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San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 77-83
18-26 22-23 19-14 18-20
Position#17
Record13-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.7
San Lorenzo
Argentina
vs
Boca Juniors 🏆
Argentina
Position#2
Record18-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game77.5
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Roberto Pando
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors
12 Dec 2026
SAN v BOCA
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
SAN 77
BOCA83
17 Nov 2024
SAN 83
BOCA78
15 Jun 2024
SAN 68
BOCA77
13 Jun 2024
SAN 77
BOCA67
05 May 2024
SAN 74
BOCA79
04 Nov 2022
SAN 69
BOCA75
23 Apr 2022
SAN 63
BOCA91
02 Apr 2022
SAN 91
BOCA87
23 Sep 2021
SAN 60
BOCA78
14 Nov 2020
SAN 63
BOCA82
07 Jan 2020
SAN 68
BOCA66
23 Oct 2019
SAN 70
BOCA79
20 Mar 2019
SAN 76
BOCA74
22 Sep 2018
SAN 94
BOCA83
15 Feb 2018
SAN 73
BOCA67
28 Sep 2017
SAN 97
BOCA62
13 May 2017
SAN 90
BOCA83
03 Nov 2016
SAN 84
BOCA67
18 Apr 2016
SAN 78
BOCA76
10 Nov 2015
SAN 74
BOCA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · San Lorenzo
4.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.7
82.2▲ 2.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.6
80.2▼ 1.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
57%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.9
15.2▼ 0.7
🔥 Form · Boca Juniors
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.7
79.2▼ 1.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.8
74.0▼ 1.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
55%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.4
15.6▼ 0.8
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#5
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
H16/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H19/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H21/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A23/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A07/03
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A09/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A15/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
107-103
107
103
+4
H18/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H30/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
18-19
18-18
30-27
17-19
21-25
25-17
19-23
12-20
21-24
15-16
19-26
21-28
23-26
22-17
11-19
22-16
21-14
27-22
19-17
15-16
22-19
12-22
23-20
19-18
17-20
27-12
16-21
24-25
29-26
23-21
31-31
16-14
18-21
29-22
17-12
14-22
20-23
18-21
21-15
165.3Avg total
82.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.782.7162.3-3.041%
Season at home (17)81.579.4160.9+2.159%
Season away (15)77.686.3163.9-8.720%
Last 10 (10)82.882.5165.3+0.350%
Last 5 (5)82.280.2162.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.984.8162.7-6.924%
vs Similar (12)81.682.7164.2-1.158%
vs Weaker (1)88.052.0140.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A13/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H16/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H19/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H22/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H20/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A26/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A28/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
23-22
25-14
16-21
22-21
25-24
17-13
17-19
17-15
11-16
23-17
19-15
29-18
16-19
19-23
20-24
18-17
28-15
25-28
19-14
19-19
20-20
21-14
15-15
19-25
25-10
23-12
19-23
24-22
26-16
15-20
15-13
18-20
21-19
13-19
10-20
26-21
18-17
24-27
25-18
157.7Avg total
81.8Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.177.5158.6+3.658%
Season at home (14)81.374.2155.5+7.171%
Season away (17)81.080.2161.2+0.847%
Last 10 (10)81.875.9157.7+5.990%
Last 5 (5)79.274.0153.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)74.075.5149.5-1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.475.5160.9+9.976%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
San LorenzoBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H21/02
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A23/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A07/03
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A15/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H18/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H30/03
Liga A
81.1Avg total
39.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.281.5-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.643.081.6-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.581.4-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.981.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.879.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.344.681.9-7.329%-
vs Similar (12)39.042.481.4-3.425%-
vs Weaker (1)46.030.076.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A13/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H16/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H19/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H20/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/03
Liga A
81.0Avg total
42.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.978.7+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.277.8+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.936.679.5+6.373%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.381.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.881.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)38.237.575.6+0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.536.581.0+8.182%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.6
56.9%
53.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.316.7
71.7%
71.5%16.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.5
54.7%
53.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.8
33.4%
32.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.614.0
75.3%
71.5%14.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Lorenzo
LWWWLWLLLW
Boca Juniors
WLWWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#2
+0.4
Net rating
+8.1
114.6
Offensive rating
104.8
114.2
Defensive rating
96.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
5.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
33.4%
55.0%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 104.8Defence114.2 · 96.7Shooting53.7% · 52.6%3-point %32.7% · 33.4%Ball care0.0% · 5.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ San Lorenzo   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Lorenzo wins
7
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo78-74
15/02/25Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo75-76
18/11/24San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors83-78
15/06/24San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors68-77
14/06/24San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors77-67
10/06/24Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo91-47
08/06/24Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo79-77
05/05/24San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors74-79 OT
11/10/23Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo68-56
26/11/22Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo94-91
San Lorenzolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/26HGimnasia73-81
26/03/26HOlimpico80-69
18/03/26HPlatense107-103
15/03/26APenarol79-71
09/03/26ASan Martin72-77
07/03/26ARegatas89-69
23/02/26AFerro77-90
21/02/26HInstituto de Cordoba67-86
19/02/26HQuimsa82-84
16/02/26HObera TC102-95 OT
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ALa Union93-83
26/03/26AObera TC62-78
20/03/26HAtenas80-71
18/03/26HPenarol86-70
13/03/26HInstituto de Cordoba75-68
09/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba90-74
22/02/26HPlatense95-91 OT
19/02/26HInstituto de Cordoba70-63
16/02/26HOlimpico81-77
13/02/26ARacing de Chivilcoy86-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL41%
HomeLLWWL59%
AwayLLWLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %41%59%20%
Points / game79.781.577.6
Allowed / game82.779.486.3
Point differential-3.0+2.1-8.7
Avg total162.3160.9163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %58%71%47%
Points / game81.181.381.0
Allowed / game77.574.280.2
Point differential+3.6+7.1+0.8
Avg total158.6155.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%29%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia33221167%81.476.2+5.2
2 Obera TC31201165%81.476.6+4.8
3 Quimsa32201262%82.476.2+6.2
4 Obras Sanitarias30181260%81.578.9+2.6
5 La Union32191359%81.779.7+1.9
6 Independiente de Oliva31181358%86.983.0+4.0
7 Boca Juniors31181358%81.177.5+3.6
8 Regatas31181358%77.776.1+1.6
9 Ferro31181358%83.582.5+0.9
10 Instituto de Cordoba33191458%77.275.2+2.0
11 Penarol32171553%81.181.0+0.1
12 San Martin32151747%74.975.9-1.0
13 Olimpico33141942%79.479.6-0.2
14 San Lorenzo32131941%79.782.7-3.0
15 Union De Santa Fe31121939%81.984.5-2.6
16 Platense32122038%82.185.3-3.2
17 Racing de Chivilcoy33122136%79.181.9-2.8
18 Atenas31102132%75.880.7-4.9
19 Argentino3162519%74.089.4-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Lorenzo1822191877
Boca Juniors2623142083
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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