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San Giovanni W vs Brixia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-88
27-29 21-20 19-13 16-26
Position#6
Record8-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game70.6
San Giovanni W
Italy
vs
Brixia W 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record5-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game75.1
ItalySerie A1 WRound 20· PalaCarzaniga
Women2024-25
Meetings · San Giovanni W v Brixia W
25 Jan 2026
SAN 81
BRIX43
16 Mar 2025
SAN 83
BRIX88
23 Dec 2023
SAN 68
BRIX65
22 Jan 2023
SAN 79
BRIX55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Giovanni W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brixia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Giovanni WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sopron W
#11
L
45-64
45
64
-19
33avg 66
A19/12
EuroCup Women
Schio W
#1
L
61-67
61
67
-6
51avg 66
A22/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#9
W
91-58
91
58
+33
100avg 66
H29/12
Coppa Italia Women
Derthona Basket W
#2
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
74avg 66
A05/01
Coppa Italia Women
San Martino W
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
71avg 66
H12/01
Serie A1 W
Scrivia W
#4
W
81-58
81
58
+23
77avg 66
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
59-88
59
88
-29
52avg 66
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#7
L
62-73
62
73
-11
53avg 66
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
70-89
70
89
-19
55avg 66
A02/03
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
62-51
62
51
+11
60avg 66
A08/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
14-12
7-19
11-17
17-12
16-23
14-22
14-10
23-13
29-2
22-15
17-28
24-14
18-24
23-12
6-21
13-16
23-23
19-20
13-17
16-17
18-13
25-14
22-14
9-30
20-22
15-24
15-12
24-19
11-15
16-19
11-20
17-26
12-25
20-19
21-19
19-15
9-10
16-16
18-10
138.7Avg total
67.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.870.6143.4+2.247%
Season at home (8)74.874.1148.9+0.638%
Season away (9)71.067.4138.4+3.656%
Last 10 (10)67.970.8138.7-2.930%
Last 5 (5)66.871.8138.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.076.2139.2-13.212%
vs Similar (10)66.369.0135.3-2.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.961.4142.3+19.582%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
San Martino W
#5
L
60-69
60
69
-9
58avg 59
H08/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
61avg 59
A14/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#7
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 59
H22/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 59
A29/12
Coppa Italia Women
Sassari W
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 59
A19/01
Serie A1 W
Scrivia W
#4
W
66-61
66
61
+5
60avg 59
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#10
L
56-78
56
78
-22
40avg 59
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
66-93
66
93
-27
51avg 59
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
73avg 59
A01/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
55-70
55
70
-15
46avg 59
H12/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
13-28
12-14
13-10
15-17
21-27
13-25
18-15
15-21
29-16
9-14
15-29
16-22
25-21
21-38
20-16
15-24
28-9
10-18
13-13
24-22
14-15
11-10
17-14
15-18
16-23
16-22
9-15
9-21
18-26
22-24
17-22
23-26
24-15
17-25
22-16
15-16
15-20
9-21
16-13
145.0Avg total
67.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)65.375.1140.4-9.829%
Season at home (9)65.370.8136.1-5.433%
Season away (8)65.280.0145.2-14.825%
Last 10 (10)67.277.8145.0-10.630%
Last 5 (5)65.876.8142.6-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.479.4142.8-15.97%
vs Similar (7)66.371.9138.1-5.629%
vs Weaker (8)74.668.8143.4+5.975%
This opponent (San Giovanni W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
San Giovanni WBrixia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Giovanni WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sopron W
#11
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A19/12
EuroCup Women
Schio W
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#9
W
52-15
52
15
+37
H29/12
Coppa Italia Women
Derthona Basket W
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A05/01
Coppa Italia Women
San Martino W
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H12/01
Serie A1 W
Scrivia W
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A02/03
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A08/03
Serie A1 W
69.2Avg total
34.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.335.271.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.335.673.9+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)34.634.869.4-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.769.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.469.4-7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.241.071.2-10.812%-
vs Similar (10)32.534.967.4-2.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.833.075.8+9.891%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martino W
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H22/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/12
Coppa Italia Women
Sassari W
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A19/01
Serie A1 W
Scrivia W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#10
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H23/02
Serie A1 W
Alpo VillaFranca W
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A01/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H12/03
Serie A1 W
77.6Avg total
37.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.974.4-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.137.272.3-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)34.142.576.6-8.513%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.477.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.475.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.940.873.6-7.921%-
vs Similar (7)33.640.173.7-6.629%-
vs Weaker (8)37.637.675.2+0.050%-
This opponent (San Giovanni W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Giovanni Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Giovanni W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.4 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.4
49.7%
44.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
31.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws11.67.9
68.1%
74.0%7.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.4 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.914.6
40.7%
44.6%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.4
29.4%
31.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
75.9%
74.0%14.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Giovanni W
WLLLWLLWLL
Brixia W
LWLLWWLLLL
#6
League position
#8
+2.1
Net rating
-13.7
95.2
Offensive rating
85.6
93.1
Defensive rating
99.3
49.0%
Effective FG%
42.1%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
24.2%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
29.4%
77.4%
Assist %
60.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 85.6Defence93.1 · 99.3Shooting49.0% · 42.1%3-point %32.0% · 29.4%Ball care20.1% · 24.2%Off. rebounds25.8% · 27.4%Free throws0.19 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ San Giovanni W   ■ Brixia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
San Giovanni W wins
0
Brixia W wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Brixia W v San Giovanni W61-81
20/04/24Brixia W v San Giovanni W61-64 OT
23/12/23San Giovanni W v Brixia W68-65
22/01/23San Giovanni W v Brixia W79-55
15/10/22Brixia W v San Giovanni W64-94
San Giovanni Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AAlpo VillaFranca W62-51
02/03/25ACampobasso W70-89
23/02/25HFaenza W62-73
26/01/25HVenezia W59-88
18/01/25AScrivia W81-58
12/01/25HSan Martino W68-76
05/01/25ADerthona Basket W80-84 OT
29/12/24HFaenza W91-58
22/12/24ASchio W61-67
19/12/24ASopron W45-64
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HCampobasso W55-70
01/03/25AAlpo VillaFranca W86-82
23/02/25HVenezia W66-93
01/02/25ABattipaglia W56-78
26/01/25HScrivia W66-61
19/01/25ASassari W66-64
29/12/24ACampobasso W82-97
22/12/24HFaenza W68-80
14/12/24ASchio W67-84
08/12/24HSan Martino W60-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Giovanni W
Serie A1 W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%38%56%
Points / game72.874.871.0
Allowed / game70.674.167.4
Point differential+2.2+0.6+3.6
Avg total143.4148.9138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%25%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game65.365.365.2
Allowed / game75.170.880.0
Point differential-9.8-5.4-14.8
Avg total140.4136.1145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W1716194%81.759.8+21.9
2 Venezia W1816289%76.456.7+19.7
3 Campobasso W1813572%73.259.2+13.9
4 Scrivia W1911858%66.265.0+1.2
5 San Giovanni W178947%72.870.6+2.2
6 San Martino W178947%66.669.1-2.5
7 Faenza W178947%65.573.2-7.7
8 Battipaglia W1961332%57.168.0-10.9
9 Sassari W1751229%64.272.4-8.1
10 Brixia W1751229%65.375.1-9.8
11 Alpo VillaFranca W181176%63.382.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Giovanni W2721191683
Brixia W2920132688
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