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Motilones del Norte vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 74-67
16-27 24-8 20-28 14-4
Position#1
Record45-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#7
Record21-34
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game82.5
ColombiaLBPLBP - Semi-finals· Toto Hernandez Coliseum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Motilones del Norte v Cimarrones del Choco
09 Dec 2024
MOTI81
CIMA73
08 Dec 2024
MOTI74
CIMA67
07 Dec 2024
MOTI85
CIMA68
07 Nov 2024
MOTI63
CIMA67
06 Nov 2024
MOTI79
CIMA86
02 Jun 2024
MOTI89
CIMA73
01 Jun 2024
MOTI95
CIMA88
03 Dec 2021
MOTI75
CIMA63
30 Nov 2021
MOTI72
CIMA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Motilones del Norte winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Motilones del NorteColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorte
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 76
A19/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
103-101
103
101
+2
91avg 76
A22/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
103-97
103
97
+6
91avg 76
A23/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
73-65
73
65
+8
64avg 76
H26/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
111-65
111
65
+46
111avg 76
H27/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
W
117-88
117
88
+29
116avg 76
H30/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
87avg 76
H01/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
86-92
86
92
-6
74avg 76
A04/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
63avg 76
A05/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
76avg 76
H07/12
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
22-20
14-13
16-16
23-28
30-29
18-26
32-18
20-32
33-20
24-24
26-21
23-16
10-8
28-18
12-23
31-19
22-20
30-7
28-19
26-23
29-15
35-21
27-29
23-31
31-27
13-18
23-11
22-21
22-24
23-17
19-30
27-16
20-11
15-25
12-22
22-18
23-12
21-20
19-18
174.3Avg total
91.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)84.377.2161.5+7.173%
Season at home (30)82.872.3155.1+10.583%
Season away (32)85.781.8167.4+3.962%
Last 10 (10)91.882.5174.3+9.370%
Last 5 (5)91.083.8174.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)74.175.0149.1-0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.376.9164.2+10.478%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
120-86
120
86
+34
110avg 69
A17/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
108-112
108
112
-4
101avg 69
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
W
94-90
94
90
+4
81avg 69
A20/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 69
H24/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
79avg 69
H24/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
83avg 69
H27/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
98-85
98
85
+13
92avg 69
H28/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
92-86
92
86
+6
87avg 69
H04/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
80avg 69
H05/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 69
A07/12
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
33-20
29-14
32-29
37-27
27-28
23-32
21-25
22-21
17-27
33-24
22-18
16-21
16-20
20-12
15-21
20-16
12-14
31-12
21-26
20-16
16-21
27-14
20-25
14-20
29-28
25-22
30-15
21-22
24-22
17-23
30-19
16-27
11-20
25-15
22-12
18-22
12-23
20-21
18-19
173.7Avg total
89.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)80.082.5162.5-2.638%
Season at home (28)81.181.2162.4-0.150%
Season away (27)78.783.9162.6-5.126%
Last 10 (10)89.883.9173.7+5.970%
Last 5 (5)85.081.8166.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.883.8161.5-6.035%
vs Similar (9)80.876.9157.7+3.967%
vs Weaker (4)106.890.5197.2+16.275%
This opponent (Motilones del Norte) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
Motilones del NorteCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Motilones del NorteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A22/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A23/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H26/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H27/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H30/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H01/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A05/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H07/12
LBP
89.9Avg total
48.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.380.0+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.035.575.5+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.040.483.4+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)48.041.989.9+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)49.039.688.6+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)36.941.678.4-4.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.237.380.5+5.965%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A17/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H24/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
LBP
84.5Avg total
40.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.482.1-2.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.041.978.9-4.941%-
Last 30 away (13)43.343.186.4+0.262%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.884.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.280.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.143.580.6-6.441%-
vs Similar (9)41.041.182.1-0.156%-
vs Weaker (4)48.040.888.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Motilones del Norte) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Motilones del Nortetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Motilones del Norte: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.6
56.0%
50.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.1
28.9%
32.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.315.3
68.6%
68.5%15.3
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.7
52.9%
50.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.2
37.1%
32.0%36.6
🏀 Free throws15.311.5
75.2%
68.5%11.5
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Motilones del Norte
WLLWWWWWWL
Cimarrones del Choco
LWWWWWLWLW
#1
League position
#7
+11.0
Net rating
+7.9
109.3
Offensive rating
107.6
98.4
Defensive rating
99.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
28.9%
3-point %
37.1%
48.1%
Assist %
57.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 107.6Defence98.4 · 99.7Shooting51.2% · 54.2%3-point %28.9% · 37.1%Ball care16.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds35.0% · 24.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Motilones del Norte   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HCimarrones del Choco85-68
05/12/24ACimarrones del Choco77-84 OT
04/12/24ACimarrones del Choco86-92
01/12/24HToros del Valle90-87
30/11/24HToros del Valle117-88
27/11/24HSabios de Manizales111-65
26/11/24HSabios de Manizales73-65
23/11/24APiratas de Bogota103-97
22/11/24APiratas de Bogota103-101
19/11/24ACaribbean Storm Islands73-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AMotilones del Norte68-85
05/12/24HMotilones del Norte84-77 OT
04/12/24HMotilones del Norte92-86
28/11/24HPiratas de Bogota98-85
27/11/24HPiratas de Bogota83-76
24/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands84-68
24/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands67-74
20/11/24AToros del Valle94-90
19/11/24AToros del Valle108-112
17/11/24ASabios de Manizales120-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Motilones del Norte
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW73%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %73%83%62%
Points / game84.382.885.7
Allowed / game77.272.381.8
Point differential+7.1+10.5+3.9
Avg total161.5155.1167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)71% (7)56% (9)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL38%
HomeWWWWW50%
AwayWWLWL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %38%50%26%
Points / game80.081.178.7
Allowed / game82.581.283.9
Point differential-2.6-0.1-5.1
Avg total162.5162.4162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)57% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %9%11%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Motilones del Norte62451773%84.377.2+7.1
2 Titanes de Barranquilla37261170%80.375.0+5.3
3 Caribbean Storm Islands60392165%83.778.7+5.1
4 Bucaros31181358%82.882.4+0.4
5 Toros del Valle67333449%86.884.9+1.8
6 Paisas24111346%78.479.0-0.6
7 Cimarrones del Choco55213438%80.082.5-2.6
8 Piratas de Bogota54193535%83.486.8-3.4
9 Corsarios Cartagena2872125%75.882.4-6.6
10 Sabios de Manizales242228%75.298.2-22.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Motilones del Norte1624201474
Cimarrones del Choco27828467
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