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VMI vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-96
26-35 35-61
Position#356
Record6-22
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game75.0
VMI
USA
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#78
Record19-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · VMI v Samford
01 Jan 2026
VMI58
SAMF78
27 Feb 2025
VMI83
SAMF95
10 Feb 2024
VMI63
SAMF102
18 Feb 2023
VMI61
SAMF96
20 Jan 2022
VMI99
SAMF80
13 Feb 2021
VMI85
SAMF56
04 Jan 2020
VMI75
SAMF78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#195
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A15/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H21/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A03/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A04/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
63-94
63
94
-31
H09/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A11/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
58-78
58
78
-20
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
37-50
30-30
31-39
23-14
29-46
16-28
34-34
26-32
39-39
36-43
39-26
26-39
28-41
23-54
40-40
30-31
35-38
14-47
44-31
134.8Avg total
61.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.175.0144.1-6.021%
Season at home (12)73.169.8142.8+3.342%
Season away (16)66.179.0145.1-12.96%
Last 10 (10)61.073.8134.8-12.810%
Last 5 (5)63.078.0141.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)65.378.0143.3-12.89%
vs Similar (4)62.567.2129.8-4.825%
vs Weaker (2)107.062.5169.5+44.5100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A02/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
A09/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
44-29
35-33
34-26
32-24
42-41
34-38
42-38
32-48
45-37
42-33
43-44
39-29
34-33
26-29
39-36
32-27
44-43
26-29
57-42
148.9Avg total
76.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.170.8148.9+7.468%
Season at home (15)81.567.1148.6+14.587%
Season away (13)74.275.0149.2-0.846%
Last 10 (10)76.672.3148.9+4.380%
Last 5 (5)77.469.8147.2+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
vs Similar (10)72.874.4147.2-1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.368.5148.7+11.874%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -10.0-10.01st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +5.5+5.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -10.0-10.01st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +5.5+5.5
VMISamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#195
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
23-14
23
14
+9
H21/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/02
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
23-54
23
54
-31
H09/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A11/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
14-47
14
47
-33
H16/02
NCAA
60.8Avg total
25.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.336.367.6-4.920%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.633.467.0+0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)29.638.568.1-8.96%-
Last 10 (10)25.435.460.8-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)25.842.868.6-17.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)28.037.865.8-9.85%-
vs Similar (4)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)52.025.577.5+26.5100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H04/02
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H16/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
32.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.469.4+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.230.169.3+9.281%-
Last 30 away (14)34.435.169.4-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.566.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.029.462.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (10)33.233.066.2+0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.132.471.4+6.774%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
VMI wins
5
Samford wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23Samford v VMI87-78
18/02/22Samford v VMI100-99 OT
21/01/22VMI v Samford99-80
13/02/21VMI v Samford85-56
31/12/20Samford v VMI84-71
06/03/20Samford v VMI78-96
29/02/20Samford v VMI84-78
04/01/20VMI v Samford75-78
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HChattanooga Mocs58-78
11/02/23AEast Tennessee St65-69
09/02/23HFurman63-94
04/02/23AMercer54-80
03/02/23ACitadel75-69
28/01/23HWestern Carolina65-71
26/01/23ANC Greensboro50-62
21/01/23HCitadel52-60
20/01/23HMercer61-69
15/01/23AWofford67-86
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HNC Greensboro83-71
11/02/23HCitadel76-70
09/02/23AMercer70-69 OT
04/02/23HEast Tennessee St73-62
02/02/23AWestern Carolina85-77
28/01/23AWofford77-85
26/01/23AFurman84-91 OT
21/01/23HWestern Carolina74-65
19/01/23AEast Tennessee St69-59
14/01/23HChattanooga Mocs75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayLLWLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %21%42%6%
Points / game69.173.166.1
Allowed / game75.069.879.0
Point differential-6.0+3.3-12.9
Avg total144.1142.8145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %68%87%46%
Points / game78.181.574.2
Allowed / game70.867.175.0
Point differential+7.4+14.5-0.8
Avg total148.9148.6149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %14%0%31%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2821775%82.270.7+11.5
2 Samford2819968%78.170.8+7.4
3 NC Greensboro29191066%72.764.9+7.8
4 Western Carolina28151354%75.071.2+3.8
5 Chattanooga Mocs29151452%76.871.0+5.9
6 Wofford28141450%74.972.2+2.6
7 Mercer28121643%69.268.1+1.1
8 East Tennessee St28101836%69.168.7+0.4
9 Citadel28101836%68.974.5-5.6
10 VMI2862221%69.175.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI263561
Samford356196
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