PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 104-116
28-34 16-31 36-28 24-23
Position#1
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Oklahoma City Thunder
20 Oct 2026
SAS104
OKC116
28 May 2026
SAS118
OKC91
24 May 2026
SAS103
OKC82
22 May 2026
SAS108
OKC123
04 Feb 2026
SAS116
OKC106
23 Dec 2025
SAS130
OKC110
02 Mar 2025
SAS132
OKC146
19 Nov 2024
SAS110
OKC104
29 Feb 2024
SAS132
OKC118
24 Jan 2024
SAS114
OKC140
12 Mar 2023
SAS90
OKC102
16 Mar 2022
SAS122
OKC120
19 Jan 2022
SAS118
OKC96
04 Mar 2021
SAS102
OKC107
12 Dec 2020
SAS108
OKC121
02 Jan 2020
SAS103
OKC109
07 Nov 2019
SAS121
OKC112
02 Mar 2019
SAS116
OKC102
10 Jan 2019
SAS154
OKC147
29 Mar 2018
SAS103
OKC99
17 Nov 2017
SAS104
OKC101
31 Jan 2017
SAS108
OKC94
10 May 2016
SAS91
OKC95
02 May 2016
SAS97
OKC98
30 Apr 2016
SAS124
OKC92
12 Apr 2016
SAS102
OKC98
12 Mar 2016
SAS93
OKC85
25 Mar 2015
SAS130
OKC91
25 Dec 2014
SAS106
OKC114
29 May 2014
SAS117
OKC89
21 May 2014
SAS112
OKC77
19 May 2014
SAS122
OKC105
22 Jan 2014
SAS105
OKC111
21 Dec 2013
SAS100
OKC113
11 Mar 2013
SAS105
OKC93
01 Nov 2012
SAS86
OKC84
04 Jun 2012
SAS103
OKC108
29 May 2012
SAS120
OKC111
27 May 2012
SAS101
OKC98
04 Feb 2012
SAS107
OKC96
23 Feb 2011
SAS109
OKC105
01 Jan 2011
SAS101
OKC74
24 Feb 2010
SAS95
OKC87
14 Nov 2009
SAS98
OKC101
31 Mar 2009
SAS95
OKC96
14 Dec 2008
SAS109
OKC104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
108-123
108
123
-15
100avg 112
H23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
103-82
103
82
+21
94avg 112
H25/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
114-127
114
127
-13
101avg 112
A27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
118-91
118
91
+27
118avg 112
H29/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
111-103
111
103
+8
98avg 112
A31/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
95-105
95
105
-10
82avg 112
H04/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
104-105
104
105
-1
97avg 112
H06/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
115-111
115
111
+4
107avg 112
A09/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
106-107
106
107
-1
97avg 112
A11/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
77avg 112
H14/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
20-32
33-37
24-28
28-19
22-19
28-22
25-22
27-29
31-40
33-32
23-26
35-22
25-31
32-13
26-25
32-25
24-28
24-24
31-26
27-19
28-29
21-28
19-29
34-25
18-31
23-28
29-21
33-22
24-42
35-27
23-20
41-22
35-27
14-26
16-32
23-13
19-24
30-28
18-29
211.2Avg total
106.4Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.4104.8211.2+1.640%
Last 5 (5)102.0104.4206.4-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)110.8110.6221.4+0.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)118.6103.9222.4+14.781%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
125-107
125
107
+18
118avg 108
H08/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
131-108
131
108
+23
128avg 108
A10/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
115-110
115
110
+5
104avg 108
A12/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
115-122 OT
115
122
-7
97avg 108
H19/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
122-113
122
113
+9
116avg 108
H21/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
123-108
123
108
+15
121avg 108
A23/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
82-103
82
103
-21
68avg 108
A25/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
127-114
127
114
+13
121avg 108
H27/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
91-118
91
118
-27
75avg 108
A29/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
103-111
103
111
-8
93avg 108
H31/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
30-35
36-22
32-27
31-25
26-34
33-20
41-29
21-26
28-19
31-39
35-26
27-27
17-24
29-29
28-21
31-31
31-20
34-37
26-25
26-31
32-20
37-33
28-24
19-28
19-22
22-28
22-25
29-27
40-31
32-33
26-23
22-35
31-25
13-32
25-26
25-32
28-24
24-24
26-31
224.8Avg total
113.4Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)113.4111.4224.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)105.2110.8216.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (10)109.7111.8221.5-2.150%
vs Weaker (20)122.6106.7229.2+15.990%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.9+8.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.9+8.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
San Antonio SpursOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H25/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A27/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H29/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A31/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H04/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H06/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A09/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
76-49
76
49
+27
A11/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/06
NBA
108.2Avg total
55.7Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.4111.5+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.350.6106.9+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)60.056.7116.7+3.350%-
Last 10 (10)55.752.5108.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)56.450.8107.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)56.254.7110.9+1.557%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)59.652.3111.9+7.362%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H08/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A10/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A12/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H19/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H21/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A23/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A25/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H27/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A29/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H31/05
NBA
107.9Avg total
54.0Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.252.9112.1+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.054.5114.5+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)58.351.3109.7+7.073%-
Last 10 (10)54.053.9107.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.255.0109.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (10)53.652.1105.7+1.560%-
vs Weaker (20)62.053.4115.3+8.670%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.923.5
49.1%
54.0%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.212.9
33.8%
35.1%38.7
🏀 Free throws26.320.7
78.7%
77.2%20.7
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.6
53.2%
54.0%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.1
36.0%
35.1%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.618.9
83.6%
77.2%18.9
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LLWLLWWLWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#11
+1.6
Net rating
+2.0
106.8
Offensive rating
112.5
105.2
Defensive rating
110.5
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.8%
3-point %
36.0%
64.6%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 112.5Defence105.2 · 110.5Shooting49.8% · 53.5%3-point %33.8% · 36.0%Ball care12.8% · 12.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 23.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/26HNew York Knicks90-94
11/06/26ANew York Knicks106-107
09/06/26ANew York Knicks115-111
06/06/26HNew York Knicks104-105
04/06/26HNew York Knicks95-105
31/05/26AOklahoma City Thunder111-103
29/05/26HOklahoma City Thunder118-91
27/05/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-127
25/05/26HOklahoma City Thunder103-82
23/05/26HOklahoma City Thunder108-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs103-111
29/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs91-118
27/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs127-114
25/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs82-103
23/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-108
21/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs122-113
19/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs115-122 OT
12/05/26ALos Angeles Lakers115-110
10/05/26ALos Angeles Lakers131-108
08/05/26HLos Angeles Lakers125-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Detroit Pistons110100%121.0113.0+8.0
2 Philadelphia 76ers110100%106.0100.0+6.0
3 New York Knicks1010%100.0106.0-6.0
4 Boston Celtics1010%113.0121.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs28163624104
Oklahoma City Thunder34312823116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.