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Samara W vs Spartak Moscow W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 56-77
17-33 20-14 9-21 10-9
Position#12
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game56.2
Allowed / game84.2
Vs
13%
87%
■ SAMA 13%■ SPAR 87%
Pythia win probability
Projected 66-79
Projected total 145.0
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game69.2
RussiaPremier League W· MTL Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Samara W v Spartak Moscow W
01 Nov 2026
SAMA56
SPAR77
07 Jan 2026
SAMA52
SPAR100
21 Feb 2025
SAMA63
SPAR80
09 Dec 2024
SAMA66
SPAR79
11 Dec 2023
SAMA80
SPAR58
17 Apr 2023
SAMA78
SPAR73
11 Mar 2023
SAMA67
SPAR53
21 Nov 2022
SAMA78
SPAR68
16 Jan 2022
SAMA59
SPAR82
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Samara W host Spartak Moscow W in the Premier League W. Pythia makes Spartak Moscow W the favourite at 87% and projects 66-79, about 145 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Samara W are 0-4 this season (56.2 scored, 84.2 allowed a game), form WLLLL; Spartak Moscow W are 3-2 this season (70.8 scored, 69.2 allowed a game), form WLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samara W winLost
13.4%fair 7.47
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spartak Moscow W winWon
86.6%fair 1.15
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Samara WRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neftyanik Omsk W
#10
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H01/04
Premier League W
Novosibirsk W
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A02/04
Premier League W
Ivanovo W
#11
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
H03/04
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#10
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A06/04
Premier League W
Novosibirsk W
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H07/04
Premier League W
Ivanovo W
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A08/04
Premier League W
Dynamo Moscow W
#3
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A04/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Kursk W
#4
L
47-90
47
90
-43
A12/10
Premier League W
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
41-87
41
87
-46
A20/10
Premier League W
Enisey Krasnoyarsk W
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A24/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
13-16
16-20
20-21
20-26
10-12
17-16
24-12
19-24
17-9
12-16
24-23
10-11
18-20
16-21
9-19
19-21
14-11
12-13
20-17
19-12
29-23
19-18
12-19
15-27
26-20
17-19
15-22
11-25
12-29
13-22
11-14
14-23
9-23
12-19
6-22
15-14
18-11
18-26
13-21
140.0Avg total
64.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)56.284.2140.5-28.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)56.284.2140.5-28.00%
Last 10 (10)64.175.9140.0-11.840%
Last 5 (5)60.881.8142.6-21.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.789.2150.8-27.515%
vs Similar (17)70.469.3139.7+1.153%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Spartak Moscow W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Moscow WRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A21/03
Premier League W
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H25/03
Premier League W
MBA Moscow W
#5
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H08/04
Premier League W
Enisey Krasnoyarsk W
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A09/04
Premier League W
Dynamo Moscow W
#6
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A10/04
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#8
W
70-45
70
45
+25
A04/10
Premier League W
MBA Moscow W
#2
L
47-73
47
73
-26
A12/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Moscow W
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H16/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Kursk W
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A20/10
Premier League W
Novosibirsk W
#9
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H24/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
18-18
12-13
24-25
20-17
16-27
15-12
6-11
18-19
15-16
11-16
19-16
25-12
9-20
25-17
21-21
30-20
15-25
22-25
21-16
24-14
22-14
13-8
11-9
17-17
5-14
15-19
10-23
20-18
19-24
17-24
21-13
14-17
24-20
25-18
20-22
27-16
20-17
11-29
19-10
142.5Avg total
71.4Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.869.2140.0+1.660%
Season at home (2)77.075.5152.5+1.550%
Season away (3)66.765.0131.7+1.767%
Last 10 (10)71.471.1142.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)70.869.2140.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.077.9140.9-14.915%
vs Similar (5)72.477.4149.8-5.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.063.9140.9+13.192%
This opponent (Samara W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 136.5Actual: Under 136.5
Over 136.5
69.7%
Under 136.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 141.5Actual: Under 141.5
Over 141.5
58.2%
Under 141.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146.5Actual: Under 146.5
Over 146.5
45.9%
Under 146.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Samara W total 68Actual: Samara W under 68
Over 68
42.0%
Under 68
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samara W total 72Actual: Samara W under 72
Over 72
27.2%
Under 72
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samara W total 76Actual: Samara W under 76
Over 76
15.9%
Under 76
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow W total 65Actual: Spartak Moscow W over 65
Over 65
92.3%
Under 65
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow W total 69Actual: Spartak Moscow W over 69
Over 69
84.7%
Under 69
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow W total 73Actual: Spartak Moscow W over 73
Over 73
73.0%
Under 73
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Samara W -3Actual: Spartak Moscow W +3
SAMA -3
9.1%
SPAR +3
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
SAMA
No market prices yet.
