Salon Vilpas vs Kobrat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 103-74

26-16 28-15 25-17 24-26

Position#4

Record7-7

FormWLLWL

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game84.4

Salon Vilpas 🏆

Kobrat

Position#10

Record9-5

FormWLLLL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game81.1

KorisliigaRound 15

Other2022-23

Meetings · Salon Vilpas v Kobrat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Salon Vilpas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kobrat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Salon Vilpas Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helsinki Seagulls

102-90

102

+12

H25/10

Korisliiga

Honka

#12

68-78

-10

A28/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

109-105 OT

109

105

H01/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

85-84

A04/11

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

110-65

110

+45

H19/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#11

88-78

+10

A23/11

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

101-103 OT

101

103

-2

A26/11

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

78-93

-15

H03/12

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

99-82

+17

A07/12

Korisliiga

Kataja

78-104

104

-26

A10/12

Suomen Cup

27-16

23-15

24-30

28-29

15-18

17-21

16-21

20-18

24-21

24-28

23-22

23-23

18-27

24-21

15-22

28-14

34-13

20-33

28-7

28-12

17-19

18-14

17-21

36-24

17-23

20-22

24-25

31-22

17-28

25-27

24-16

12-22

27-26

25-10

24-22

23-24

19-28

20-23

18-29

21-24

180.0Avg total

91.8Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	87.6	84.4	171.9	+3.2	50%
Season at home (6)	92.5	85.0	177.5	+7.5	67%
Season away (8)	83.9	83.9	167.8	+0.0	38%
Last 10 (10)	91.8	88.2	180.0	+3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	92.0	180.8	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	79.5	83.8	163.2	-4.2	25%
vs Similar (9)	90.8	82.8	173.6	+8.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	81.2	72.5	153.8	+8.8	67%

This opponent (Kobrat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kobrat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Honka

#12

90-85

H21/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

90-104

104

-14

A28/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

63-60

H02/11

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

84-81

A05/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#11

86-80

H18/11

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

100-62

100

+38

A23/11

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

61-95

-34

A26/11

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

74-77

-3

H30/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

63-88

-25

H06/12

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

81-86

-5

H09/12

Suomen Cup

19-27

24-25

25-15

22-18

31-27

15-22

25-20

19-35

11-24

23-10

15-11

14-15

24-21

14-27

30-17

16-16

17-28

26-17

27-16

16-19

26-14

31-16

24-16

19-16

17-27

13-28

9-16

22-24

14-17

27-24

23-21

10-15

15-18

15-22

17-20

16-28

26-26

17-22

17-21

21-17

161.0Avg total

79.2Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.3	81.1	162.4	+0.1	64%
Season at home (7)	78.6	78.6	157.1	+0.0	71%
Season away (7)	84.0	83.7	167.7	+0.3	57%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	81.8	161.0	-2.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	81.6	157.4	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	75.4	86.8	162.1	-11.4	38%
vs Similar (16)	81.4	79.7	161.1	+1.7	44%
vs Weaker (5)	87.8	87.0	174.8	+0.8	60%

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Salon VilpasKobrat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.3	41.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.8	44.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	42%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.1	22.0	39.1	-4.9	12%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	20.4	40.5	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	22.4	42.9	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.5	39.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.8	20.8	39.5	-2.0	62%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	20%	-

Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helsinki Seagulls

50-31

+19

H25/10

Korisliiga

Honka

#12

32-39

-7

A28/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

48-49

-1

H01/11

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

42-48

-6

A04/11

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

54-46

H19/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#11

35-33

A23/11

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

37-45

-8

A26/11

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

42-55

-13

H03/12

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

52-36

+16

A07/12

Korisliiga

Kataja

39-51

-12

A10/12

Suomen Cup

86.4Avg total

43.1Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	39.8	80.7	+1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.9	40.2	80.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	43.3	86.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.2	41.0	81.2	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.6	43.0	85.6	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	38.8	36.2	75.0	+2.7	50%	-

This opponent (Kobrat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KobratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Honka

#12

43-52

-9

H21/10

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

46-49

-3

A28/10

Korisliiga

KTP Kotka Basket

34-34

H02/11

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

38-48

-10

A05/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#11

43-45

-2

H18/11

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

57-30

+27

A23/11

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

30-55

-25

A26/11

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

41-41

H30/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

30-40

-10

H06/12

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

43-48

-5

H09/12

Suomen Cup

84.7Avg total

40.5Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	41.1	80.4	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	39.7	78.9	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	42.5	81.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	44.2	84.7	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.8	83.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.9	42.8	78.6	-6.9	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.4	39.6	80.1	+0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.6	41.6	82.2	-1.0	40%	-

