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Sampaense vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 63-84
22-21 7-20 24-27 10-16
Position#16
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game103.5
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.5
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sampaense v Illiabum
24 Oct 2026
SAMP99
ILLI70
08 Nov 2025
SAMP84
ILLI87
09 Nov 2024
SAMP56
ILLI94
28 Oct 2023
SAMP63
ILLI84
28 Jan 2023
SAMP56
ILLI98
28 May 2021
SAMP53
ILLI76
02 Nov 2016
SAMP73
ILLI87
13 Dec 2014
SAMP95
ILLI68
17 Oct 2010
SAMP93
ILLI92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
no box
A19/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
W
116-111
116
111
+5
no box
H25/02
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A05/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
H11/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H18/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
A26/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
no box
H01/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
99-80
99
80
+19
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
69avg 74
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
84-100
84
100
-16
79avg 74
H21/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
26-26
19-12
7-17
31-22
30-28
17-26
38-35
26-32
21-15
20-23
20-12
20-32
23-19
17-20
20-20
17-22
19-24
15-21
27-18
24-22
20-17
21-31
22-20
25-18
13-27
35-15
17-20
22-31
27-21
27-13
23-15
20-29
23-12
23-39
24-27
20-26
30-30
15-27
19-17
180.5Avg total
89.4Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.0103.5190.5-16.50%
Season at home (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
Season away (1)90.0107.0197.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)89.491.1180.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)90.091.4181.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.186.8162.9-10.818%
vs Similar (11)87.586.6174.1+0.855%
vs Weaker (2)84.571.5156.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
no box
H18/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
A25/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#11
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
H04/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#3
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
A11/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#2
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A18/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#5
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H25/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#11
L
87-103
87
103
-16
no box
A02/04
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#3
L
99-103
99
103
-4
no box
H08/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 68
A14/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
63avg 68
H21/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
22-27
26-19
16-23
16-28
25-23
21-12
23-24
23-12
25-32
26-28
18-18
24-25
19-13
20-25
29-27
16-12
16-18
28-13
21-24
21-24
26-25
18-20
18-24
16-24
18-21
14-28
39-30
24-34
27-27
26-16
22-26
25-23
17-23
23-17
20-25
17-13
15-9
13-18
26-23
174.4Avg total
86.6Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.075.5153.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)71.063.0134.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)85.088.0173.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)86.687.8174.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)85.090.0175.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.579.5152.0-7.025%
vs Similar (11)82.582.3164.7+0.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.974.4156.4+7.564%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
SampaenseIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A19/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H25/02
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A05/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H11/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H18/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H21/10
Proliga
92.1Avg total
45.4Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.783.3-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.143.584.6-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.981.9-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)45.446.792.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.841.379.1-3.535%-
vs Similar (11)44.646.491.0-1.736%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.576.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H18/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A25/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H04/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#2
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A18/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H25/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A02/04
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#3
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H08/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A14/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/10
Proliga
85.7Avg total
41.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.479.0+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.379.7+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.640.678.2-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.885.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.844.877.5-12.00%-
vs Similar (11)40.941.382.2-0.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.336.276.5+4.164%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.526.5
60.9%
50.4%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.5
26.8%
31.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.511.5
74.2%
69.3%11.5
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.5
52.6%
50.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.5
27.8%
31.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.013.5
71.1%
69.3%13.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LLWWLLLWWL
Illiabum
WLLLLWWWLL
#16
League position
#9
-19.6
Net rating
+1.9
109.8
Offensive rating
95.4
129.4
Defensive rating
93.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
48.1%
65.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
13.8%
Turnover %
18.6%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.8%
3-point %
27.8%
47.1%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 95.4Defence129.4 · 93.6Shooting52.8% · 48.1%3-point %26.8% · 27.8%Ball care13.8% · 18.6%Off. rebounds23.8% · 21.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Sampaense   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sampaense wins
7
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Sampaense v Illiabum56-98
26/11/22Illiabum v Sampaense78-60
28/05/21Sampaense v Illiabum53-76
15/11/20Illiabum v Sampaense89-78
10/02/17Illiabum v Sampaense80-63
02/11/16Sampaense v Illiabum73-87
14/03/15Illiabum v Sampaense91-84
13/12/14Sampaense v Illiabum95-68
22/01/11Illiabum v Sampaense83-93
17/10/10Sampaense v Illiabum93-92 OT
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HAcademica84-100
14/10/23AVasco Da Gama90-107
08/04/23AGinasio Olhanense99-80
01/04/23HBelenenses90-80
26/03/23ABarreirense87-90
18/03/23HBenfica Lisboa B78-85
11/03/23HGinasio Olhanense80-91
05/03/23ABelenenses87-82
25/02/23HBarreirense116-111
19/02/23ABenfica Lisboa B83-85 OT
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HVasco Da Gama71-63
14/10/23AGalitos Aveiro85-88
08/04/23HGalitos Barreiro99-103
02/04/23ACA Queluz87-103
25/03/23HPortimonense83-93
18/03/23ASanto Andre81-67
11/03/23AGalitos Barreiro92-90
04/03/23HCA Queluz92-90
25/02/23APortimonense85-87
18/02/23HSanto Andre91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game87.084.090.0
Allowed / game103.5100.0107.0
Point differential-16.5-16.0-17.0
Avg total190.5184.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.071.085.0
Allowed / game75.563.088.0
Point differential+2.5+8.0-3.0
Avg total153.5134.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz220100%88.061.0+27.0
2 Barreirense220100%88.072.0+16.0
3 Maia220100%75.072.0+3.0
4 CAB Madeira32167%76.775.7+1.0
5 Academica21150%82.076.0+6.0
6 Braga21150%73.569.0+4.5
7 Vasco Da Gama21150%85.080.5+4.5
8 Illiabum21150%78.075.5+2.5
9 Galitos Aveiro21150%76.577.5-1.0
10 Benfica Lisboa B21150%63.064.5-1.5
11 Sangalhos21150%63.066.0-3.0
12 Imortal B21150%67.574.5-7.0
13 Santo Andre21150%81.088.0-7.0
14 Ginasio Olhanense3030%74.381.7-7.3
15 Sampaense2020%87.0103.5-16.5
16 Galitos Barreiro2020%67.085.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense227241063
Illiabum2120271684
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