SPAR
No market prices yet.
Spread Samara W 0Actual: Spartak Moscow W 0
SAMA 0
13.4%
SPAR 0
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
SAMA
No market prices yet.
SPAR
No market prices yet.
Spread Samara W +3Actual: Spartak Moscow W -3
SAMA +3
18.1%
SPAR -3
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
SAMA
No market prices yet.
SPAR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Samara WSpartak Moscow W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Samara WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neftyanik Omsk W
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H01/04
Premier League W
Novosibirsk W
#12
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A02/04
Premier League W
Ivanovo W
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/04
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A06/04
Premier League W
Novosibirsk W
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H07/04
Premier League W
Ivanovo W
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A08/04
Premier League W
Dynamo Moscow W
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A04/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Kursk W
#4
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A12/10
Premier League W
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A20/10
Premier League W
Enisey Krasnoyarsk W
#6
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A24/10
Premier League W
69.8Avg total
32.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.940.474.4-6.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.141.676.7-6.547%-
Last 30 away (13)32.438.971.3-6.531%-
Last 10 (10)32.537.369.8-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.475.0-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.048.080.0-16.015%-
vs Similar (17)35.434.670.1+0.859%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Spartak Moscow W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Moscow WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/03
Premier League W
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H25/03
Premier League W
MBA Moscow W
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H08/04
Premier League W
Enisey Krasnoyarsk W
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A09/04
Premier League W
Dynamo Moscow W
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A10/04
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#8
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A04/10
Premier League W
MBA Moscow W
#2
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A12/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Moscow W
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H16/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Kursk W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A20/10
Premier League W
Novosibirsk W
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H24/10
Premier League W
74.0Avg total
37.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.438.475.9-1.038%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.838.475.2-1.638%-
Last 30 away (16)38.038.576.5-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.474.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.272.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.343.577.8-9.28%-
vs Similar (5)37.639.877.4-2.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.532.873.3+7.783%-
This opponent (Samara W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Samara W wins
5
Spartak Moscow W wins
Samara Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AEnisey Krasnoyarsk W64-72
20/10/26AUMMC Ekaterinburg W41-87
12/10/26ADynamo Kursk W47-90
04/10/26ADynamo Moscow W73-88
08/04/26AIvanovo W79-72
07/04/26HNovosibirsk W65-62
06/04/26ANeftyanik Omsk W53-71
03/04/26HIvanovo W82-78 OT
02/04/26ANovosibirsk W71-66
01/04/26HNeftyanik Omsk W66-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HNovosibirsk W77-72
20/10/26ADynamo Kursk W83-77
16/10/26HDynamo Moscow W77-79
12/10/26AMBA Moscow W47-73
04/10/26ANeftyanik Omsk W70-45
10/04/26ADynamo Moscow W88-86
09/04/26AEnisey Krasnoyarsk W80-70
08/04/26HMBA Moscow W63-67
25/03/26HNika Siktivkar W57-67
21/03/26ANika Siktivkar W72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samara W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %0%-0%
Points / game56.2-56.2
Allowed / game84.2-84.2
Point differential-28.0--28.0
Avg total140.5-140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Spartak Moscow W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game70.877.066.7
Allowed / game69.275.565.0
Point differential+1.6+1.5+1.7
Avg total140.0152.5131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMMC Ekaterinburg W440100%87.853.2+34.5
2 MBA Moscow W330100%76.357.3+19.0
3 Dynamo Moscow W660100%81.068.2+12.8
4 Dynamo Kursk W54180%79.861.8+18.0
5 Spartak Moscow W53260%70.869.2+1.6
6 Enisey Krasnoyarsk W42250%65.269.8-4.5
7 Nadezhda W52340%62.667.0-4.4
8 Neftyanik Omsk W41325%63.268.5-5.2
9 Novosibirsk W51420%60.474.0-13.6
10 Vladimir W51420%64.079.0-15.0
11 Ivanovo W61517%67.576.5-9.0
12 Samara W4040%56.284.2-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samara W172091056
Spartak Moscow W331421977
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