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Rytas vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-94 (OT)
15-13 21-20 21-22 22-24 7-15
Position#11
Record6-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game77.9
Rytas
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Position#4
Record8-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2018
Meetings · Rytas v Alba Berlin
16 Jan 2019
RYT86
ABE94
20 Dec 2017
RYT94
ABE73
07 Dec 2016
RYT97
ABE99
31 Jan 2012
RYT86
ABE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A09/12
LKL
Torino
#24
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
A11/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#22
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H19/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A23/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H27/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H29/12
LKL
Partizan
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H02/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A05/01
LKL
Monaco
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A09/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A12/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
24-19
16-30
32-24
29-22
18-14
22-21
17-29
17-15
14-22
20-17
20-13
24-21
26-14
25-22
20-16
24-18
23-22
25-16
17-23
23-21
23-27
23-15
20-19
28-23
20-19
17-17
15-15
24-17
17-21
21-16
17-14
21-15
11-15
19-17
19-28
24-22
19-20
21-16
18-17
162.6Avg total
84.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.877.9155.8-0.150%
Season at home (6)76.574.8151.3+1.767%
Season away (6)79.281.0160.2-1.833%
Last 10 (10)84.278.4162.6+5.880%
Last 5 (5)80.074.8154.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.585.2162.7-7.717%
vs Similar (6)81.278.7159.8+2.550%
vs Weaker (18)84.171.6155.7+12.589%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#23
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A11/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A16/12
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H19/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A23/12
German Cup
Giessen
#13
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H27/12
BBL
Bremerhaven
#17
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A29/12
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H03/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A05/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A09/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A13/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
25-21
17-19
15-12
19-23
24-22
14-24
24-14
21-17
19-22
19-31
23-22
21-24
20-16
20-15
17-15
27-18
27-31
28-27
26-20
25-17
20-21
21-28
28-20
18-15
26-23
21-15
18-21
18-28
28-14
10-20
23-21
13-19
15-18
15-13
23-28
22-21
27-22
20-17
24-24
165.0Avg total
84.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.283.0170.2+4.267%
Season at home (6)90.085.0175.0+5.067%
Season away (6)84.381.0165.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)84.081.0165.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)83.081.0164.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)82.783.1165.9-0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.980.0170.9+10.977%
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
RytasAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/12
LKL
Torino
#24
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A11/12
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#22
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H19/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A23/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H27/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H29/12
LKL
Partizan
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H02/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A05/01
LKL
Monaco
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/01
LKL
81.2Avg total
42.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.779.2+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.078.5+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.438.579.9+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.981.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (6)39.839.779.5+0.267%-
vs Weaker (18)42.636.579.1+6.167%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#23
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A11/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/12
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/12
German Cup
Giessen
#13
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H27/12
BBL
Bremerhaven
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A29/12
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A05/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A13/01
BBL
83.8Avg total
43.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.385.0+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.640.385.9+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)43.940.284.1+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.483.8+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)41.942.384.1-0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.439.985.3+5.573%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.2
48.8%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.2
31.8%
36.6%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.415.4
75.5%
74.9%15.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.6
49.5%
51.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.0
39.8%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
74.9%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WLWWWWWWWL
Alba Berlin
WLLWWWWLLW
#11
League position
#4
-2.1
Net rating
+3.8
104.0
Offensive rating
108.1
106.1
Defensive rating
104.3
48.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.8%
3-point %
39.8%
56.1%
Assist %
75.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 108.1Defence106.1 · 104.3Shooting48.4% · 53.1%3-point %31.8% · 39.8%Ball care17.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Rytas   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rytas wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
20/12/17Rytas v Alba Berlin94-73
01/11/17Alba Berlin v Rytas93-86
07/12/16Rytas v Alba Berlin97-99
02/11/16Alba Berlin v Rytas124-115 OT
07/02/12Alba Berlin v Rytas62-79
31/01/12Rytas v Alba Berlin86-75
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/19ASiauliai82-75
09/01/19AMonaco70-75
05/01/19AJuventus79-68
02/01/19HPartizan80-74
29/12/18HPieno Zvaigzdes89-82
27/12/18HAlytaus Dzukija89-79
23/12/18ALietkabelis95-73
19/12/18HMornar Bar71-67
11/12/18ATorino101-96 OT
09/12/18AZalgiris Kaunas86-95
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19AOldenburg93-84
09/01/19APartizan66-78
05/01/19ABasketball Braunschweig79-83
03/01/19HMonaco83-74
29/12/18ABremerhaven94-86
27/12/18HGiessen108-96
23/12/18ABayern78-70
19/12/18HLokomotiv Kuban82-92
16/12/18ABayern81-83
11/12/18AGdynia76-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game77.876.579.2
Allowed / game77.974.881.0
Point differential-0.1+1.7-1.8
Avg total155.8151.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game87.290.084.3
Allowed / game83.085.081.0
Point differential+4.2+5.0+3.3
Avg total170.2175.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1311285%85.375.8+9.5
2 Lokomotiv Kuban1210283%84.975.2+9.8
3 Valencia1210283%84.275.6+8.6
4 Unicaja1310377%87.879.2+8.6
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne129375%79.274.4+4.8
6 MoraBanc Andorra139469%86.482.8+3.6
7 Monaco139469%78.275.2+3.0
8 Alba Berlin128467%87.283.0+4.2
9 Crvena zvezda127558%81.876.5+5.3
10 Ulm126650%84.083.1+0.9
11 Rytas126650%77.877.9-0.1
12 Frankfurt126650%76.077.8-1.8
13 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
14 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
15 Zenit Petersburg135838%84.182.9+1.2
16 Partizan135838%75.176.1-1.0
17 Cedevita135838%83.786.2-2.5
18 Limoges134931%79.683.6-4.0
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rytas15212122786
Alba Berlin132022241594
← all games of the day
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