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Saigon Heat vs Thang Long Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 97-76
19-12 21-14 28-22 29-28
Position#1
Record15-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#4
Record11-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game85.4
VietnamVBAVBA - Semi-finals· CIS Arena
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Saigon Heat v Thang Long Warriors
11 Sep 2023
SAIG97
THAN76
19 Aug 2023
SAIG90
THAN70
26 Jun 2023
SAIG91
THAN88
09 Aug 2022
SAIG79
THAN69
19 Jul 2021
SAIG81
THAN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saigon Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thang Long Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saigon HeatVietnamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
80avg 82
A30/07
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
111-70
111
70
+41
96avg 82
H04/08
VBA
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
no box
A11/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
66avg 82
A16/08
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 82
H19/08
VBA
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 82
A22/08
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
51avg 82
A27/08
VBA
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 82
H30/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
98-91
98
91
+7
93avg 82
H03/09
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
84avg 82
A07/09
VBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
13-20
22-16
18-22
36-23
19-16
33-19
23-12
19-23
26-23
21-19
17-18
18-19
25-6
17-22
20-31
25-15
28-17
21-21
16-17
26-20
24-23
19-18
10-20
18-19
14-23
23-17
13-23
26-12
28-27
10-32
22-11
22-16
30-20
20-26
26-29
18-20
23-22
21-11
27-26
169.0Avg total
88.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.781.1168.8+6.679%
Season at home (9)92.482.3174.8+10.189%
Season away (10)83.580.0163.5+3.570%
Last 10 (10)88.280.8169.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)84.083.0167.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.885.3172.2+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.976.3161.2+8.688%
This opponent (Thang Long Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Thang Long WarriorsVietnamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
81avg 77
H22/07
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
84avg 77
H25/07
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
94-86
94
86
+8
85avg 77
H01/08
VBA
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
H05/08
VBA
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
W
95-90
95
90
+5
93avg 77
A08/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
no box
A13/08
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
54avg 77
A19/08
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 77
H27/08
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A01/09
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
54avg 77
H07/09
VBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
19-14
25-26
24-20
28-20
19-24
12-12
28-16
30-16
23-19
19-32
22-19
18-26
24-16
24-23
20-18
22-18
25-25
20-30
28-17
21-24
19-27
25-13
16-17
15-25
17-28
21-21
17-16
19-18
23-14
17-23
23-13
24-25
19-25
24-18
21-20
20-18
22-23
11-21
26-27
172.9Avg total
87.6Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.685.4172.1+1.258%
Season at home (10)84.881.5166.3+3.360%
Season away (9)88.789.8178.4-1.156%
Last 10 (10)87.685.3172.9+2.370%
Last 5 (5)84.688.0172.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.183.6159.7-7.422%
vs Similar (13)85.081.1166.1+3.969%
vs Weaker (8)85.179.8164.9+5.462%
This opponent (Saigon Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
Saigon HeatThang Long Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Saigon HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A30/07
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H04/08
VBA
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A16/08
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H19/08
VBA
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A22/08
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A27/08
VBA
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H03/09
VBA
Thang Long Warriors
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A07/09
VBA
85.3Avg total
47.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.136.880.9+7.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.136.781.8+8.387%-
Last 30 away (15)43.136.980.0+6.173%-
Last 10 (10)47.138.285.3+8.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.486.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)45.539.084.5+6.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.736.380.0+7.483%-
This opponent (Thang Long Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Thang Long WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Da Nang Dragons
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/07
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H25/07
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H01/08
VBA
Nhatrang Dolphins
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H05/08
VBA
Hanoi Buffaloes
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A08/08
VBA
Ho Chi Minh City Wings
#6
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A13/08
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A19/08
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H27/08
VBA
Can Tho Catfish
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/09
VBA
Saigon Heat
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/09
VBA
85.7Avg total
43.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.183.1-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.481.5+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.884.7-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.785.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.843.180.9-5.333%-
vs Similar (13)41.942.584.4-0.554%-
vs Weaker (8)43.040.483.4+2.675%-
This opponent (Saigon Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saigon Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saigon Heat: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
54%
31%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.8
53.2%
49.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.4
33.2%
29.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.3
67.3%
64.9%11.3
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thang Long Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thang Long Warriors: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
54%
31%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.625.3
50.0%
49.4%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.2
29.3%
29.8%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.612.8
65.3%
64.9%12.8
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saigon Heat
WWWLLWWLWW
Thang Long Warriors
LWWLLWWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+10.3
Net rating
+5.8
109.6
Offensive rating
104.8
99.3
Defensive rating
99.0
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.0%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
20.2%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
42.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
29.3%
63.4%
Assist %
54.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 104.8Defence99.3 · 99.0Shooting51.6% · 48.0%3-point %33.2% · 29.3%Ball care16.9% · 20.2%Off. rebounds35.5% · 42.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Saigon Heat   ■ Thang Long Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Saigon Heat wins
2
Thang Long Warriors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/23AThang Long Warriors89-79
03/09/23HHo Chi Minh City Wings98-91
30/08/23HDa Nang Dragons86-82
27/08/23AThang Long Warriors68-82
22/08/23AHanoi Buffaloes79-81
19/08/23HThang Long Warriors90-70
16/08/23AHo Chi Minh City Wings80-78
11/08/23ANhatrang Dolphins95-99 OT
04/08/23HCan Tho Catfish111-70
30/07/23ADa Nang Dragons86-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/23HSaigon Heat79-89
01/09/23ACan Tho Catfish103-98 OT
27/08/23HSaigon Heat82-68
19/08/23ASaigon Heat70-90
13/08/23AHo Chi Minh City Wings89-95 OT
08/08/23AHanoi Buffaloes95-90
05/08/23HNhatrang Dolphins86-83
01/08/23HCan Tho Catfish94-86
25/07/23HHo Chi Minh City Wings87-72
22/07/23HDa Nang Dragons91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saigon Heat
VBA 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW79%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %79%89%70%
Points / game87.792.483.5
Allowed / game81.182.380.0
Point differential+6.6+10.1+3.5
Avg total168.8174.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Thang Long Warriors
VBA 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game86.684.888.7
Allowed / game85.481.589.8
Point differential+1.2+3.3-1.1
Avg total172.1166.3178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Saigon Heat1915479%87.781.1+6.6
2 Nhatrang Dolphins1913668%87.280.7+6.4
3 Hanoi Buffaloes1913668%84.580.7+3.8
4 Thang Long Warriors1911858%86.685.4+1.2
5 Can Tho Catfish1861233%82.486.0-3.6
6 Ho Chi Minh City Wings1861233%82.486.4-4.0
7 Da Nang Dragons181176%82.794.3-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saigon Heat1921282997
Thang Long Warriors1214222876
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