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UNLV vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 71-74 (OT)
27-22 38-43 6-9
Position#115
Record19-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#48
Record22-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UNLV v San Diego State
24 Jan 2026
UNLV71
SAN 82
04 Mar 2025
UNLV74
SAN 67
14 Mar 2024
UNLV71
SAN 74
05 Mar 2024
UNLV62
SAN 58
31 Dec 2022
UNLV67
SAN 76
01 Jan 2022
UNLV55
SAN 62
03 Mar 2021
UNLV62
SAN 71
02 Jan 2021
UNLV v SAN
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
UNLV67
SAN 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#243
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
72-43
72
43
+29
A22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
75-69 OT
75
69
+6
A28/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H03/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-23
31-25
39-40
41-37
29-32
38-33
36-28
30-41
37-24
35-19
24-26
42-34
23-19
38-42
33-18
35-32
33-28
29-30
31-39
34-36
129.7Avg total
68.3Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.367.6140.9+5.763%
Season at home (19)74.267.6141.8+6.663%
Season away (11)71.767.7139.5+4.064%
Last 10 (10)68.361.4129.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)67.262.4129.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.270.8148.0+6.575%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.470.1139.5-0.746%
vs Weaker (13)76.064.2140.2+11.877%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A07/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H17/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
73-41
73
41
+32
A25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-36
39-31
45-20
32-44
27-30
33-30
30-44
41-11
39-28
42-42
26-31
37-37
42-16
31-25
29-22
43-42
28-33
30-29
31-33
41-39
135.9Avg total
71.9Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.766.3140.9+8.471%
Season at home (18)78.163.8141.8+14.394%
Season away (13)70.069.7139.7+0.338%
Last 10 (10)71.964.0135.9+7.960%
Last 5 (5)68.662.8131.4+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.270.2145.5+5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.569.7141.3+1.853%
vs Weaker (10)78.761.9140.6+16.8100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +3.9+3.9
UNLVSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#243
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
23-19
23
19
+4
A28/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H03/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/03
NCAA
59.3Avg total
31.6Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.630.764.4+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.930.465.4+4.568%-
Last 30 away (11)31.431.362.6+0.145%-
Last 10 (10)31.627.759.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)28.826.054.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.231.563.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.932.064.9+0.962%-
vs Weaker (13)34.829.264.0+5.562%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
45-20
45
20
+25
A07/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H14/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H17/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
42-16
42
16
+26
A25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/03
NCAA
63.2Avg total
33.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.731.367.0+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.630.668.2+7.188%-
Last 30 away (13)33.232.265.3+1.031%-
Last 10 (10)33.929.363.2+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.227.058.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.034.566.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.332.765.9+0.640%-
vs Weaker (10)40.328.468.7+11.9100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UNLV wins
7
San Diego State wins
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ANevada65-75
06/03/24HSan Diego State62-58
03/03/24HSan Jose State68-50
28/02/24AWyoming75-69 OT
25/02/24HColorado State66-60
22/02/24AAir Force72-43
18/02/24HNevada66-69
15/02/24AFresno State67-65
11/02/24ANew Mexico80-77
04/02/24HWyoming62-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HBoise State77-79 OT
06/03/24AUNLV58-62
28/02/24HSan Jose State72-64
25/02/24AFresno State73-41
21/02/24AUtah State63-68
17/02/24HNew Mexico81-70
14/02/24HColorado State71-55
10/02/24ANevada66-70 OT
07/02/24AAir Force77-64
03/02/24HUtah State81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL63%
HomeWLWWW63%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %63%63%64%
Points / game73.374.271.7
Allowed / game67.667.667.7
Point differential+5.7+6.6+4.0
Avg total140.9141.8139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%18%
San Diego State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %71%94%38%
Points / game74.778.170.0
Allowed / game66.363.869.7
Point differential+8.4+14.3+0.3
Avg total140.9141.8139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%72%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %13%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3127487%79.566.5+13.0
2 Utah State3227584%80.169.8+10.3
3 Nevada3226681%76.466.5+9.9
4 New Mexico3223972%82.671.2+11.3
5 Colorado State3223972%76.667.9+8.7
6 Boise State3122971%76.167.3+8.9
7 San Diego State3122971%74.766.3+8.4
8 UNLV30191163%73.367.6+5.7
9 Wyoming32151747%72.874.5-1.6
10 Fresno State33122136%67.773.9-6.2
11 Air Force3192229%66.272.4-6.2
12 San Jose State3292328%69.675.1-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UNLV2738671
San Diego State2243974
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