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Roseto W vs Sassari W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 88-66
16-14 30-19 15-17 27-16
Position#6
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game76.4
Roseto W 🏆
Italy
vs
Sassari W
Italy
Position#7
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game74.1
ItalySerie A1 WRound 10· PalaMaggetti
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Roseto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
52-76
52
76
-24
15avg 57
A04/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
71-64
71
64
+7
70avg 57
H12/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
62avg 57
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
50avg 57
A02/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
68-70
68
70
-2
63avg 57
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
49-69
49
69
-20
41avg 57
A22/11
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
73avg 57
A29/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
83avg 57
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
14-21
17-24
8-17
23-19
14-13
23-20
11-12
12-21
11-24
30-22
20-28
23-27
14-18
19-11
15-26
25-17
16-22
16-13
11-18
9-18
19-20
12-22
9-9
19-20
21-21
16-20
21-25
26-17
23-16
12-24
25-12
144.8Avg total
68.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.476.4144.8-8.025%
Season at home (3)75.067.7142.7+7.367%
Season away (5)64.481.6146.0-17.20%
Last 10 (8)68.476.4144.8-8.025%
Last 5 (5)70.275.2145.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.478.0142.4-13.620%
vs Similar ◀ (1)86.069.0155.0+17.0100%
vs Weaker (2)69.576.0145.5-6.50%
This opponent (Sassari W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
KP Brno W
#24
L
73-76
73
76
-3
60avg 58
A22/10
EuroCup Women
Broni W
#9
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
54avg 58
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Ragusa Dubrovnik W
#55
W
61-51
61
51
+10
59avg 58
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Venezia W
#2
L
44-86
44
86
-42
27avg 58
A01/11
Serie A1 W
Lattes Montpellier W
#13
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 58
H05/11
EuroCup Women
Campobasso W
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
62avg 58
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
34avg 58
A23/11
Serie A1 W
KP Brno W
#24
L
0-20
0
20
-20
66avg 58
H27/11
EuroCup Women
Battipaglia W
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
84avg 58
H30/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 58
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-23
23-12
16-17
6-16
19-17
23-17
19-17
19-17
10-10
17-14
15-10
10-17
14-28
9-22
11-19
26-14
10-22
21-22
10-26
20-20
17-21
15-19
16-16
20-27
9-21
18-27
4-19
–
–
–
–
32-22
22-10
16-14
16-26
14-14
24-21
16-14
15-16
129.0Avg total
59.0Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.874.1142.9-5.356%
Season at home (5)74.070.6144.6+3.460%
Season away (4)62.278.5140.8-16.250%
Last 10 (10)59.070.0129.0-11.030%
Last 5 (5)54.865.4120.2-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)61.178.5139.6-17.313%
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.074.3145.3-3.333%
vs Weaker (12)73.665.8139.4+7.875%
This opponent (Roseto W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
Roseto WSassari W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Roseto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A04/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/11
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/12
Serie A1 W
73.8Avg total
35.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)35.238.573.8-3.238%-
Last 30 at home (3)42.334.777.0+7.7100%-
Last 30 away (5)31.040.871.8-9.80%-
Last 10 (8)35.238.573.8-3.238%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.038.269.2-7.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)49.033.082.0+16.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Sassari W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KP Brno W
#24
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A22/10
EuroCup Women
Broni W
#9
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Ragusa Dubrovnik W
#55
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A30/10
EuroCup Women
Venezia W
#2
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A01/11
Serie A1 W
Lattes Montpellier W
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/11
EuroCup Women
Campobasso W
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H30/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/12
Serie A1 W
72.2Avg total
34.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.636.172.7+0.445%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.134.174.2+5.956%-
Last 30 away (13)32.238.570.8-6.331%-
Last 10 (9)34.038.272.2-4.233%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.477.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.540.474.9-5.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.733.772.3+5.033%-
vs Weaker (12)38.431.770.1+6.767%-
This opponent (Roseto W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Roseto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto W: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.6
47.7%
46.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.1
29.4%
30.9%21.4
🏀 Free throws10.26.8
65.9%
72.6%6.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassari Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari W: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.814.6
40.8%
46.7%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
72.6%11.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Roseto W
WLLLLLWL
Sassari W
WWLLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#7
-11.5
Net rating
-11.0
91.3
Offensive rating
88.7
102.8
Defensive rating
99.7
46.4%
Effective FG%
44.6%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
21.9%
Turnover %
21.4%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.4%
3-point %
33.3%
58.9%
Assist %
64.1%
25%
Form (last 8/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 88.7Defence102.8 · 99.7Shooting46.4% · 44.6%3-point %29.4% · 33.3%Ball care21.9% · 21.4%Off. rebounds31.2% · 24.7%Free throws0.16 · 0.26Form (last 8/10)25% · 30%
■ Roseto W   ■ Sassari W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Roseto W wins
0
Sassari W wins
No previous meetings.
Roseto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HSan Martino W86-69
29/11/25ADerthona Basket W77-86
22/11/25ACampobasso W49-69
08/11/25HBattipaglia W68-70
02/11/25ABroni W71-82
19/10/25AVenezia W73-95
12/10/25HSan Giovanni W71-64
04/10/25ASchio W52-76
Sassari Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HSan Giovanni W69-65
30/11/25HBattipaglia W86-72
27/11/25HKP Brno W0-20
23/11/25ASchio W51-94
08/11/25HCampobasso W68-76
05/11/25HLattes Montpellier W67-84
01/11/25AVenezia W44-86
30/10/25ARagusa Dubrovnik W61-51
26/10/25HBroni W71-76 OT
22/10/25AKP Brno W73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game68.475.064.4
Allowed / game76.467.781.6
Point differential-8.0+7.3-17.2
Avg total144.8142.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game68.874.062.2
Allowed / game74.170.678.5
Point differential-5.3+3.4-16.2
Avg total142.9144.6140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W880100%80.854.2+26.5
2 Venezia W98189%74.658.8+15.8
3 Campobasso W86275%72.861.0+11.8
4 San Giovanni W85362%69.462.5+6.9
5 Sassari W95456%68.874.1-5.3
6 Derthona Basket W94544%72.770.2+2.4
7 Broni W83538%64.274.1-9.9
8 Roseto W82625%68.476.4-8.0
9 San Martino W82625%65.975.6-9.8
10 Brixia W92722%57.376.4-19.1
11 Battipaglia W81712%64.975.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Roseto W1630152788
Sassari W1419171666
← all games of the day
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