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SAM Massagno vs Lugano Tigers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game88.4
SwitzerlandSB LeagueRound 16· Scuole Elementari Nosedo
Other2026-27
Meetings · SAM Massagno v Lugano Tigers
16 Jan 2027
SAM v LUGA
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
SAM 107
LUGA86
19 Dec 2025
SAM 67
LUGA62
16 Nov 2024
SAM 104
LUGA91
25 Oct 2023
SAM 95
LUGA84
17 Jan 2023
SAM 109
LUGA68
12 Feb 2022
SAM 100
LUGA75
12 May 2021
SAM 107
LUGA68
07 Apr 2021
SAM 91
LUGA75
14 Nov 2020
SAM 92
LUGA67
27 Oct 2019
SAM 81
LUGA61
09 Feb 2019
SAM 79
LUGA77
03 Dec 2017
SAM 86
LUGA81
11 Nov 2016
SAM 86
LUGA73
28 Nov 2015
SAM 64
LUGA79
07 Nov 2014
SAM 92
LUGA85
23 Mar 2014
SAM 66
LUGA110
08 Nov 2013
SAM 62
LUGA97
14 Dec 2012
SAM 77
LUGA69
10 Apr 2012
SAM 65
LUGA110
08 Feb 2012
SAM 72
LUGA99
15 Jan 2012
SAM 97
LUGA119
09 Apr 2011
SAM 45
LUGA91
09 Feb 2011
SAM 63
LUGA96
27 Oct 2010
SAM 65
LUGA88
28 Mar 2010
SAM 90
LUGA92
08 Nov 2009
SAM 69
LUGA99
02 Nov 2008
SAM 80
LUGA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SAM Massagno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lugano Tigers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SAM MassagnoSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMassagno
Date
Competition
Regio Basel
#3
L
82-112
82
112
-30
71avg 75
A19/04
SB League
Regio Basel
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 75
A22/04
SB League
Regio Basel
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 75
H25/04
SB League
Regio Basel
#9
W
91-73
91
73
+18
76avg 75
A26/09
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
78avg 75
H30/09
SB League
Neuchatel
#6
W
104-75
104
75
+29
101avg 75
H03/10
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#5
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 75
A10/10
SB League
Lugano Tigers
#8
W
102-72
102
72
+30
101avg 75
A17/10
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 75
H24/10
SB League
Zurich
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H01/11
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
28-34
21-28
19-28
27-21
15-24
16-24
29-23
22-32
21-24
24-14
19-19
18-24
27-13
29-14
17-22
23-23
21-24
23-22
23-15
26-24
29-16
24-17
25-18
21-15
14-20
18-30
20-29
22-16
27-14
30-23
23-19
24-18
35-23
19-21
19-21
21-14
19-12
32-14
13-28
173.9Avg total
89.7Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.778.4170.1+13.386%
Season at home (4)94.077.5171.5+16.5100%
Season away (3)88.779.7168.3+9.067%
Last 10 (10)89.784.2173.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)92.278.4170.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.197.2177.3-17.226%
vs Similar (4)91.882.2174.0+9.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.778.4170.1+13.386%
This opponent (Lugano Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lugano TigersSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTigers
Date
Competition
Sdent BBC Nyon
#7
L
64-96
64
96
-32
46avg 68
H25/03
SB League
Regio Basel
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
68avg 68
A29/03
SB League
SAM Massagno
#6
L
86-107
86
107
-21
67avg 68
A04/04
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
97avg 68
H27/09
SB League
Neuchatel
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
56avg 68
A30/09
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
67avg 68
H04/10
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
80-116
80
116
-36
67avg 68
A10/10
SB League
SAM Massagno
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
60avg 68
H17/10
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
68avg 68
A24/10
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#4
L
73-91
73
91
-18
61avg 68
H31/10
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
11-22
18-14
18-28
27-25
13-23
24-30
16-20
19-31
29-28
22-20
16-28
28-14
21-10
25-19
20-29
18-18
13-18
21-8
9-25
17-23
24-14
16-20
13-20
26-33
7-27
17-32
30-24
16-22
14-27
23-30
19-23
23-24
21-24
8-22
22-22
14-23
19-24
20-23
20-21
167.4Avg total
75.4Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.988.4163.3-13.614%
Season at home (4)77.285.5162.8-8.225%
Season away (3)71.792.3164.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)75.492.0167.4-16.610%
Last 5 (5)73.895.6169.4-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.792.8168.5-17.117%
vs Similar (6)84.385.5169.8-1.233%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SAM Massagno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -5.7-5.7
SAM MassagnoLugano Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SAM MassagnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regio Basel
#3
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A19/04
SB League
Regio Basel
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A22/04
SB League
Regio Basel
#3
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H25/04
SB League
Regio Basel
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A26/09
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H30/09
SB League
Neuchatel
#6
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H03/10
