Sampaense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 94-80

24-22 22-8 24-33 24-17

Position#3

Record9-8

FormLLWWL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game79.9

Sampaense 🏆

Vitoria

Position#2

Record12-5

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game75.7

LPBRound 19

Other2013-14

Meetings · Sampaense v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sampaense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

92-98

-6

A15/12

LPB

Ovarense

77-70

A21/12

LPB

Maia

#11

79-68

+11

H04/01

LPB

Oliveirense

75-81

-6

A11/01

LPB

Barcelos

#10

71-65

A18/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

64-86

-22

H25/01

LPB

Benfica

74-102

102

-28

H15/02

LPB

Alges

79-76

A22/02

LPB

Galitos

93-71

+22

H01/03

LPB

Lusitania

77-78

-1

A08/03

LPB

17-22

21-18

26-24

28-34

9-6

20-32

30-8

18-24

18-13

10-16

18-13

33-26

15-19

21-12

24-26

15-24

18-19

17-15

15-20

21-11

13-15

12-29

21-19

18-23

20-28

12-17

20-28

22-29

18-21

21-19

17-18

23-18

24-22

21-12

25-19

29-25

17-16

18-20

13-17

157.6Avg total

78.1Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.9	79.9	159.8	+0.0	53%
Season at home (8)	78.8	76.4	155.1	+2.4	62%
Season away (9)	80.9	83.0	163.9	-2.1	44%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	79.5	157.6	-1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	82.6	160.0	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	70.8	86.2	157.1	-15.4	17%
vs Similar (15)	77.6	75.1	152.7	+2.5	67%
vs Weaker (3)	86.3	76.3	162.7	+10.0	67%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

80-57

+23

H13/12

LPB

Sampaense

98-92

H15/12

LPB

Maia

#11

77-75 OT

A22/12

LPB

Barcelos

#10

76-90

-14

A11/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-80

-4

A18/01

LPB

Benfica

61-70

-9

A08/02

LPB

Alges

79-69

+10

H15/02

LPB

Galitos

88-72

+16

A23/02

LPB

Lusitania

95-93

H02/03

LPB

Ovarense

84-71

+13

H08/03

LPB

32-16

21-9

19-14

8-18

22-17

18-21

24-26

34-28

20-12

14-18

13-22

22-17

16-12

23-25

11-27

26-26

21-14

20-21

15-19

20-26

12-14

17-11

20-29

12-16

25-17

21-12

16-20

17-20

23-17

18-21

15-21

32-13

27-18

22-24

15-17

31-34

24-21

25-16

19-15

16-19

158.3Avg total

81.4Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	82.5	75.7	158.2	+6.8	71%
Season at home (8)	85.4	74.2	159.6	+11.1	100%
Season away (9)	79.9	77.0	156.9	+2.9	44%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	76.9	158.3	+4.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	75.0	156.4	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	70.2	73.2	143.5	-3.0	25%
vs Similar (11)	76.9	74.6	151.5	+2.3	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	84.5	73.9	158.4	+10.5	87%

This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SampaenseVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	19.6	38.1	-1.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	16.7	35.0	+1.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	16.8	35.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	15.8	38.0	+6.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	17.2	32.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	17.4	38.7	+3.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	19.7	36.6	-2.8	19%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	18.1	36.8	+0.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.2	19.4	34.7	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	17.3	41.0	+6.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	15.5	37.7	+6.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.1	37.4	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	15.0	32.5	+2.5	75%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	17.5	39.5	+4.4	53%	-

SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

38-40

-2

A15/12

LPB

Ovarense

29-38

-9

A21/12

LPB

Maia

#11

28-29

-1

H04/01

LPB

Oliveirense

36-31

A11/01

LPB

Barcelos

#10

35-34

A18/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

25-44

-19

H25/01

LPB

Benfica

32-45

-13

H15/02

LPB

Alges

39-40

-1

A22/02

LPB

Galitos

47-40

H01/03

LPB

Lusitania

46-41

A08/03

LPB

73.7Avg total

35.5Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.3	38.5	74.8	-2.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.9	39.6	75.4	-3.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.8	37.2	74.0	-0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	38.2	73.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	42.0	79.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.1	40.8	73.9	-7.8	8%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.8	37.5	75.3	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

