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Ryukyu vs Macau Black Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:40
Final 87-81
21-24 20-19 22-16 24-22
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.0
Ryukyu 🏆
vs
Macau Black Bears
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game96.3
EuropeEASL· Okinawa Arena
Other2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Macau Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
91avg 80
A08/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 80
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
87avg 80
A12/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 80
H15/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 80
H16/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
76avg 80
A06/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 80
A07/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
60-73
60
73
-13
43avg 80
H10/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
95-72
95
72
+23
97avg 80
A13/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
102-77
102
77
+25
103avg 80
A14/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
25-17
21-16
23-19
23-29
19-18
23-22
16-14
23-26
24-16
24-18
11-22
22-26
29-20
18-15
22-15
27-22
25-14
21-16
12-19
20-19
23-20
15-19
23-14
20-15
27-23
18-15
9-15
15-22
12-21
23-13
10-17
28-25
29-12
22-15
16-20
25-17
19-22
30-19
28-19
160.1Avg total
85.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.583.0163.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)85.474.7160.1+10.780%
Last 5 (5)82.472.4154.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
vs Similar (10)78.979.3158.2-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.374.2159.4+11.179%
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Macau Black BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Malaysia Dragons
#3
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H29/01
ABL
Meralco Bolts
#8
L
85-97
85
97
-12
no box
A02/10
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
W
109-97
109
97
+12
no box
A23/10
EASL
Ryukyu
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
H30/10
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H06/11
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
95-114
95
114
-19
no box
H11/12
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
77avg 72
A15/01
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
53avg 72
A15/11
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 72
H06/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
77avg 72
A14/12
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
23-17
25-19
27-27
17-24
22-19
25-30
21-24
34-23
21-26
25-26
29-22
28-25
25-23
20-24
20-24
32-34
29-22
23-18
27-23
17-33
29-28
17-35
32-18
21-24
19-17
22-19
27-18
24-25
14-23
14-17
22-27
27-29
17-22
19-20
28-22
40-17
25-28
10-29
11-30
188.5Avg total
93.0Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.796.3180.0-12.70%
Season at home (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
Season away (2)80.098.0178.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)93.095.5188.5-2.540%
Last 5 (5)87.096.2183.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)92.799.3192.0-6.733%
vs Similar (13)90.292.2182.5-2.031%
vs Weaker (11)96.790.3187.0+6.564%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
RyukyuMacau Black Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A08/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A12/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A06/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A07/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H10/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A13/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/12
B League
85.9Avg total
45.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.180.5+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.537.780.3+4.873%-
Last 30 away (19)42.338.480.6+3.963%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.185.9+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.282.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.437.977.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.837.781.5+6.174%-
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Macau Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malaysia Dragons
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/01
ABL
Meralco Bolts
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/10
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A23/10
EASL
Ryukyu
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/10
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H06/11
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H11/12
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A15/01
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A15/11
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H06/12
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A14/12
EASL
96.9Avg total
48.6Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.946.393.2+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.146.693.6+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)46.646.192.7+0.629%-
Last 10 (10)48.648.396.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.649.295.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)49.051.0100.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (13)44.245.489.5-1.238%-
vs Weaker (11)48.944.993.8+4.055%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.3
53.3%
52.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
36.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.912.8
75.7%
75.1%12.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Macau Black Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Macau Black Bears: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.3
49.2%
52.3%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.3
33.0%
36.8%31.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.3
70.8%
75.1%11.3
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WWLWWWWWLW
Macau Black Bears
LLLWLWLWLW
#2
League position
#12
+13.8
Net rating
-15.3
116.7
Offensive rating
100.3
103.0
Defensive rating
115.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
12.6%
39.1%
Off. rebound %
17.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.4%
3-point %
33.0%
67.2%
Assist %
47.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 100.3Defence103.0 · 115.6Shooting53.2% · 49.3%3-point %35.4% · 33.0%Ball care16.5% · 12.6%Off. rebounds39.1% · 17.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Macau Black Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ryukyu wins
0
Macau Black Bears wins
DateGameScore
30/10/24Macau Black Bears v Ryukyu93-96
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ASaga102-77
13/12/25ASaga95-72
10/12/25HDiamond Dolphins60-73
07/12/25AHiroshima D.74-68
06/12/25AHiroshima D.81-72
16/11/25HKyoto85-71
15/11/25HKyoto91-76
12/11/25AOsaka93-86 OT
09/11/25ANeoPhoenix81-83
08/11/25ANeoPhoenix92-69
Macau Black Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots86-104
06/12/25HMeralco Bolts91-93
15/11/25AMeralco Bolts74-92
15/01/25AKCC Egis89-78
11/12/24HNew Taipei Kings95-114
06/11/24HKCC Egis111-97
30/10/24HRyukyu93-96
23/10/24ANew Taipei Kings109-97
02/10/24AMeralco Bolts85-97
29/01/20HMalaysia Dragons97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
EASL 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.581.080.0
Allowed / game83.072.094.0
Point differential-2.5+9.0-14.0
Avg total163.5153.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Macau Black Bears
EASL 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game83.791.080.0
Allowed / game96.393.098.0
Point differential-12.7-2.0-18.0
Avg total180.0184.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fubon Braves220100%102.094.0+8.0
2 Taoyuan Pauian Pilots43175%89.080.8+8.2
3 Alvark32167%89.382.0+7.3
4 Seoul Knights32167%89.087.3+1.7
5 Xac Broncos53260%91.285.8+5.4
6 Meralco Bolts53260%82.880.8+2.0
7 New Taipei Kings53260%91.491.2+0.2
8 Ryukyu21150%80.583.0-2.5
9 Utsunomiya Brex31233%94.094.0+0.0
10 LG Sakers51420%82.692.6-10.0
11 Hong Kong Eastern2020%84.094.5-10.5
12 Macau Black Bears3030%83.796.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu2120222487
Macau Black Bears2419162281
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