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Rusichi Kursk vs Dynamo Grozny Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-94
19-21 16-26 23-19 18-28
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game85.2
Rusichi Kursk
Russia
Vs
17%
83%
■ RUSI 17%■ DYNA 83%
Pythia win probability
Projected 72-83
Projected total 155.3
Dynamo Grozny 🏆
Russia
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game72.2
RussiaSuper League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rusichi Kursk v Dynamo Grozny
02 Nov 2026
RUSI76
DYNA94
02 Oct 2024
RUSI75
DYNA81
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Super League clash on 2 November 2026 pits Rusichi Kursk against Dynamo Grozny, with the model clearly favouring the latter, rating an 83% chance of victory thanks to their 5-1 record and 82.5 points per game compared with Kursk's 1-4 record and 70.4 points per game. Kursk's season shows 1-4 overall, 70.4 points scored and 85.2 allowed, while their home form is 1-1 with 70.0 points and 75.5 allowed; their last five games included losses to Ufa 73-96, Temp Sumz Revda 77-90 and Desna Bryansk 62-89. Dynamo Grozny, meanwhile, has a 5-1 record, 82.5 points scored and 72.2 allowed, and a perfect 2-0 road record with 82.5 points and 72.5 allowed; their recent five games include a loss to University-Ugra 67-69 and wins over Khimki M. 93-80 and Barnaul 82-70. The only prior meeting ended with Dynamo Grozny winning 81-75 on 2 October 2024. Pythia projects a 72-83 score, a total of 155.3, with a 17% chance for Kursk and 83% for Grozny, a 10.0-point line that the model sees a 46% chance of covering, and a 156.0 total line with a 48% over probability, while a 3% overtime likelihood remains. The game will see Dynamo Grozny extend their dominant form against a struggling Kursk side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rusichi Kursk winLost
16.6%fair 6.04
Best odds4.45
Implied20.5%
Edge-4.0pp
Dynamo Grozny winWon
83.4%fair 1.20
Best odds1.20
Implied79.5%
Edge+4.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rusichi KurskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban 2
#15
L
69-99
69
99
-30
H25/04
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#10
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H02/10
Russian Cup
BC Moscow
#5
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H17/09
Russian Cup
Desna Bryansk
#26
W
98-85
98
85
+13
A18/09
Russian Cup
Khimki-Podmoskovie
#31
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H19/09
Russian Cup
Khimki M.
#6
L
59-83
59
83
-24
H02/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H05/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
L
62-89
62
89
-27
A15/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A21/10
Super League
Ufa
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A24/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
24-25
12-28
10-28
20-24
19-19
20-21
16-17
24-28
18-20
21-31
10-16
26-29
23-18
22-18
27-20
11-19
21-10
17-13
17-11
12-16
13-15
9-19
25-33
17-13
30-22
18-13
16-20
9-28
22-20
15-14
16-27
18-29
16-20
24-26
19-15
28-24
16-25
15-26
14-21
157.2Avg total
73.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.485.2155.6-14.820%
Season at home (2)70.075.5145.5-5.550%
Season away (3)70.791.7162.3-21.00%
Last 10 (10)73.383.9157.2-10.630%
Last 5 (5)70.485.2155.6-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.187.7161.7-13.622%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)82.069.0151.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Dynamo Grozny) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo GroznyRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novosibirsk
#10
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A17/05
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H21/05
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A23/05
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H25/05
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H01/10
Super League
Tambov
#8
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H04/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A12/10
Super League
Barnaul
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A15/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H22/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H25/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
10-21
12-17
19-21
27-11
14-18
15-16
27-12
12-15
18-11
21-17
15-19
15-15
24-16
14-12
7-14
18-22
26-17
17-13
26-23
24-19
19-13
20-22
20-10
12-17
27-16
26-17
18-25
24-17
14-17
31-21
13-15
27-23
17-18
20-15
29-24
10-18
23-24
14-11
20-16
144.7Avg total
76.7Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.572.2154.7+10.383%
Season at home (4)82.572.0154.5+10.575%
Season away (2)82.572.5155.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.768.0144.7+8.780%
Last 5 (5)81.671.6153.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.084.0164.0-4.00%
vs Similar (13)77.276.5153.7+0.654%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)76.566.8143.2+9.881%
This opponent (Rusichi Kursk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151Actual: Over 151
Over 151
60.2%
@ 1.52
Under 151
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.52
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156 · main lineActual: Over 156
Over 156
47.8%
@ 1.88-1.8pp
Under 156
52.2%
@ 1.85+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Be
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 161Actual: Over 161
Over 161
35.6%
Under 161
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Rusichi Kursk total 68.5Actual: Rusichi Kursk over 68.5
Over 68.5
63.4%
Under 68.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rusichi Kursk total 72.5 · main lineActual: Rusichi Kursk over 72.5
Over 72.5
47.9%
@ 1.82-2.4pp
Under 72.5
52.1%
@ 1.84+2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Rusichi Kursk total 76.5Actual: Rusichi Kursk under 76.5
Over 76.5
32.9%
Under 76.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Grozny total 78.5Actual: Dynamo Grozny over 78.5
Over 78.5
68.1%
Under 78.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Grozny total 82.5 · main lineActual: Dynamo Grozny over 82.5
Over 82.5
52.8%
@ 1.81+2.2pp
Under 82.5
47.2%
@ 1.85-2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Dynamo Grozny total 86.5Actual: Dynamo Grozny over 86.5
Over 86.5
37.0%
Under 86.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rusichi Kursk +7Actual: Dynamo Grozny -7
RUSI +7
35.0%
@ 2.40-3.6pp
DYNA -7
65.0%
@ 1.53+3.6pp
Best 5 market prices
RUSI
Pinnacle
2.40
DYNA
Marathon Be
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Spread Rusichi Kursk +10 · main lineActual: Dynamo Grozny -10
RUSI +10
46.1%
@ 1.88-3.5pp
DYNA -10
53.9%
@ 1.85+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
RUSI
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
DYNA
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Spread Rusichi Kursk +13Actual: Dynamo Grozny -13
RUSI +13
57.3%
DYNA -13
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
RUSI
No market prices yet.
