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Sakalai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Dec 2012
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 67-85
8-15 33-25 13-19 13-26
Position#11
Record3-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game61.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2012-13
Meetings · Sakalai v Zalgiris Kaunas
30 Dec 2012
SAK67
ZAL85
06 Oct 2011
SAK69
ZAL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sakalai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SakalaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#23
W
78-55
78
55
+23
A16/11
Baltic League
Juventus
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A20/11
LKL
Nevezis
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H28/11
Baltic League
Skycop
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
H01/12
Baltic League
Neptunas
#3
L
80-106
80
106
-26
A05/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#10
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H08/12
LKL
Barons Kvartals
#9
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H12/12
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#23
W
108-66
108
66
+42
H14/12
Baltic League
Skycop
#5
L
63-103
63
103
-40
A18/12
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#13
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H21/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-17
19-10
22-8
16-16
27-23
16-18
16-25
23-19
21-21
29-13
16-28
14-17
10-21
20-25
17-22
18-31
20-33
17-18
25-24
20-15
22-17
17-11
15-9
11-26
15-12
18-20
24-17
24-15
30-21
29-11
25-19
8-26
24-35
14-19
17-23
12-12
29-15
17-16
24-19
154.5Avg total
77.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.476.5144.9-8.130%
Season at home (5)69.666.4136.0+3.260%
Season away (5)67.286.6153.8-19.40%
Last 10 (10)77.876.7154.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)79.071.6150.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.485.3154.7-15.913%
vs Similar (11)79.476.4155.7+3.045%
vs Weaker (4)83.262.5145.8+20.875%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A26/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H30/11
Euroleague
Nymburk
#15
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H02/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#18
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A07/12
Euroleague
Minsk
#19
W
81-57
81
57
+24
H09/12
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H14/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#10
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A17/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#14
W
99-64
99
64
+35
A20/12
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#12
W
121-71
121
71
+50
A23/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#8
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A28/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
23-20
25-17
22-16
18-21
9-10
23-17
13-29
18-25
22-18
31-18
19-9
18-16
14-21
19-16
16-12
23-10
16-21
16-10
26-16
20-15
15-15
23-7
13-16
16-15
20-13
19-19
21-11
27-19
25-19
20-17
27-9
32-16
28-16
26-19
35-20
13-22
20-21
16-11
17-13
148.5Avg total
82.4Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.261.0156.2+34.2100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)95.261.0156.2+34.2100%
Last 10 (10)82.466.1148.5+16.380%
Last 5 (5)86.662.6149.2+24.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.087.5168.5-6.50%
vs Similar (7)77.670.0147.6+7.686%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.366.2151.6+19.186%
This opponent (Sakalai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +5.8+5.8
SakalaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SakalaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#23
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/11
Baltic League
Juventus
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A20/11
LKL
Nevezis
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/11
Baltic League
Skycop
#1
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H01/12
Baltic League
Neptunas
#3
L
38-64
38
64
-26
A05/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H08/12
LKL
Barons Kvartals
#9
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H12/12
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#23
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H14/12
Baltic League
Skycop
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A18/12
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#13
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H21/12
LKL
79.3Avg total
38.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.376.2-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.935.473.2+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)36.242.778.9-6.531%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.279.3-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.877.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.742.176.9-7.433%-
vs Similar (11)39.237.776.9+1.555%-
vs Weaker (4)39.232.872.0+6.550%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H30/11
Euroleague
Nymburk
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#18
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A07/12
Euroleague
Minsk
#19
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H09/12
VTB United League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H14/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A17/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A20/12
VTB United League
LSU Atletas
#12
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A23/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A28/12
Euroleague
75.6Avg total
39.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.977.4+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.937.077.9+3.964%-
Last 30 away (19)41.835.377.2+6.568%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.975.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.277.4+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.542.580.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (7)38.935.374.1+3.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.835.578.3+7.267%-
This opponent (Sakalai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sakalai wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
28/01/12Zalgiris Kaunas v Sakalai97-71
06/10/11Sakalai v Zalgiris Kaunas69-84
Sakalailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/12HBC Olimpas Palanga82-62
18/12/12ASkycop63-103
14/12/12HTallinna Kalev108-66
12/12/12HBarons Kvartals68-75
08/12/12HLietkabelis74-52
05/12/12ANeptunas80-106
01/12/12HSkycop61-85
28/11/12HNevezis89-81
20/11/12AJuventus75-82
16/11/12ATallinna Kalev78-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/12APanathinaikos66-67
23/12/12ALSU Atletas121-71
20/12/12AEnisey99-64
17/12/12ANizhny Novgorod76-58
14/12/12HAnadolu Efes71-53
09/12/12HMinsk81-57
07/12/12AOlimpia Milano67-65
02/12/12HNymburk90-70
30/11/12HOlympiacos63-77
26/11/12ARytas90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sakalai
LKL 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%60%0%
Points / game68.469.667.2
Allowed / game76.566.486.6
Point differential-8.1+3.2-19.4
Avg total144.9136.0153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.2-95.2
Allowed / game61.0-61.0
Point differential+34.2-+34.2
Avg total156.2-156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas550100%95.261.0+34.2
2 Skycop10100100%93.769.8+23.9
3 Neptunas107370%87.980.9+7.0
4 Rytas64267%89.872.5+17.3
5 Siauliai95456%80.378.6+1.8
6 Juventus105550%81.277.8+3.4
7 Lietkabelis105550%78.380.5-2.2
8 Nevezis105550%72.378.7-6.4
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes104640%76.879.3-2.5
10 Sakalai103730%68.476.5-8.1
11 LSU Atletas102820%67.185.6-18.5
12 BC Olimpas Palanga100100%64.390.0-25.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sakalai833131367
Zalgiris Kaunas1525192685
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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