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Rostock vs Frankfurt Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-77
20-14 18-10 21-30 23-23
Position#8
Record5-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.5
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#15
Record7-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game83.0
GermanyBBLRound 14· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rostock v Frankfurt
09 May 2027
ROS v FRA
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
ROS82
FRA77
01 Nov 2024
ROS83
FRA66
09 Apr 2023
ROS77
FRA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankfurt winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
75-63
75
63
+12
70avg 76
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#32
W
96-68
96
68
+28
no box
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 76
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 76
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
97-72
97
72
+25
97avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
93avg 76
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 76
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 76
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 76
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 76
H31/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
17-19
14-19
22-7
23-14
26-23
20-20
27-11
20-24
21-24
27-25
19-18
25-22
15-17
24-16
23-19
21-20
30-12
21-23
25-17
14-23
20-20
21-18
24-18
19-18
21-16
23-25
21-18
27-25
24-27
25-24
16-21
16-19
8-23
16-22
26-16
14-18
17-22
24-16
12-29
164.3Avg total
84.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.983.5165.4-1.642%
Season at home (6)83.383.5166.8-0.250%
Season away (6)80.583.5164.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.779.6164.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)81.085.6166.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.379.7153.0-6.333%
vs Similar (13)84.381.1165.4+3.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.081.5167.5+4.554%
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankfurtGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrankfurt
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
84avg 69
H13/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
83avg 69
H26/10
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 69
A01/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 69
A08/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 69
H22/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
71avg 69
A07/12
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 69
A10/12
BBL
Jena
#16
W
79-70
79
70
+9
67avg 69
H14/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
25avg 69
H26/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
80-75
80
75
+5
66avg 69
A30/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
21-24
25-27
20-17
20-23
18-19
17-22
28-19
20-15
15-21
21-17
19-14
27-17
18-24
11-13
24-23
23-22
21-23
22-13
16-22
8-23
31-20
27-23
17-23
20-21
16-18
19-18
21-31
25-14
12-20
22-20
20-16
19-22
12-26
19-18
19-31
18-19
18-14
21-26
23-16
163.9Avg total
80.6Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.983.0165.9-0.154%
Season at home (6)83.389.2172.5-5.833%
Season away (7)82.677.7160.3+4.971%
Last 10 (10)80.683.3163.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)77.483.8161.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.781.6157.3-5.929%
vs Similar (5)87.082.6169.6+4.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
RostockFrankfurt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/12
BBL
80.4Avg total
40.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.480.8+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.538.580.0+2.946%-
Last 30 away (17)41.440.181.4+1.341%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.480.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.278.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.740.372.0-8.733%-
vs Similar (13)42.938.781.6+4.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankfurtLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H13/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H26/10
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A01/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H22/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/12
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/12
BBL
Jena
#16
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H26/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A30/12
BBL
79.5Avg total
38.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.977.8-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.938.575.4-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)39.041.680.6-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.079.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.475.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.339.877.2-2.533%-
vs Similar (5)40.040.680.6-0.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.814.1
47.3%
53.8%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.5
36.7%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.517.5
81.4%
73.5%17.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frankfurttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frankfurt: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
53.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.7
30.6%
34.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.017.7
77.0%
73.5%17.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLLWWWWLWW
Frankfurt
WLWLLWWWLL
#8
League position
#15
+5.7
Net rating
-3.8
112.9
Offensive rating
105.4
107.2
Defensive rating
109.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.7%
3-point %
30.6%
58.1%
Assist %
50.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 105.4Defence107.2 · 109.2Shooting51.1% · 49.5%3-point %36.7% · 30.6%Ball care17.7% · 19.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 32.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rostock   ■ Frankfurt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
2
Frankfurt wins
DateGameScore
17/04/25Frankfurt v Rostock72-77 OT
01/11/24Rostock v Frankfurt83-66
09/04/23Rostock v Frankfurt77-99
26/12/22Frankfurt v Rostock101-83
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25HBayern67-85
26/12/25HAlba Berlin66-80
20/12/25AChemnitz92-97
17/12/25ASzombathely84-77
15/12/25HLudwigsburg96-89 OT
10/12/25HTrefl Sopot97-72
08/12/25ABamberg87-74
21/11/25HVechta87-91
19/11/25HFC Porto96-68
11/11/25AAntwerp Giants75-63
Frankfurtlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AHeidelberg80-75
26/12/25HBayern69-97
14/12/25HJena79-70
10/12/25ABonn76-88
07/12/25AAlba Berlin83-89
22/11/25HWurzburg82-80
08/11/25ABamberg80-77
01/11/25AUlm75-67
26/10/25HSyntainics MBC93-97 OT
13/10/25HVechta89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game81.983.380.5
Allowed / game83.583.583.5
Point differential-1.6-0.2-3.0
Avg total165.4166.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Frankfurt
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW54%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%33%71%
Points / game82.983.382.6
Allowed / game83.089.277.7
Point differential-0.1-5.8+4.9
Avg total165.9172.5160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1312192%86.673.2+13.5
2 Wurzburg1410471%81.978.0+3.9
3 Alba Berlin139469%85.277.1+8.2
4 Ulm138562%81.377.2+4.1
5 Trier138562%88.389.7-1.4
6 Bamberg127558%90.183.5+6.6
7 Bonn148657%80.279.1+1.1
8 Chemnitz137654%88.686.6+2.0
9 Frankfurt137654%82.983.0-0.1
10 Syntainics MBC137654%83.785.8-2.1
11 Ludwigsburg126650%82.384.9-2.6
12 Rostock125742%81.983.5-1.6
13 Vechta125742%83.286.9-3.8
14 Jena124833%82.790.3-7.7
15 Oldenburg134931%83.883.2+0.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig134931%80.788.3-7.6
17 Hamburg1221017%83.393.4-10.1
18 Heidelberg1321115%80.385.2-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2018212382
Frankfurt1410302377
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