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San Lorenzo vs Lanus Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Roberto Pando
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Lanus
11 Mar 2027
SAN v LANU
upcoming
02 Apr 2016
SAN 88
LANU75
27 Nov 2015
SAN 96
LANU86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lanus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H04/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H28/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
18-21
29-22
17-12
14-22
20-23
18-21
21-15
18-26
22-23
19-14
18-20
14-17
19-28
19-16
14-19
16-21
21-26
9-18
24-15
17-21
18-19
14-20
21-16
20-22
18-18
29-14
22-19
22-28
22-17
18-26
23-21
18-21
26-25
14-17
15-15
18-16
18-28
16-22
6-14
153.3Avg total
74.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.280.8157.0-4.525%
Season at home (4)76.280.8157.0-4.525%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.179.2153.3-5.120%
Last 5 (5)75.079.8154.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.082.2160.2-4.228%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (2)79.066.0145.0+13.050%
This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LanusArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sionista
#20
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A17/05
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A19/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H29/09
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
93-108
93
108
-15
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H30/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
21-19
28-14
25-32
16-12
16-22
16-17
25-16
12-26
15-26
18-21
29-19
12-14
25-15
12-14
18-15
26-18
17-27
23-26
11-13
18-26
22-34
25-25
28-23
22-18
18-20
13-21
20-16
20-25
19-8
16-27
14-20
18-22
19-21
12-8
23-12
20-23
19-13
21-10
21-26
154.0Avg total
76.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.879.0154.8-3.238%
Season at home (5)74.273.8148.0+0.460%
Season away (3)78.387.7166.0-9.30%
Last 10 (10)76.277.8154.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)77.679.6157.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.487.8169.1-6.425%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.377.7158.0+2.553%
vs Weaker (7)81.073.6154.6+7.486%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
San LorenzoLanus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H04/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H28/10
Liga A
81.1Avg total
37.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.580.9-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.543.583.0-3.926%-
Last 30 away (11)36.540.877.4-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.681.1-6.10%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.943.981.9-6.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.740.779.4-2.030%-
vs Weaker (2)41.538.580.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sionista
#20
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A17/05
Liga A
Sionista
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
27-52
27
52
-25
H29/09
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/10
Liga A
76.7Avg total
36.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.478.6-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.538.078.5+2.565%-
Last 30 away (13)37.641.278.8-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.376.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.081.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.945.185.0-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.638.878.4+0.853%-
vs Weaker (7)37.934.071.9+3.957%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
72.7%17.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lanustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lanus: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.5%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.4
27.8%
32.6%25.1
🏀 Free throws24.416.9
69.2%
72.7%16.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Lorenzo
LLLWLLLLLW
Lanus
WWLLLLWLWW
#16
League position
#12
-6.0
Net rating
-4.5
110.0
Offensive rating
104.8
116.0
Defensive rating
109.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
45.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.1%
3-point %
27.8%
50.9%
Assist %
48.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 104.8Defence116.0 · 109.3Shooting50.9% · 45.8%3-point %30.1% · 27.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ San Lorenzo   ■ Lanus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Lorenzo wins
1
Lanus wins
DateGameScore
28/04/16Lanus v San Lorenzo77-70
02/04/16San Lorenzo v Lanus88-75
28/11/15San Lorenzo v Lanus96-86
30/09/15Lanus v San Lorenzo92-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HPlatense58-80
18/10/26HObera TC73-78
17/10/26HPenarol85-92
09/10/26HGimnasia89-73
18/04/26AObras Sanitarias70-76
15/04/26AArgentino70-80
12/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy66-80
04/04/26HBoca Juniors77-83
30/03/26HGimnasia73-81
26/03/26HOlimpico80-69
Lanuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HSan Martin81-72
26/10/26HRegatas72-63
24/10/26AAtenas69-80
22/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba73-75
20/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva93-108
14/10/26HPenarol77-84
09/10/26HObera TC67-58
29/09/26HGimnasia74-92
19/05/16ASionista73-67
17/05/16ASionista83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %25%25%-
Points / game76.276.2-
Allowed / game80.880.8-
Point differential-4.5-4.5-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Lanus
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game75.874.278.3
Allowed / game79.073.887.7
Point differential-3.2+0.4-9.3
Avg total154.8148.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol440100%83.273.8+9.5
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia75271%78.975.1+3.7
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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