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Samford vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-71
33-30 46-41
Position#12
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game72.8
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#91
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#100
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H16/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
96-61
96
61
+35
A18/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H25/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
45-98
45
98
-53
A06/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#589
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H15/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
57-42
35-26
61-35
37-38
38-32
33-50
46-43
37-42
45-43
17-51
28-47
34-31
31-44
52-23
44-29
48-32
41-40
41-27
58-40
155.3Avg total
80.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.872.8151.6+6.060%
Season at home (3)94.763.7158.3+31.0100%
Season away (2)55.086.5141.5-31.50%
Last 10 (10)80.974.4155.3+6.560%
Last 5 (5)78.872.8151.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)72.578.9151.5-6.446%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.971.1150.9+8.869%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H24/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
80-59
80
59
+21
A25/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H02/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A07/11
NCAA
Worcester State
#428
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-19
32-35
35-21
45-38
54-33
37-43
33-28
38-32
26-28
41-38
20-36
35-31
40-30
53-42
28-29
43-36
29-35
23-41
44-31
52-42
141.4Avg total
74.6Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.470.6144.0+2.860%
Season at home (1)93.072.0165.0+21.0100%
Season away (4)68.570.2138.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)74.666.8141.4+7.880%
Last 5 (5)73.470.6144.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)49.066.5115.5-17.50%
vs Similar (18)61.260.4121.6+0.856%
vs Weaker (8)76.963.2140.1+13.6100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +2.1+2.1
SamfordMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#100
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H16/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A18/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A23/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H25/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
17-51
17
51
-34
A06/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A11/11
NCAA
Mississippi Coll.
#589
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H15/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H18/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H23/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
36.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.870.2+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.933.171.1+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)33.136.369.4-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.970.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.871.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)31.737.669.3-5.923%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.233.370.6+3.969%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H24/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A25/02
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Worcester State
#428
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A22/11
NCAA
63.7Avg total
34.7Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.828.261.0+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.027.561.5+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)31.529.060.5+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)34.729.063.7+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.232.264.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)17.536.554.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (18)30.628.659.2+2.067%-
vs Weaker (8)38.627.966.5+10.875%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samford wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HAlabama State99-67
18/11/23HSouth Carolina St89-72
15/11/23HMississippi Coll.96-52
11/11/23AVCU Rams65-75
06/11/23APurdue45-98
04/03/23HChattanooga Mocs82-85
25/02/23HFurman79-93
23/02/23AChattanooga Mocs75-70
18/02/23AVMI96-61
16/02/23HNC Greensboro83-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AN. Carolina A&T96-73
16/11/23AOhio State52-76
12/11/23AMaine Black Bears71-65
10/11/23HWorcester State93-72
07/11/23AVermont55-67
08/03/23HFairleigh Dickinson67-66
04/03/23HSacred Heart71-60
02/03/23HLIU Sharks91-76
25/02/23ALIU Sharks80-59
24/02/23HCentral Connecticut State70-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game78.894.755.0
Allowed / game72.863.786.5
Point differential+6.0+31.0-31.5
Avg total151.6158.3141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game73.493.068.5
Allowed / game70.672.070.2
Point differential+2.8+21.0-1.8
Avg total144.0165.0138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Carolina440100%79.866.0+13.8
2 Chattanooga Mocs54180%77.465.4+12.0
3 NC Greensboro43175%79.572.0+7.5
4 Samford53260%78.872.8+6.0
5 Furman53260%83.478.0+5.4
6 Wofford42250%80.286.5-6.2
7 Citadel73443%65.466.3-0.9
8 East Tennessee St52340%67.271.2-4.0
9 Mercer52340%64.672.6-8.0
10 VMI61517%71.774.5-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac54180%84.672.0+12.6
2 Sacred Heart64267%82.571.2+11.3
3 Merrimack Warriors53260%73.470.6+2.8
4 Manhattan53260%65.675.6-10.0
5 Canisius42250%79.274.0+5.2
6 Marist42250%66.567.5-1.0
7 Iona52340%78.075.6+2.4
8 St. Peters41325%66.264.5+1.8
9 Mount St. Mary's41325%66.069.8-3.8
10 Fairfield51420%70.472.2-1.8
11 Rider51420%66.871.6-4.8
12 Siena51420%58.874.0-15.2
13 Niagara3030%66.778.3-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford334679
Merrimack Warriors304171
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