San Diego State vs Yale Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024

Tip-off: 01:40

Final 85-57

45-21 40-36

Position#48

Record25-10

FormLWWLW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game66.5

San Diego State 🏆

Yale

Position#51

Record23-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game66.9

NCAA

Other2023-24

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Yale winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego State USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Mexico

#39

81-70

+11

H17/02

NCAA

Utah State

#17

63-68

-5

A21/02

NCAA

Fresno State

#304

73-41

+32

A25/02

NCAA

San Jose State

#335

72-64

H28/02

NCAA

UNLV

#115

58-62

-4

A06/03

NCAA

Boise State

#70

77-79 OT

-2

H09/03

NCAA

UNLV

#115

74-71 OT

A14/03

NCAA

Utah State

#17

86-70

+16

A16/03

NCAA

New Mexico

#39

61-68

-7

H16/03

NCAA

UAB

#77

69-65

H22/03

NCAA

39-28

42-42

26-31

37-37

42-16

31-25

29-22

43-42

28-33

30-29

31-33

41-39

22-27

43-38

36-39

50-31

30-36

31-32

35-29

34-36

137.2Avg total

71.4Scored

65.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	74.4	66.5	140.9	+7.9	71%
Season at home (20)	76.8	64.0	140.8	+12.7	90%
Season away (15)	71.3	69.8	141.1	+1.5	47%
Last 10 (10)	71.4	65.8	137.2	+5.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	70.6	144.0	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.5	76.5	155.0	+2.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	70.2	68.1	138.4	+2.1	53%
vs Weaker (10)	76.8	60.8	137.6	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Yale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Yale

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penn

#295

76-62

+14

A17/02

NCAA

Princeton

#11

62-73

-11

A18/02

NCAA

Cornell

#28

62-65

-3

A24/02

NCAA

Columbia

#229

84-76

A24/02

NCAA

Dartmouth

#352

80-56

+24

H02/03

NCAA

Harvard

#188

80-60

+20

H03/03

NCAA

Brown

#276

81-84 OT

-3

H09/03

NCAA

Cornell

#28

69-57

+12

H16/03

NCAA

Brown

#276

62-61

H17/03

NCAA

Auburn

#22

78-76

A22/03

NCAA

45-30

31-32

30-38

32-35

27-37

35-28

35-33

49-43

36-27

44-29

44-30

36-30

43-36

30-37

37-25

32-32

26-22

36-39

34-41

44-35

140.4Avg total

73.4Scored

67.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	75.2	66.9	142.2	+8.3	72%
Season at home (14)	78.8	63.8	142.6	+15.0	86%
Season away (18)	72.5	69.3	141.8	+3.2	61%
Last 10 (10)	73.4	67.0	140.4	+6.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	67.6	141.6	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	78.0	76.0	154.0	+2.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	70.3	67.7	138.0	+2.6	57%
vs Weaker (14)	77.0	67.3	144.3	+9.7	86%

This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

San Diego StateYale

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Mexico

#39

39-28

+11

H17/02

NCAA

Utah State

#17

26-31

-5

A21/02

NCAA

Fresno State

#304

42-16

+26

A25/02

NCAA

San Jose State

#335

29-22

H28/02

NCAA

UNLV

#115

28-33

-5

A06/03

NCAA

Boise State

#70

31-33

-2

H09/03

NCAA

UNLV

#115

22-27

-5

A14/03

NCAA

Utah State

#17

36-39

-3

A16/03

NCAA

New Mexico

#39

30-36

-6

H16/03

NCAA

UAB

#77

35-29

H22/03

NCAA

61.2Avg total

31.8Scored

29.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	30.8	65.5	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.3	29.6	65.9	+6.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.9	32.2	65.1	+0.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.8	29.4	61.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	32.8	63.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	36.0	69.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	32.0	32.5	64.5	-0.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.1	27.4	66.5	+11.7	100%	-

