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Samford vs Berry Vikings Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 87-58
0-0 45-28 0-0 42-30
Position#97
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Samford 🏆
USA
Vs
86%
14%
■ SAMF 86%■ BERR 14%
Pythia win probability
Projected 82-70
Projected total 151.3
Position#328
Record-
Form-
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Samford host Berry Vikings in the NCAA. Pythia makes Samford the favourite at 86% and projects 82-70, about 151 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
85.9%fair 1.16
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Berry Vikings winLost
14.1%fair 7.12
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-39
0-0
47-35
0-0
39-32
0-0
39-32
0-0
40-22
0-0
29-27
0-0
47-34
0-0
50-46
0-0
38-37
0-0
30-31
0-0
31-34
0-0
47-41
0-0
41-44
0-0
45-45
0-0
36-36
0-0
44-25
0-0
50-41
0-0
37-37
0-0
46-46
0-0
35-40
155.4Avg total
82.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.672.8155.4+9.880%
Last 5 (5)82.477.8160.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.879.8146.6-13.020%
vs Similar (15)79.578.3157.8+1.147%
vs Weaker (10)84.567.8152.3+16.790%
Berry VikingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
No recent games.
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10no games
Last 5no games
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
71.8%
Under 142
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Under 147
Over 147
60.3%
Under 147
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
47.9%
Under 152
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Samford total 73Actual: Samford over 73
Over 73
82.1%
Under 73
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samford total 77Actual: Samford over 77
Over 77
69.3%
Under 77
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samford total 81Actual: Samford over 81
Over 81
53.5%
Under 81
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berry Vikings total 66Actual: Berry Vikings under 66
Over 66
63.6%
Under 66
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berry Vikings total 70Actual: Berry Vikings under 70
Over 70
47.4%
Under 70
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berry Vikings total 74Actual: Berry Vikings under 74
Over 74
31.8%
Under 74
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Samford -3Actual: Samford -3
SAMF -3
81.1%
BERR +3
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
SAMF
No market prices yet.
BERR
No market prices yet.
Spread Samford 0Actual: Samford 0
SAMF 0
85.9%
BERR 0
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
SAMF
No market prices yet.
BERR
No market prices yet.
Spread Samford +3Actual: Samford +3
SAMF +3
90.4%
BERR -3
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
SAMF
No market prices yet.
BERR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4
SamfordBerry Vikings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
NCAA
77.4Avg total
40.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.174.3+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.834.675.4+6.143%-
Last 30 away (16)34.139.273.3-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.577.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.281.0+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.839.269.0-9.420%-
vs Similar (15)37.339.376.6-1.927%-
vs Weaker (10)40.732.873.5+7.960%-
Berry VikingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
No quarter scores for these games.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samford wins
0
Berry Vikings wins
No previous meetings.
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HFurman81-86
28/02/26HNC Greensboro87-78
27/02/26HVMI80-61
21/02/26AMercer86-89
20/02/26ACitadel78-75
14/02/26AEast Tennessee St82-72 OT
12/02/26HWofford97-80
07/02/26HMercer69-49
06/02/26HCitadel78-64
01/02/26AWestern Carolina88-74
DateH/AOpponentScore

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Berry Vikings
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Losses (last 0)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Sacred Heart110100%111.044.0+67.0
3 UMass Lowell110100%121.057.0+64.0
4 Delaware110100%105.044.0+61.0
5 Kennesaw State110100%116.057.0+59.0
6 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
7 Siu Edwardsville110100%91.039.0+52.0
8 Eastern Kentucky110100%105.054.0+51.0
9 Morgan State110100%103.052.0+51.0
10 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
11 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
12 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
13 Vanderbilt110100%93.047.0+46.0
14 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
15 West Virginia110100%91.046.0+45.0
16 Xavier110100%97.052.0+45.0
17 Jacksonville Dolphins110100%105.061.0+44.0
18 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
19 Florida International110100%101.058.0+43.0
20 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
21 Pittsburgh110100%95.057.0+38.0
22 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
23 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
24 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
25 Michigan State110100%96.059.0+37.0
26 Butler110100%96.060.0+36.0
27 NC Wilmington110100%101.065.0+36.0
28 Delaware State110100%86.052.0+34.0
29 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
30 Indiana110100%91.057.0+34.0
31 Texas Tech110100%76.042.0+34.0
32 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
33 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
34 Dayton110100%89.058.0+31.0
35 Wright State110100%102.071.0+31.0
36 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
37 Maryland110100%96.067.0+29.0
38 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
39 Harvard110100%73.045.0+28.0
40 Stonehill110100%84.056.0+28.0
