.4
Avg total	147.5	158.7	140.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

MZT Skopje

ABA League 2 2018

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	75%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	75%	100%	33%
Points / game	91.0	92.4	88.7
Allowed / game	82.4	77.4	90.7
Point differential	+8.6	+15.0	-2.0
Avg total	173.4	169.8	179.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	25%	20%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Primorska	9	9	0	100%	81.9	66.4	+15.4
2	MZT Skopje	8	6	2	75%	91.0	82.4	+8.6
3	Spars Sarajevo	8	6	2	75%	69.2	67.8	+1.5
4	Split	8	5	3	62%	79.1	75.8	+3.4
5	KK Dynamic	8	4	4	50%	79.1	76.8	+2.4
6	Lovcen Cetinje	8	4	4	50%	76.5	75.5	+1.0
7	Sutjeska	8	4	4	50%	81.1	82.9	-1.8
8	Rogaska	8	3	5	38%	73.0	74.5	-1.5
9	Borac Mozzart	8	3	5	38%	74.0	75.6	-1.6
10	Helios Domzale	9	3	6	33%	73.8	80.4	-6.7
11	Zrinjski Mostar	9	2	7	22%	73.8	77.8	-4.0
12	Vrsac	9	1	8	11%	75.8	91.2	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rogaska	32	32	21	17	102
MZT Skopje	25	23	26	16	90

← all games of the day

Rogaska vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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