This opponent (Yale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

YaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penn

#295

45-30

+15

A17/02

NCAA

Princeton

#11

30-38

-8

A18/02

NCAA

Cornell

#28

27-37

-10

A24/02

NCAA

Columbia

#229

35-33

A24/02

NCAA

Dartmouth

#352

36-27

H02/03

NCAA

Harvard

#188

44-30

+14

H03/03

NCAA

Brown

#276

43-36

H09/03

NCAA

Cornell

#28

37-25

+12

H16/03

NCAA

Brown

#276

26-22

H17/03

NCAA

Auburn

#22

34-41

-7

A22/03

NCAA

67.6Avg total

35.7Scored

31.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	31.1	67.1	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.0	29.7	66.7	+7.3	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.2	32.2	67.4	+2.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	31.9	67.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	30.8	67.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	41.0	75.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	32.6	32.5	65.1	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.0	30.5	69.5	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	34.0	71.1	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	32.1	68.7	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	36.1	73.9	+1.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	35.1	73.3	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	35.2	75.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.5	40.5	86.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	37.1	34.3	71.4	+2.8	59%	-
vs Weaker (10)	36.4	33.0	69.4	+3.4	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	34.4	71.8	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.1	33.8	72.9	+5.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.2	34.8	70.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	34.0	70.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	34.6	70.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	35.0	79.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.2	34.1	71.3	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	36.1	35.3	71.4	+0.8	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

San Diego State wins

Yale wins

No previous meetings.

San Diego Statelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/24	H	UAB	69-65
16/03/24	H	New Mexico	61-68
16/03/24	A	Utah State	86-70
14/03/24	A	UNLV	74-71 OT
09/03/24	H	Boise State	77-79 OT
06/03/24	A	UNLV	58-62
28/02/24	H	San Jose State	72-64
25/02/24	A	Fresno State	73-41
21/02/24	A	Utah State	63-68
17/02/24	H	New Mexico	81-70

Yalelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/24	A	Auburn	78-76
17/03/24	H	Brown	62-61
16/03/24	H	Cornell	69-57
09/03/24	H	Brown	81-84 OT
03/03/24	H	Harvard	80-60
02/03/24	H	Dartmouth	80-56
24/02/24	A	Columbia	84-76
24/02/24	A	Cornell	62-65
18/02/24	A	Princeton	62-73
17/02/24	A	Penn	76-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	71%
Home	WWLLW	90%
Away	LWLWW	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	20	15
Win %	71%	90%	47%
Points / game	74.4	76.8	71.3
Allowed / game	66.5	64.0	69.8
Point differential	+7.9	+12.7	+1.5
Avg total	140.9	140.8	141.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	49%	65%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	75% (4)	43% (7)
Overtime %	14%	15%	13%

Yale

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	72%
Home	WWLWW	86%
Away	WLLWW	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	14	18
Win %	72%	86%	61%
Points / game	75.2	78.8	72.5
Allowed / game	66.9	63.8	69.3
Point differential	+8.3	+15.0	+3.2
Avg total	142.2	142.6	141.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	60% (5)	40% (5)
Overtime %	12%	14%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Grand Canyon	35	30	5	86%	79.1	67.0	+12.1
2	Utah State	35	28	7	80%	79.7	71.3	+8.3
3	Nevada	34	26	8	76%	75.9	66.9	+9.0
4	New Mexico	36	26	10	72%	81.0	70.7	+10.3
5	San Diego State	35	25	10	71%	74.4	66.5	+7.9
6	Colorado State	36	25	11	69%	75.2	67.3	+7.9
7	Boise State	33	22	11	67%	75.1	67.3	+7.8
8	UNLV	31	19	12	61%	73.2	67.8	+5.4
9	Wyoming	32	15	17	47%	72.8	74.5	-1.6
10	Fresno State	33	12	21	36%	67.7	73.9	-6.2
11	Air Force	31	9	22	29%	66.2	72.4	-6.2
12	San Jose State	32	9	23	28%	69.6	75.1	-5.5

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Ivy League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Princeton	28	24	4	86%	77.1	66.0	+11.1
2	Cornell	29	22	7	76%	82.1	74.2	+7.8
3	Yale	32	23	9	72%	75.2	66.9	+8.3
4	Harvard	27	14	13	52%	70.4	71.7	-1.4
5	Columbia	27	13	14	48%	77.0	72.4	+4.5
6	Brown	31	13	18	42%	71.4	71.8	-0.5
7	Penn	29	11	18	38%	74.4	74.4	+0.1
8	Dartmouth	27	6	21	22%	61.9	71.9	-10.1