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Rostock vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 67-85
14-18 17-22 24-16 12-29
Position#8
Record5-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record11-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game73.7
GermanyBBLRound 2· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rostock v Bayern
01 Nov 2026
ROS69
BAY67
31 Dec 2025
ROS67
BAY85
15 Dec 2024
ROS70
BAY80
07 Jan 2024
ROS85
BAY91
03 Jan 2023
ROS65
BAY78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
75-63
75
63
+12
62avg 76
A09/11
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
75-63
75
63
+12
70avg 76
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#32
W
96-68
96
68
+28
no box
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 76
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 76
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
97-72
97
72
+25
97avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
93avg 76
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 76
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 76
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 76
H26/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
27-19
19-15
14-18
22-18
17-19
14-19
22-7
23-14
26-23
20-20
27-11
20-24
21-24
27-25
19-18
25-22
15-17
24-16
23-19
21-20
30-12
21-23
25-17
14-23
20-20
21-18
24-18
19-18
21-16
23-25
21-18
27-25
24-27
25-24
16-21
16-19
8-23
16-22
26-16
162.9Avg total
85.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.383.4166.6-0.145%
Season at home (5)86.683.2169.8+3.460%
Season away (6)80.583.5164.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)85.577.4162.9+8.170%
Last 5 (5)87.083.0170.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
vs Similar (14)85.081.6166.6+3.457%
vs Weaker (13)86.081.5167.5+4.554%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
L
85-92
85
92
-7
84avg 78
A04/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
83-62
83
62
+21
76avg 78
H07/12
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 78
A12/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 78
A14/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 78
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
77-103
77
103
-26
59avg 78
A19/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
83-55
83
55
+28
84avg 78
A21/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
62avg 78
H23/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#15
W
97-69
97
69
+28
49avg 78
A26/12
BBL
Trier
#12
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 78
H28/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
21-20
15-28
27-28
15-11
12-19
28-20
28-12
23-24
23-18
20-16
22-31
23-17
18-20
27-24
19-18
22-15
16-27
24-9
12-25
17-18
22-29
16-35
22-21
23-9
17-18
19-16
24-12
14-21
18-23
14-20
26-18
22-19
26-12
18-19
31-19
25-21
31-21
20-25
18-16
163.0Avg total
84.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.873.7160.4+13.192%
Season at home (6)92.577.2169.7+15.3100%
Season away (6)81.070.2151.2+10.883%
Last 10 (10)84.079.0163.0+5.050%
Last 5 (5)84.678.4163.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.991.6165.4-17.714%
vs Similar (9)80.679.8160.3+0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.074.1160.1+11.985%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
RostockBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A09/11
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H26/12
BBL
80.5Avg total
41.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.381.1+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.538.380.8+4.254%-
Last 30 away (17)41.440.181.4+1.341%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.480.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.040.572.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (14)43.038.681.6+4.450%-
vs Weaker (13)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H07/12
BBL
Dubai
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A12/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A19/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A21/12
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H23/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A26/12
BBL
Trier
#12
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H28/12
BBL
78.8Avg total
41.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.680.8+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.440.982.4+0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)41.138.479.5+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.878.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.281.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.145.480.6-10.30%-
vs Similar (9)40.941.482.3-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.436.280.5+8.277%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.715.1
47.6%
53.8%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.0
35.5%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.717.6
81.1%
73.5%17.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.3%
53.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.9
39.8%
34.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.7
77.4%
73.5%13.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWWWWLWWW
Bayern
WWLWLLWLWL
#8
League position
#1
+9.9
Net rating
+6.1
115.0
Offensive rating
117.2
105.1
Defensive rating
111.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
55.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
39.8%
55.0%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 117.2Defence105.1 · 111.1Shooting50.3% · 55.5%3-point %35.5% · 39.8%Ball care16.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.0% · 36.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Rostock   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Bayern v Rostock91-66
15/12/24Rostock v Bayern70-80
12/05/24Bayern v Rostock101-73
07/01/24Rostock v Bayern85-91
26/04/23Bayern v Rostock108-76
03/01/23Rostock v Bayern65-78
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25HAlba Berlin66-80
20/12/25AChemnitz92-97
17/12/25ASzombathely84-77
15/12/25HLudwigsburg96-89 OT
10/12/25HTrefl Sopot97-72
08/12/25ABamberg87-74
21/11/25HVechta87-91
19/11/25HFC Porto96-68
11/11/25AAntwerp Giants75-63
09/11/25AWurzburg75-63
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HTrier94-83
26/12/25AFrankfurt97-69
23/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv72-82
21/12/25ABonn83-55
19/12/25AMonaco77-103
17/12/25ALyon-Villeurbanne74-76
14/12/25AOldenburg87-79
12/12/25ADubai88-89
07/12/25HSyntainics MBC83-62
04/12/25APartizan85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game83.386.680.5
Allowed / game83.483.283.5
Point differential-0.1+3.4-3.0
Avg total166.6169.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game86.892.581.0
Allowed / game73.777.270.2
Point differential+13.1+15.3+10.8
Avg total160.4169.7151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1211192%86.873.7+13.1
2 Alba Berlin139469%85.277.1+8.2
3 Wurzburg139469%81.277.2+3.9
4 Ulm138562%81.377.2+4.1
5 Trier138562%88.389.7-1.4
6 Bamberg127558%90.183.5+6.6
7 Bonn148657%80.279.1+1.1
8 Chemnitz137654%88.686.6+2.0
9 Frankfurt137654%82.983.0-0.1
10 Syntainics MBC137654%83.785.8-2.1
11 Ludwigsburg126650%82.384.9-2.6
12 Rostock115645%83.383.4-0.1
13 Vechta125742%83.286.9-3.8
14 Jena124833%82.790.3-7.7
15 Oldenburg134931%83.883.2+0.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig134931%80.788.3-7.6
17 Hamburg112918%82.993.6-10.7
18 Heidelberg1321115%80.385.2-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1417241267
Bayern1822162985
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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