DYNA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
Rusichi KurskDynamo Grozny
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rusichi KurskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban 2
#15
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/04
Super League
Dynamo Grozny
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H02/10
Russian Cup
BC Moscow
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H17/09
Russian Cup
Desna Bryansk
#26
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A18/09
Russian Cup
Khimki-Podmoskovie
#31
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/09
Russian Cup
Khimki M.
#6
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H02/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#7
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A15/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/10
Super League
Ufa
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
Super League
81.2Avg total
39.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77
Last 30 (30)37.844.081.9-6.233%67%
Last 30 at home (17)38.243.781.9-5.535%65%
Last 30 away (13)37.444.581.8-7.131%69%
Last 10 (10)39.042.281.2-3.240%80%
Last 5 (5)36.242.478.6-6.220%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.644.582.1-6.930%67%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)40.538.078.5+2.5100%50%
This opponent (Dynamo Grozny) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo GroznyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novosibirsk
#10
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A17/05
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/05
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A23/05
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H25/05
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H01/10
Super League
Tambov
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/10
Super League
Barnaul
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A15/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H25/10
Super League
72.3Avg total
38.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77
Last 30 (30)38.134.872.9+3.463%33%
Last 30 at home (15)39.234.573.7+4.767%33%
Last 30 away (15)37.135.172.1+2.060%33%
Last 10 (10)38.334.072.3+4.380%20%
Last 5 (5)39.436.475.8+3.080%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.041.078.0-4.00%100%
vs Similar (13)37.635.873.4+1.854%46%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.633.672.2+5.175%19%
This opponent (Rusichi Kursk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Rusichi Kursk +5 · main lineActual: Dynamo Grozny -5
RUSI +5
no forecast
@ 1.82
DYNA -5
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Over/Under 77 · main lineActual: Over 77
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Rusichi Kursk 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Rusichi Kursk under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Dynamo Grozny (regulation)
RUSI
no forecast
@ 3.16
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
DYNA
no forecast
@ 1.37

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Dynamo Grozny (regulation)81.5%1.20
Marathon Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.20		---+7.2ppWon
Dynamo Grozny win83.4%1.18
1xBet
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.15		--+4.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rusichi Kursk wins
1
Dynamo Grozny wins
DateGameScore
02/10/24Rusichi Kursk v Dynamo Grozny75-81
Rusichi Kursklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AUfa73-96
21/10/26ATemp Sumz Revda77-90
15/10/26ADesna Bryansk62-89
05/10/26HUniversity-Ugra81-68
02/10/26HKhimki M.59-83
19/09/25HKhimki-Podmoskovie66-53
18/09/25ADesna Bryansk98-85
17/09/25HBC Moscow73-95
02/10/24HDynamo Grozny75-81
25/04/24HLokomotiv Kuban 269-99
Dynamo Groznylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HUniversity-Ugra67-69
22/10/26HKhimki M.93-80
15/10/26ABarnaul82-70
12/10/26ANovosibirsk83-75
04/10/26HTambov83-64
01/10/26HIzhevsk87-75
25/05/26HNovosibirsk60-57
23/05/26ANovosibirsk66-62
21/05/26HNovosibirsk83-57
17/05/26ANovosibirsk63-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rusichi Kursk
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game70.470.070.7
Allowed / game85.275.591.7
Point differential-14.8-5.5-21.0
Avg total155.6145.5162.3
Over 15640%0%67%
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dynamo Grozny
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game82.582.582.5
Allowed / game72.272.072.5
Point differential+10.3+10.5+10.0
Avg total154.7154.5155.0
Over 15650%50%50%
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ufa76186%89.171.4+17.7
2 Temp Sumz Revda76186%91.177.9+13.3
3 Dynamo Grozny65183%82.572.2+10.3
4 Chelyabinsk65183%91.791.2+0.5
5 CSKA Moscow 275271%73.166.7+6.4
6 Khimki M.74357%83.777.3+6.4
7 University-Ugra73443%72.680.1-7.6
8 Tambov62433%71.373.8-2.5
9 Metallurg62433%76.281.2-5.0
10 Barnaul72529%78.683.9-5.3
11 Novosibirsk72529%80.989.1-8.3
12 Rusichi Kursk51420%70.485.2-14.8
13 Izhevsk61517%79.586.7-7.2
14 Desna Bryansk61517%68.879.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rusichi Kursk1916231876
Dynamo Grozny2126192894
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