53-25

+28

H13/12

LPB

Sampaense

40-38

H15/12

LPB

Maia

#11

34-30

A22/12

LPB

Barcelos

#10

39-37

A11/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

41-35

A18/01

LPB

Benfica

29-25

A08/02

LPB

Alges

46-29

+17

H15/02

LPB

Galitos

41-38

A23/02

LPB

Lusitania

49-42

H02/03

LPB

Ovarense

49-37

+12

H08/03

LPB

75.7Avg total

42.1Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.2	35.2	75.3	+5.0	72%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.4	34.3	78.7	+10.1	92%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	35.9	72.6	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	33.6	75.7	+8.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	34.2	77.0	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.8	32.2	65.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.5	36.7	75.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	43.3	34.9	78.2	+8.3	87%	-

This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	18.7	37.8	+0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	16.0	34.4	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	17.0	38.3	+4.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	16.5	35.6	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.7	19.2	35.9	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.1	17.9	35.9	+0.2	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.5	44.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.9	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.6	40.1	78.7	-1.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	39.4	77.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.1	41.0	80.1	-1.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.3	83.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.6	80.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	37.8	45.4	83.2	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.3	36.7	76.0	+2.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	35.0	73.7	+3.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.3	38.1	77.4	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	42.7	81.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.8	79.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	41.0	78.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.4	38.3	77.7	+1.1	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sampaense wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/13	Vitoria v Sampaense	98-92
20/01/13	Vitoria v Sampaense	87-93
27/10/12	Sampaense v Vitoria	75-76
28/01/12	Sampaense v Vitoria	69-90
01/11/11	Vitoria v Sampaense	87-99
06/02/11	Sampaense v Vitoria	68-73
07/11/10	Vitoria v Sampaense	82-83

Sampaenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/14	A	Lusitania	77-78
01/03/14	H	Galitos	93-71
22/02/14	A	Alges	79-76
15/02/14	H	Benfica	74-102
25/01/14	H	CAB Madeira	64-86
18/01/14	A	Barcelos	71-65
11/01/14	A	Oliveirense	75-81
04/01/14	H	Maia	79-68
21/12/13	A	Ovarense	77-70
15/12/13	A	Vitoria	92-98

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/14	H	Ovarense	84-71
02/03/14	H	Lusitania	95-93
23/02/14	A	Galitos	88-72
15/02/14	H	Alges	79-69
08/02/14	A	Benfica	61-70
18/01/14	A	CAB Madeira	76-80
11/01/14	A	Barcelos	76-90
22/12/13	A	Maia	77-75 OT
15/12/13	H	Sampaense	98-92
13/12/13	H	Oliveirense	80-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense

LPB 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	53%
Home	WWLLW	62%
Away	WLWWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	53%	62%	44%
Points / game	79.9	78.8	80.9
Allowed / game	79.9	76.4	83.0
Point differential	+0.0	+2.4	-2.1
Avg total	159.8	155.1	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Vitoria

LPB 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	71%	100%	44%
Points / game	82.5	85.4	79.9
Allowed / game	75.7	74.2	77.0
Point differential	+6.8	+11.1	+2.9
Avg total	158.2	159.6	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	62%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	17	16	1	94%	86.9	67.1	+19.8
2	Vitoria	17	12	5	71%	82.5	75.7	+6.8
3	CAB Madeira	16	9	7	56%	76.1	75.1	+1.0
4	Sampaense	17	9	8	53%	79.9	79.9	+0.0
5	Alges	17	8	9	47%	72.9	72.4	+0.5
6	Oliveirense	17	8	9	47%	68.2	72.1	-3.8
7	Barcelos	16	7	9	44%	70.1	72.4	-2.3
8	Lusitania	16	7	9	44%	73.9	76.4	-2.6
9	Ovarense	17	7	10	41%	72.0	72.1	-0.1
10	Maia	17	6	11	35%	64.4	68.5	-4.2
11	Galitos	17	5	12	29%	67.9	78.5	-10.5
12	Academica	4	0	4	0%	43.5	63.8	-20.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sampaense	24	22	24	24	94
Vitoria	22	8	33	17	80

← all games of the day

Sampaense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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