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Samford vs Covenant Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samford v Covenant
30 Dec 2026
SAMF v COVE
upcoming
01 Dec 2020
SAMF98
COVE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Covenant win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-39
0-0
47-35
0-0
39-32
0-0
39-32
0-0
40-22
0-0
29-27
0-0
47-34
0-0
50-46
0-0
38-37
0-0
30-31
0-0
31-34
0-0
47-41
0-0
41-44
0-0
45-45
0-0
36-36
0-0
44-25
0-0
50-41
0-0
37-37
0-0
46-46
0-0
35-40
155.4Avg total
82.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.672.8155.4+9.880%
Last 5 (5)82.477.8160.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.879.8146.6-13.020%
vs Similar (15)79.578.3157.8+1.147%
vs Weaker (10)84.567.8152.3+16.790%
CovenantUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#298
L
73-98
73
98
-25
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A12/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
39-100
39
100
-61
A23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
51-85
51
85
-34
A18/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
55-108
55
108
-53
A19/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A22/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
44-89
44
89
-45
A07/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-54
0-0
40-44
0-0
22-35
0-0
35-41
0-0
16-48
0-0
23-52
0-0
27-40
0-0
24-45
0-0
14-61
0-0
41-47
0-0
22-45
0-0
39-41
0-0
20-42
0-0
24-47
146.0Avg total
54.3Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (7)54.391.7146.0-37.40%
Last 5 (5)50.093.6143.6-43.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)56.092.2148.2-36.20%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-31-15+0+15+31Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -24.4-24.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -13.0-13.0
SamfordCovenant
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
NCAA
77.4Avg total
40.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.174.3+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.834.675.4+6.143%-
Last 30 away (16)34.139.273.3-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.577.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.281.0+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.839.269.0-9.420%-
vs Similar (15)37.339.376.6-1.927%-
vs Weaker (10)40.732.873.5+7.960%-
CovenantLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#298
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A12/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
16-48
16
48
-32
A23/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A18/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
14-61
14
61
-47
A19/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A22/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A07/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
22.0Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)22.046.468.4-24.40%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (7)22.046.468.4-24.40%-
Last 10 (7)22.046.468.4-24.40%-
Last 5 (5)19.847.267.0-27.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)22.347.269.5-24.80%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samford wins
0
Covenant wins
DateGameScore
02/12/20Samford v Covenant98-73
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HFurman81-86
28/02/26HNC Greensboro87-78
27/02/26HVMI80-61
21/02/26AMercer86-89
20/02/26ACitadel78-75
14/02/26AEast Tennessee St82-72 OT
12/02/26HWofford97-80
07/02/26HMercer69-49
06/02/26HCitadel78-64
01/02/26AWestern Carolina88-74
Covenantlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AChattanooga Mocs44-89
22/11/22ALipscomb61-86
19/11/22AChattanooga Mocs55-108
18/12/21AGeorgia Southern51-85
23/11/21AChattanooga Mocs39-100
12/12/20AMiddle Tenn. St.57-76
02/12/20ASamford73-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Covenant
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 7 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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