This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	15.3	37.1	+6.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	17.9	39.7	+3.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.7	16.8	37.4	+3.9	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	22.5	43.1	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	69%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	21.2	46.2	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.2	47.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	21.9	42.1	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.8	19.6	41.3	+2.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.5	39.9	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.8	19.5	37.2	-1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	38.9	81.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	34.7	77.8	+8.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.8	42.1	83.9	-0.3	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	42.7	89.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	45.8	91.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.2	42.8	82.0	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.6	37.3	82.9	+8.2	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.4	36.3	78.8	+6.1	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	41.1	81.5	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	39.2	80.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	43.0	82.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	37.6	76.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	38.8	74.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.5	44.0	83.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.8	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 95.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀36%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.1 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	17.0	39.5%	2.3%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	14.0	50.0%	33.0%	42.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.0	76.0%	74.4%	19.0

They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Kobrattheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	27.0	67.5%	2.3%	54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	11.0	50.0%	33.0%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.0	76.0%	74.4%	19.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	27.0	67.5%	2.3%	54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	11.0	50.0%	33.0%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.0	76.0%	74.4%	19.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Salon Vilpas wins

Kobrat wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/22	Kobrat v Salon Vilpas	93-88
15/12/21	Kobrat v Salon Vilpas	88-104
15/10/21	Salon Vilpas v Kobrat	96-87
02/02/21	Kobrat v Salon Vilpas	98-74
17/10/20	Salon Vilpas v Kobrat	95-94
01/02/20	Kobrat v Salon Vilpas	84-107
13/12/19	Salon Vilpas v Kobrat	105-91
23/10/19	Kobrat v Salon Vilpas	90-84
13/03/19	Kobrat v Salon Vilpas	114-107 OT
23/01/19	Salon Vilpas v Kobrat	103-76

Salon Vilpaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/22	A	Kataja	78-104
07/12/22	A	Pyrinto Tampere	99-82
03/12/22	H	Karhu Basket	78-93
26/11/22	A	BC Nokia	101-103 OT
23/11/22	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	88-78
19/11/22	H	Lahti Basketball	110-65
04/11/22	A	KTP Kotka Basket	85-84
01/11/22	H	Kouvot Kouvola	109-105 OT
28/10/22	A	Honka	68-78
25/10/22	H	Helsinki Seagulls	102-90

Kobratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/22	H	BC Nokia	81-86
06/12/22	H	Kataja	63-88
30/11/22	H	Pyrinto Tampere	74-77
26/11/22	A	Karhu Basket	61-95
23/11/22	A	BC Nokia	100-62
18/11/22	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	86-80
05/11/22	A	Lahti Basketball	84-81
02/11/22	H	KTP Kotka Basket	63-60
28/10/22	A	Kouvot Kouvola	90-104
21/10/22	H	Honka	90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Salon Vilpas

Korisliiga 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	50%
Home	WWWWL	67%
Away	LWWLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	6	8
Win %	50%	67%	38%
Points / game	87.6	92.5	83.9
Allowed / game	84.4	85.0	83.9
Point differential	+3.2	+7.5	+0.0
Avg total	171.9	177.5	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	14%	17%	12%

Kobrat

Korisliiga 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	64%
Home	WWWLL	71%
Away	WLWWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	64%	71%	57%
Points / game	81.3	78.6	84.0
Allowed / game	81.1	78.6	83.7
Point differential	+0.1	+0.0	+0.3
Avg total	162.4	157.1	167.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	0%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	75% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Karhu Basket	14	12	2	86%	88.9	74.1	+14.9
2	Helsinki Seagulls	14	9	5	64%	87.3	80.8	+6.5
3	Kataja	14	9	5	64%	82.0	77.9	+4.1
4	Kobrat	14	9	5	64%	81.3	81.1	+0.1
5	KTP Kotka Basket	13	7	6	54%	88.8	87.5	+1.4
6	BC Nokia	15	8	7	53%	73.7	76.9	-3.2
7	Salon Vilpas	14	7	7	50%	87.6	84.4	+3.2
8	Kouvot Kouvola	14	7	7	50%	84.9	84.4	+0.5
9	Pyrinto Tampere	13	6	7	46%	83.8	83.8	+0.0
10	Honka	14	4	10	29%	76.1	83.4	-7.4
11	Lahti Basketball	15	4	11	27%	80.7	90.3	-9.7
12	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	14	2	12	14%	79.4	88.9	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Salon Vilpas	26	28	25	24	103
Kobrat	16	15	17	26	74

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Salon Vilpas vs Kobrat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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