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/10
SB League
Lugano Tigers
#8
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A17/10
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H24/10
SB League
Zurich
#10
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H01/11
SB League
86.7Avg total
45.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.944.487.3-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.443.388.7+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.545.585.9-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.386.7+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.634.482.0+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.147.488.4-6.326%-
vs Similar (4)45.244.089.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.736.683.3+10.171%-
This opponent (Lugano Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lugano TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sdent BBC Nyon
#7
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H25/03
SB League
Regio Basel
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A29/03
SB League
SAM Massagno
#6
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A04/04
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H27/09
SB League
Neuchatel
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A30/09
SB League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/10
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A10/10
SB League
SAM Massagno
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/10
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A24/10
SB League
Lausanne Basket
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H31/10
SB League
83.9Avg total
37.7Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.485.0-5.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.244.183.3-4.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.046.786.7-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.746.283.9-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.248.284.4-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.846.284.9-7.429%-
vs Similar (6)43.042.285.2+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (SAM Massagno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
SAM Massagnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SAM Massagno: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.827.1
55.5%
52.5%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.5
33.9%
31.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.2
75.2%
70.0%15.2
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lugano Tigerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lugano Tigers: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.4
50.0%
52.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.5
32.0%
31.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.712.9
69.0%
70.0%12.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
SAM Massagno
WWWLWWWLLL
Lugano Tigers
LLLLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#8
+6.6
Net rating
-18.6
101.5
Offensive rating
83.2
94.9
Defensive rating
101.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
11.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.9%
3-point %
32.0%
48.8%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 83.2Defence94.9 · 101.8Shooting54.1% · 49.1%3-point %33.9% · 32.0%Ball care11.2% · 19.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ SAM Massagno   ■ Lugano Tigers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
SAM Massagno wins
2
Lugano Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HZurich85-68
24/10/26HBBC Monthey97-83
17/10/26ALugano Tigers102-72
10/10/26ASdent BBC Nyon73-94
03/10/26HNeuchatel104-75
30/09/26HLausanne Basket90-84
26/09/26ARegio Basel91-73
25/04/26HRegio Basel86-89
22/04/26ARegio Basel87-92
19/04/26ARegio Basel82-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLausanne Basket73-91
24/10/26AGeneva Lions74-92
17/10/26HSAM Massagno72-102
10/10/26AFribourg Olympic80-116
04/10/26HSdent BBC Nyon70-77
30/09/26ANeuchatel61-69
27/09/26HBBC Monthey94-72
04/04/26ASAM Massagno86-107
29/03/26ARegio Basel80-98
25/03/26HSdent BBC Nyon64-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SAM Massagno
SB League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game91.794.088.7
Allowed / game78.477.579.7
Point differential+13.3+16.5+9.0
Avg total170.1171.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lugano Tigers
SB League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game74.977.271.7
Allowed / game88.485.592.3
Point differential-13.6-8.2-20.7
Avg total163.3162.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geneva Lions770100%94.359.1+35.1
2 Fribourg Olympic76186%85.965.6+20.3
3 SAM Massagno76186%91.778.4+13.3
4 Lausanne Basket75271%84.976.6+8.3
5 Sdent BBC Nyon74357%84.977.7+7.1
6 Neuchatel73443%68.176.7-8.6
7 BBC Monthey72529%79.687.9-8.3
8 Lugano Tigers71614%74.988.4-13.6
9 Regio Basel71614%67.488.6-21.1
10 Zurich7070%58.991.4-32.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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