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Rostock vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 95-101 (OT)
20-14 21-16 21-21 23-34 10-16
Position#12
Record11-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#7
Record12-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game86.6
GermanyPro ARound 27
Other2019-20
Meetings · Rostock v Paderborn
20 Nov 2021
ROS107
PAD68
28 Feb 2021
ROS92
PAD84
01 Mar 2020
ROS95
PAD101
14 Oct 2018
ROS82
PAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paderborn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#1
L
91-101
91
101
-10
H29/12
Pro A
Panthers Schwenningen
#9
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H05/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#2
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A10/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#11
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H15/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H19/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#5
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A25/01
Pro A
Leverkusen
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H01/02
Pro A
Jena
#3
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A05/02
Pro A
Tubingen
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H09/02
Pro A
Chemnitz
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
A15/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
21-27
26-22
22-30
23-19
20-17
29-23
10-13
19-20
26-28
11-15
23-19
22-21
18-17
13-12
18-18
19-22
25-13
16-16
20-19
10-24
9-16
18-14
15-23
28-27
17-20
24-22
23-16
17-21
19-20
15-20
12-13
24-21
18-9
12-13
12-19
19-25
15-34
19-28
29-22
155.8Avg total
75.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.079.9158.9-0.944%
Season at home (13)81.277.5158.7+3.862%
Season away (12)76.682.6159.2-6.025%
Last 10 (10)75.880.0155.8-4.250%
Last 5 (5)71.081.4152.4-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.687.4169.0-5.825%
vs Similar ◀ (21)78.077.7155.7+0.348%
vs Weaker (1)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#15
W
112-97
112
97
+15
H20/12
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A28/12
Pro A
Ehingen
#17
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H04/01
Pro A
Schalke
#16
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H10/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#15
W
114-95
114
95
+19
A12/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#11
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A18/01
Pro A
Leverkusen
#8
L
82-103
82
103
-21
A25/01
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
L
94-96
94
96
-2
H01/02
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H15/02
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#10
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A22/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
29-37
33-24
22-17
16-21
21-21
18-22
21-27
25-27
24-14
27-22
23-12
28-18
24-24
25-19
17-20
29-15
29-21
39-25
17-34
22-24
23-22
16-25
26-20
23-21
20-27
22-31
17-24
24-15
24-27
16-27
30-27
29-16
23-19
22-18
27-21
23-24
13-21
11-13
27-19
181.3Avg total
93.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.786.6174.2+1.150%
Season at home (12)93.585.2178.7+8.367%
Season away (12)81.888.0169.8-6.233%
Last 10 (10)93.388.0181.3+5.350%
Last 5 (5)87.688.2175.8-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.492.4169.9-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.285.2170.5+0.038%
vs Weaker (7)95.783.3179.0+12.4100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
RostockPaderborn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H29/12
Pro A
Panthers Schwenningen
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A10/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#5
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A25/01
Pro A
Leverkusen
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/02
Pro A
Jena
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A05/02
Pro A
Tubingen
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H09/02
Pro A
Chemnitz
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A15/02
Pro A
81.4Avg total
39.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.638.482.1+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.581.4-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.381.4-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.478.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.445.486.8-4.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.838.879.5+2.052%-
vs Weaker (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PS Karlsruhe
#15
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H20/12
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A28/12
Pro A
Ehingen
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/01
Pro A
Schalke
#16
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H10/01
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#15
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A12/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/01
Pro A
Leverkusen
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/01
Pro A
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H01/02
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H15/02
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A22/02
Pro A
91.0Avg total
47.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.5-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.887.5+1.973%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.181.4-2.720%-
Last 10 (10)47.743.391.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.288.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.345.182.4-7.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.641.883.4-0.144%-
vs Weaker (7)47.741.389.0+6.486%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rostock wins
2
Paderborn wins
DateGameScore
31/10/19Paderborn v Rostock85-76
23/02/19Paderborn v Rostock81-92
14/10/18Rostock v Paderborn82-83
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/20AChemnitz82-109
09/02/20HTubingen66-62
05/02/20AJena63-74
01/02/20HLeverkusen92-85
25/01/20ANurnberger52-77
19/01/20HPS Karlsruhe80-70
15/01/20HKirchheim71-68
10/01/20ABremerhaven79-82
05/01/20HPanthers Schwenningen82-72
29/12/19HChemnitz91-101
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/20APhoenix Hagen74-77
15/02/20HTrier101-74
01/02/20HHeidelberg94-96
25/01/20ALeverkusen82-103
18/01/20AKirchheim87-91
12/01/20APS Karlsruhe114-95
10/01/20HSchalke94-81
04/01/20HEhingen99-75
28/12/19ATrier76-91
20/12/19HPS Karlsruhe112-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
Pro A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game79.081.276.6
Allowed / game79.977.582.6
Point differential-0.9+3.8-6.0
Avg total158.9158.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Paderborn
Pro A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game87.793.581.8
Allowed / game86.685.288.0
Point differential+1.1+8.3-6.2
Avg total174.2178.7169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz2423196%94.878.9+15.9
2 Bremerhaven2519676%87.879.2+8.6
3 Jena2416867%83.183.3-0.2
4 Heidelberg27161159%81.478.9+2.5
5 Nurnberger26151158%83.183.0+0.2
6 Trier24131154%83.580.5+3.0
7 Leverkusen26141254%81.783.6-1.9
8 Paderborn24121250%87.786.6+1.1
9 Phoenix Hagen25121348%84.282.4+1.8
10 Panthers Schwenningen26121446%78.479.0-0.6
11 Kirchheim26121446%81.684.1-2.5
12 Tubingen25111444%81.181.9-0.8
13 Rostock25111444%79.079.9-0.9
14 Artland2591636%79.082.8-3.8
15 PS Karlsruhe2581732%80.083.6-3.6
16 Schalke2671927%76.581.7-5.2
17 Ehingen2542116%74.286.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rostock202121231095
Paderborn1416213416101
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