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San Lorenzo vs Obera TC Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 102-95 (OT)
22-24 18-19 18-18 30-27 14-7
Position#17
Record8-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#5
Record14-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Roberto Pando
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Obera TC
18 Oct 2026
SAN 73
OBER78
16 Feb 2026
SAN 102
OBER95
10 Apr 2025
SAN 85
OBER86
29 May 2024
SAN 86
OBER73
27 May 2024
SAN 91
OBER84
21 Oct 2023
SAN 73
OBER71
16 Nov 2022
SAN 94
OBER91
17 Jan 2022
SAN 68
OBER70
04 Dec 2020
SAN 85
OBER57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Obera TC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
W
88-52
88
52
+36
82avg 67
H08/12
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
70-92
70
92
-22
50avg 67
H16/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
81-89
81
89
-8
75avg 67
H29/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 67
A07/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
61-92
61
92
-31
43avg 67
A09/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
96-69
96
69
+27
no box
H16/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
A19/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 67
H24/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 67
H29/01
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
76-67
76
67
+9
60avg 67
H05/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
28-15
24-7
18-15
23-27
14-31
21-18
12-16
17-33
16-30
27-22
21-4
22-24
20-21
12-20
20-19
15-23
15-23
20-17
11-29
24-11
27-26
24-21
21-11
14-14
22-17
23-34
34-31
28-16
12-23
25-11
19-20
24-17
14-15
16-17
15-31
16-17
19-26
22-19
19-5
158.3Avg total
79.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.282.7161.0-4.536%
Season at home (11)79.575.6155.1+3.864%
Season away (11)77.089.8166.8-12.89%
Last 10 (10)79.279.1158.3+0.140%
Last 5 (5)83.676.4160.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.186.4163.4-9.314%
vs Similar (13)80.581.8162.4-1.354%
vs Weaker (3)83.362.3145.7+21.0100%
This opponent (Obera TC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obera TCArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTC
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
W
80-70
80
70
+10
70avg 74
A17/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
53avg 74
H21/12
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
66-78
66
78
-12
57avg 74
A07/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
67-59
67
59
+8
59avg 74
A09/01
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
111-73
111
73
+38
114avg 74
H11/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
65avg 74
H14/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H18/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
91-83
91
83
+8
no box
A01/02
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
97avg 74
A03/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
64-91
64
91
-27
49avg 74
H12/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
17-19
20-16
20-17
18-16
14-20
13-18
21-24
21-22
19-15
14-23
12-18
15-15
20-14
16-17
16-13
35-20
23-17
23-16
30-20
14-21
22-17
18-28
18-8
27-13
19-19
14-26
18-15
30-28
27-18
17-15
17-22
23-18
23-29
30-20
24-15
22-19
18-19
12-24
12-29
155.6Avg total
79.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.275.0155.3+5.264%
Season at home (11)79.875.3155.1+4.555%
Season away (11)80.674.8155.5+5.873%
Last 10 (10)79.576.1155.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)81.080.6161.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)77.975.6153.6+2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.077.4161.4+6.669%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
San LorenzoObera TC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/12
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H16/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
33-63
33
63
-30
H29/12
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A09/01
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H16/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A19/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H24/01
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H29/01
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/02
Liga A
81.2Avg total
38.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.082.4-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.142.781.7-3.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.643.483.0-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.481.2-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.476.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.445.983.3-8.629%-
vs Similar (13)39.942.282.1-2.231%-
vs Weaker (3)46.033.379.3+12.7100%-
This opponent (Obera TC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obera TCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/12
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/01
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A09/01
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H11/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H14/01
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H18/01
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A01/02
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A03/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/02
Liga A
80.7Avg total
43.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.181.9+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.479.8+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.683.8+0.756%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.780.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.285.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)40.838.979.7+1.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.841.183.9+1.850%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.2
49.2%
53.7%30.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.810.2
30.4%
32.9%30.8
🏀 Free throws18.010.8
59.7%
71.5%10.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obera TCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obera TC: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.0
56.7%
53.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.8
30.2%
32.9%26.2
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.0%
71.5%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Lorenzo
WLWLWLLLLW
Obera TC
LWWWLWWLLW
#17
League position
#5
-13.0
Net rating
+11.3
98.8
Offensive rating
111.6
111.8
Defensive rating
100.3
47.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.4%
3-point %
30.2%
62.7%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 111.6Defence111.8 · 100.3Shooting47.3% · 51.6%3-point %30.4% · 30.2%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ San Lorenzo   ■ Obera TC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
San Lorenzo wins
3
Obera TC wins
San Lorenzolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HAtenas76-67
29/01/26HIndependiente de Oliva69-80
24/01/26HLa Union84-70
19/01/26AUnion De Santa Fe93-96
16/01/26HFerro96-69
09/01/26AQuimsa61-92
07/01/26AOlimpico74-84
29/12/25HObras Sanitarias81-89
16/12/25HRegatas70-92
08/12/25HArgentino88-52
Obera TClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HRegatas64-91
03/02/26ALa Union100-82
01/02/26AUnion De Santa Fe91-83
18/01/26HRacing de Chivilcoy78-73
14/01/26HQuimsa72-74
11/01/26HPlatense111-73
09/01/26ASan Martin67-59
07/01/26ARegatas66-78
21/12/25HObras Sanitarias66-78
17/12/25ABoca Juniors80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW36%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%64%9%
Points / game78.279.577.0
Allowed / game82.775.689.8
Point differential-4.5+3.8-12.8
Avg total161.0155.1166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Obera TC
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeLWLWL55%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%55%73%
Points / game80.279.880.6
Allowed / game75.075.374.8
Point differential+5.2+4.5+5.8
Avg total155.3155.1155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%27%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Regatas2215768%78.172.9+5.2
2 Ferro2215768%86.882.6+4.1
3 Independiente de Oliva2416867%85.879.8+6.1
4 Obera TC2214864%80.275.0+5.2
5 Obras Sanitarias2415962%81.478.3+3.0
6 Quimsa24141058%80.575.4+5.1
7 La Union24141058%80.978.8+2.1
8 Gimnasia25141156%80.376.4+3.9
9 Instituto de Cordoba25141156%76.075.9+0.1
10 Penarol23121152%79.981.3-1.5
11 Boca Juniors25131252%81.277.9+3.3
12 Union De Santa Fe22111150%81.883.6-1.8
13 Platense23101343%81.183.8-2.7
14 San Martin24101442%75.275.2+0.0
15 Olimpico27111641%78.779.5-0.7
16 San Lorenzo2281436%78.282.7-4.5
17 Atenas2481633%74.880.1-5.3
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2471729%77.881.5-3.7
19 Argentino2442017%71.689.3-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
San Lorenzo2218183014102
Obera TC24191827795
← all games of the day
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