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Macau Black Bears vs Meralco Bolts Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:10
Final 91-93
27-29 17-22 19-20 28-22
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game92.0
Macau Black Bears
vs
Meralco Bolts 🏆
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeEASL· Studio City Event Center
Other2026
Meetings · Macau Black Bears v Meralco Bolts
11 Apr 2026
MACA110
MERA115
06 Dec 2025
MACA91
MERA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Macau Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Meralco Bolts winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Macau Black BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Wolf Warriors
#8
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H21/01
ABL
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
H26/01
ABL
Malaysia Dragons
#3
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H29/01
ABL
Meralco Bolts
#8
L
85-97
85
97
-12
no box
A02/10
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
W
109-97
109
97
+12
no box
A23/10
EASL
Ryukyu
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
H30/10
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H06/11
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
95-114
95
114
-19
86avg 72
H11/12
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
77avg 72
A15/01
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
53avg 72
A15/11
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
18-24
34-25
21-22
25-27
22-15
22-14
28-24
22-24
23-17
25-19
27-27
17-24
22-19
25-30
21-24
34-23
21-26
25-26
29-22
28-25
25-23
20-24
20-24
32-34
29-22
23-18
27-23
17-33
29-28
17-35
32-18
21-24
19-17
22-19
27-18
24-25
14-23
14-17
22-27
188.0Avg total
94.5Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.092.0166.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.092.0166.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)94.593.5188.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)92.495.4187.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)94.899.8194.5-5.050%
vs Similar (14)90.692.9183.5-2.229%
vs Weaker (12)95.987.9183.8+8.067%
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Meralco BoltsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBolts
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
84-101
84
101
-17
no box
A11/05
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
92-117
92
117
-25
no box
H14/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
103-85
103
85
+18
no box
H21/05
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
108-92
108
92
+16
no box
A25/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H30/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
97-108
97
108
-11
no box
H20/06
Philippine Cup
Ryukyu
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 70
A22/10
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
58avg 70
A02/11
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
85-76
85
76
+9
74avg 70
H08/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 70
H15/11
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
21-31
32-24
12-32
19-30
26-25
28-27
19-35
22-18
30-21
24-23
27-23
21-18
24-29
32-23
31-22
17-17
20-20
24-19
21-17
20-35
24-23
31-23
22-27
18-14
18-23
20-22
16-22
16-21
14-22
17-21
25-18
23-14
20-16
23-20
19-26
25-24
23-14
17-14
27-22
177.6Avg total
88.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.278.2158.5+2.050%
Season at home (2)88.575.0163.5+13.5100%
Season away (2)72.081.5153.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)88.788.9177.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.684.2167.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)93.2100.6193.8-7.427%
vs Similar (10)92.694.2186.8-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)97.283.0180.2+14.280%
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
Macau Black BearsMeralco Bolts
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Macau Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wolf Warriors
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H21/01
ABL
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H26/01
ABL
Malaysia Dragons
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/01
ABL
Meralco Bolts
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/10
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A23/10
EASL
Ryukyu
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/10
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H06/11
EASL
New Taipei Kings
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H11/12
EASL
KCC Egis
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A15/01
EASL
Meralco Bolts
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A15/11
EASL
94.3Avg total
46.4Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.545.792.2+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.945.392.2+1.662%-
Last 30 away (14)46.146.192.2-0.129%-
Last 10 (10)46.447.994.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.650.898.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)46.252.598.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (14)45.145.490.5-0.443%-
vs Weaker (12)48.343.892.1+4.658%-
This opponent (Meralco Bolts) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Meralco BoltsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A11/05
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H14/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H21/05
Philippine Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A25/05
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H30/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H20/06
Philippine Cup
Ryukyu
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/10
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/11
EASL
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H08/11
EASL
Macau Black Bears
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H15/11
EASL
84.9Avg total
42.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.747.190.8-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.549.193.6-4.733%-
Last 30 away (15)42.945.087.9-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.984.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.281.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.649.291.8-6.627%-
vs Similar (10)44.346.991.2-2.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.841.086.8+4.860%-
This opponent (Macau Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Macau Black Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Macau Black Bears: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.017.0
38.6%
52.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.08.0
24.2%
36.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
75.1%14.0
They take 77.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Meralco Boltstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Meralco Bolts: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.0 points a game
50%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.2
48.5%
52.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.84.7
26.4%
36.8%14.1
🏀 Free throws20.213.9
68.8%
75.1%13.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Macau Black Bears
LWLWLWLWWL
Meralco Bolts
WWLLLWWWLL
#12
League position
#7
-23.6
Net rating
+1.3
85.1
Offensive rating
104.9
108.8
Defensive rating
103.6
37.7%
Effective FG%
45.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
8.3%
Turnover %
12.6%
15.4%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
24.2%
3-point %
26.4%
44.0%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.1 · 104.9Defence108.8 · 103.6Shooting37.7% · 45.9%3-point %24.2% · 26.4%Ball care8.3% · 12.6%Off. rebounds15.4% · 31.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Macau Black Bears   ■ Meralco Bolts
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Macau Black Bears wins
2
Meralco Bolts wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Meralco Bolts v Macau Black Bears92-74
02/10/24Meralco Bolts v Macau Black Bears97-85
Macau Black Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AMeralco Bolts74-92
15/01/25AKCC Egis89-78
11/12/24HNew Taipei Kings95-114
06/11/24HKCC Egis111-97
30/10/24HRyukyu93-96
23/10/24ANew Taipei Kings109-97
02/10/24AMeralco Bolts85-97
29/01/20HMalaysia Dragons97-87
26/01/20HHong Kong Eastern97-80
21/01/20HWolf Warriors95-97
Meralco Boltslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HMacau Black Bears92-74
08/11/25HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots85-76
02/11/25ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots72-82
22/10/25ARyukyu72-81
20/06/25HSan Miguel Beermen97-108
30/05/25HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel82-73
25/05/25ANLEX Road Warriors108-92
21/05/25HBlackwater Bossing103-85
14/05/25HMagnolia Hotshots92-117
11/05/25ATNT Tropang Giga84-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Macau Black Bears
EASL 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game92.0-92.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Meralco Bolts
EASL 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.288.572.0
Allowed / game78.275.081.5
Point differential+2.0+13.5-9.5
Avg total158.5163.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fubon Braves110100%109.0107.0+2.0
2 Xac Broncos43175%93.282.8+10.5
3 Taoyuan Pauian Pilots32167%84.079.0+5.0
4 New Taipei Kings53260%91.491.2+0.2
5 Utsunomiya Brex21150%102.099.0+3.0
6 Meralco Bolts42250%80.278.2+2.0
7 Alvark21150%88.086.5+1.5
8 Seoul Knights21150%91.592.0-0.5
9 Ryukyu21150%80.583.0-2.5
10 Hong Kong Eastern1010%87.094.0-7.0
11 LG Sakers3030%80.796.0-15.3
12 Macau Black Bears1010%74.092.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Macau Black Bears2717192891
Meralco Bolts2922202293
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