41 Marshall110100%92.065.0+27.0
42 Providence110100%83.056.0+27.0
43 South Florida110100%98.071.0+27.0
44 Cincinnati110100%79.053.0+26.0
45 Richmond Spiders110100%100.077.0+23.0
46 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
47 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
48 Prairie View A&M110100%86.065.0+21.0
49 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
50 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
51 Syracuse110100%74.058.0+16.0
52 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
53 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
54 Florida Atlantic110100%74.060.0+14.0
55 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
56 William & Mary110100%80.066.0+14.0
57 Clemson110100%85.072.0+13.0
58 East Carolina110100%83.070.0+13.0
59 Elon110100%84.071.0+13.0
60 Georgia Southern110100%67.055.0+12.0
61 Old Dominion110100%61.049.0+12.0
62 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
63 UMass110100%71.060.0+11.0
64 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
65 VCU Rams110100%82.072.0+10.0
66 Yale110100%72.062.0+10.0
67 Miami (Ohio)110100%86.077.0+9.0
68 St. Thomas (Minn.)110100%87.078.0+9.0
69 Boston University110100%93.085.0+8.0
70 Charlotte110100%78.070.0+8.0
71 North Carolina110100%80.072.0+8.0
72 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
73 Youngstown State110100%79.071.0+8.0
74 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
75 Dartmouth110100%69.062.0+7.0
76 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
77 Memphis110100%80.076.0+4.0
78 New Hampshire Wildcats110100%59.055.0+4.0
79 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
80 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
81 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
82 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
83 Eastern Michigan110100%71.070.0+1.0
84 Iona110100%56.055.0+1.0
85 UCF Knights110100%96.095.0+1.0
86 Coastal Carolina1010%70.071.0-1.0
87 Florida Gulf Coast1010%95.096.0-1.0
88 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
89 Vermont1010%55.056.0-1.0
90 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
91 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
92 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
93 Brown1010%55.059.0-4.0
94 Iowa State1010%76.080.0-4.0
95 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
96 Marist1010%62.069.0-7.0
97 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
98 Indiana State1010%70.078.0-8.0
99 Northeastern1010%85.093.0-8.0
100 St. Bonaventure1010%71.079.0-8.0
101 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
102 Western Carolina1010%72.080.0-8.0
103 James Madison1010%77.086.0-9.0
104 Presbyterian1010%78.087.0-9.0
105 Howard1010%62.072.0-10.0
106 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
107 UALR1010%72.082.0-10.0
108 Troy1010%60.071.0-11.0
109 Ball State1010%55.067.0-12.0
110 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
111 Western Michigan1010%49.061.0-12.0
112 Columbia1010%71.084.0-13.0
113 Stetson1010%72.085.0-13.0
114 USC Upstate1010%70.083.0-13.0
115 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
116 Bridgewater College (VA)1010%66.080.0-14.0
117 LIU Sharks1010%60.074.0-14.0
118 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
119 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
120 New Haven Chargers1010%58.074.0-16.0
121 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
122 Paul Quinn1010%65.086.0-21.0
123 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
124 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
125 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
126 UNC Asheville1010%77.0100.0-23.0
127 American University1010%53.079.0-26.0
128 Buffalo1010%65.092.0-27.0
129 Charleston Southern1010%71.098.0-27.0
130 Maine Black Bears1010%56.083.0-27.0
131 Curry1010%56.084.0-28.0
132 MIT1010%45.073.0-28.0
133 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
134 Bucknell1010%67.096.0-29.0
135 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
136 Air Force1010%71.0102.0-31.0
137 NJIT1010%58.089.0-31.0
138 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
139 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
140 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
141 Eastern Illinois1010%57.091.0-34.0
142 Jackson State1010%42.076.0-34.0
143 St. Vincent1010%52.086.0-34.0
144 Lafayette1010%60.096.0-36.0
145 Mount Olive Trojans1010%65.0101.0-36.0
146 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
147 Quinnipiac1010%59.096.0-37.0
148 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
149 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
150 Rider1010%57.095.0-38.0
151 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
152 New College (FL)1010%58.0101.0-43.0
153 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
154 Trinity Baptist1010%61.0105.0-44.0
155 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
156 Mount St. Mary's1010%52.097.0-45.0
157 Niagara1010%46.091.0-45.0
158 Bellarmine1010%47.093.0-46.0
159 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
160 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
161 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
162 Cheyney Wolves1010%52.0103.0-51.0
163 Kentucky Christian1010%54.0105.0-51.0
164 Eureka1010%39.091.0-52.0
165 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
166 Midway1010%57.0116.0-59.0
167 Notre Dame MD1010%44.0105.0-61.0
168 Rivier1010%57.0121.0-64.0
169 Coast Guard1010%44.0111.0-67.0
170 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 170 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samford04504287
Berry Vikings02803058
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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