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San Martin vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game95.2
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game85.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Fortín Rojinegro
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Martin v Boca Juniors
06 Mar 2027
SAN v BOCA
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
SAN 97
BOCA101
28 Jan 2026
SAN 85
BOCA79
08 May 2025
SAN 69
BOCA64
21 May 2024
SAN 64
BOCA72
09 Mar 2023
SAN 81
BOCA71
15 Feb 2022
SAN 88
BOCA83
18 Dec 2020
SAN 74
BOCA64
17 Mar 2020
SAN v BOCA
upcoming
23 Jan 2019
SAN 90
BOCA76
15 May 2018
SAN 84
BOCA67
08 May 2018
SAN 83
BOCA95
06 May 2018
SAN 85
BOCA70
07 Jan 2018
SAN 102
BOCA88
29 Apr 2017
SAN 99
BOCA71
19 Feb 2016
SAN 80
BOCA79
24 Mar 2015
SAN 80
BOCA74
04 Dec 2011
SAN 80
BOCA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Martin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San MartinArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A20/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A25/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A28/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H01/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H01/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
L
123-126 OT
123
126
-3
A09/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
86-106
86
106
-20
H21/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A28/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A30/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
18-16
13-17
19-27
21-21
23-25
14-26
37-26
16-28
27-17
24-16
14-22
28-18
20-25
22-26
27-32
19-22
23-19
12-17
19-23
18-30
23-16
23-19
26-25
24-28
16-17
16-15
23-22
23-30
20-19
20-34
23-23
11-23
21-25
25-24
19-23
23-20
13-19
10-21
26-21
179.2Avg total
85.0Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.895.2180.0-10.30%
Season at home (2)79.593.5173.0-14.00%
Season away (4)87.596.0183.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)85.094.2179.2-9.20%
Last 5 (5)87.298.0185.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.490.1172.5-7.814%
vs Similar (15)76.379.3155.5-3.040%
vs Weaker (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A23/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A26/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H28/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-20
20-23
21-23
20-27
18-25
20-20
20-19
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
174.0Avg total
86.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.285.0173.2+3.250%
Season at home (2)95.578.0173.5+17.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)86.587.5174.0-1.040%
Last 5 (5)86.687.4174.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0105.0201.0-9.00%
vs Similar (16)83.982.5166.4+1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.077.5164.5+9.5100%
This opponent (San Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
San MartinBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San MartinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A25/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A28/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H01/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H01/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A09/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H21/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A30/10
Liga A
85.2Avg total
40.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.641.878.3-5.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.940.278.1-2.329%-
Last 30 away (16)35.443.178.5-7.86%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.785.2-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.483.8-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.643.682.3-5.021%-
vs Similar (15)34.939.974.9-5.013%-
vs Weaker (1)32.043.075.0-11.00%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A26/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
89.5Avg total
45.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.484.4+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.139.284.3+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.641.984.5+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.244.389.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.491.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.049.0103.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (16)42.341.884.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.238.283.4+7.177%-
This opponent (San Martin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Martintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Martin: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.4
54.9%
54.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
32.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.012.8
67.4%
72.7%12.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Martin
LLLLLLLLLL
Boca Juniors
WWLLLWLWLL
#18
League position
#9
-12.2
Net rating
-1.3
112.4
Offensive rating
115.8
124.6
Defensive rating
117.2
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.3%
3-point %
34.5%
47.1%
Assist %
53.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 115.8Defence124.6 · 117.2Shooting55.9% · 54.3%3-point %38.3% · 34.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ San Martin   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Martin wins
7
Boca Juniors wins
San Martinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ALanus72-81
28/10/26APenarol76-95
21/10/26HOlimpico86-106
11/10/26AArgentino79-82
09/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy123-126 OT
01/10/26HInstituto de Cordoba73-81
01/05/26HBoca Juniors97-101
28/04/26ABoca Juniors81-83
25/04/26ABoca Juniors95-98
20/04/26AUnion De Santa Fe68-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
26/05/26AQuimsa78-91
23/05/26AQuimsa76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Martin
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.879.587.5
Allowed / game95.293.596.0
Point differential-10.3-14.0-8.5
Avg total180.0173.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game88.295.584.5
Allowed / game85.078.088.5
Point differential+3.2+17.5-4.0
Avg total173.2173.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol440100%83.273.8+9.5
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia75271%78.975.1+3.7
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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