PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Miguel Beermen vs Phoenix Fuelmasters Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 111-92
30-29 34-21 21-13 26-29
Position#1
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game96.6
PhilippinesPhilippine Cup
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Miguel Beermen v Phoenix Fuelmasters
11 May 2025
SAN 111
PHOE92
03 Dec 2024
SAN 107
PHOE104
13 Sep 2024
SAN 139
PHOE127
25 Dec 2023
SAN 117
PHOE96
29 Jan 2023
SAN 114
PHOE93
19 Nov 2022
SAN 108
PHOE104
23 Feb 2022
SAN 104
PHOE99
17 Sep 2021
SAN 110
PHOE80
05 Nov 2020
SAN 103
PHOE110
25 Sep 2019
SAN 130
PHOE119
10 Jul 2019
SAN 128
PHOE108
25 Apr 2019
SAN 105
PHOE94
21 Apr 2019
SAN 90
PHOE92
13 Apr 2019
SAN 100
PHOE88
16 Mar 2019
SAN 93
PHOE96
12 Oct 2018
SAN 117
PHOE100
17 Dec 2017
SAN 104
PHOE96
06 Jun 2017
SAN 115
PHOE96
07 Apr 2017
SAN 110
PHOE88
10 Apr 2016
SAN 121
PHOE109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Miguel Beermen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Fuelmasters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Miguel BeermenPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeermen
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H18/01
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#3
L
104-105
104
105
-1
no box
A21/01
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#4
W
116-113
116
113
+3
no box
H24/01
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
97-115
97
115
-18
no box
A26/01
Commissioners Cup
Suwon KT
#7
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 81
A12/02
EASL
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
98-89
98
89
+9
no box
A05/04
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
110-98
110
98
+12
no box
A09/04
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
H16/04
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
A25/04
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A04/05
Philippine Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
29-20
33-34
13-20
22-36
30-33
22-22
30-14
29-16
36-32
34-33
17-32
19-31
30-25
21-31
27-28
15-39
26-14
15-22
25-19
28-20
27-23
20-22
23-24
25-21
27-17
25-36
33-24
18-18
27-18
22-25
20-26
25-11
23-19
35-35
21-28
26-26
13-18
23-27
22-18
197.6Avg total
98.2Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)98.293.4191.6+4.860%
Season at home (1)95.098.0193.0-3.00%
Season away (4)99.092.2191.2+6.875%
Last 10 (10)98.299.4197.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)98.293.4191.6+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.793.7176.3-11.022%
vs Similar (14)102.6108.7211.3-6.121%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)103.494.7198.1+8.786%
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuelmasters
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#8
W
93-91
93
91
+2
no box
H11/01
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#7
L
104-110
104
110
-6
no box
H16/01
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
L
94-108
94
108
-14
no box
H19/01
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
A21/01
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
70-106
70
106
-36
no box
H24/01
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#12
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
A04/04
Philippine Cup
Converge FiberXers
#5
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
A06/04
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
109-97
109
97
+12
no box
H13/04
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
99-118
99
118
-19
no box
A26/04
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H02/05
Philippine Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
33-28
20-25
23-20
34-29
16-21
26-33
28-27
17-25
31-20
25-41
21-22
17-23
32-28
23-21
20-28
21-24
14-25
15-29
20-28
25-21
18-28
16-30
28-16
24-19
14-25
19-23
26-25
31-13
27-24
33-31
18-29
27-35
26-32
21-27
25-24
28-14
22-18
23-23
22-26
192.4Avg total
92.6Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.696.6191.2-2.040%
Season at home (2)102.089.0191.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)89.7101.7191.3-12.00%
Last 10 (10)92.699.8192.4-7.230%
Last 5 (5)94.696.6191.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)97.9108.6206.5-10.713%
vs Similar (5)96.097.6193.6-1.640%
vs Weaker (2)104.5101.5206.0+3.050%
This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
San Miguel BeermenPhoenix Fuelmasters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Miguel BeermenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H18/01
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#3
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A21/01
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#4
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H24/01
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A26/01
Commissioners Cup
Suwon KT
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/02
EASL
NLEX Road Warriors
#4
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A05/04
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A09/04
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H16/04
Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A25/04
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/05
Philippine Cup
95.6Avg total
49.3Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.248.595.7-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.051.098.0-4.038%-
Last 30 away (17)47.446.693.9+0.859%-
Last 10 (10)49.346.395.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.286.0+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.248.788.9-8.422%-
vs Similar (14)50.351.9102.1-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.041.691.6+8.486%-
This opponent (Phoenix Fuelmasters) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix FuelmastersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H11/01
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#7
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H16/01
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H19/01
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A21/01
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H24/01
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A04/04
Philippine Cup
Converge FiberXers
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/04
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#8
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H13/04
Philippine Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#3
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A26/04
Philippine Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H02/05
Philippine Cup
94.4Avg total
47.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.850.099.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.147.697.7+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)49.552.4101.9-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)47.447.094.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.894.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)49.352.6102.0-3.335%-
vs Similar (5)51.038.489.4+12.680%-
vs Weaker (2)51.549.0100.5+2.550%-
This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Miguel Beermentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Miguel Beermen: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.427.1
48.9%
-54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.3
31.8%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.217.7
70.2%
-17.7
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Fuelmasterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Fuelmasters: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
-17.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Miguel Beermen
LWLWWLLWLL
Phoenix Fuelmasters
WLWLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#9
+3.4
Net rating
-3.1
106.9
Offensive rating
102.4
103.4
Defensive rating
105.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
48.7%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.8%
3-point %
31.8%
53.4%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ San Miguel Beermen   ■ Phoenix Fuelmasters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25ATNT Tropang Giga84-89
25/04/25ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel104-93
16/04/25HMagnolia Hotshots95-98 OT
09/04/25AMeralco Bolts110-98
05/04/25ANLEX Road Warriors98-89
12/02/25ASuwon KT81-94
26/01/25ATNT Tropang Giga97-115
24/01/25HConverge FiberXers116-113
21/01/25ANorthPort104-105
18/01/25HMeralco Bolts93-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/25HTNT Tropang Giga95-81
26/04/25AMagnolia Hotshots99-118
13/04/25HMeralco Bolts109-97
06/04/25AConverge FiberXers83-92
04/04/25ATerrafirma Dyip87-95
24/01/25HTNT Tropang Giga70-106
21/01/25ABlackwater Bossing92-100
19/01/25HNLEX Road Warriors94-108
16/01/25HMagnolia Hotshots104-110
11/01/25HRain or Shine Elasto Painters93-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Miguel Beermen
Philippine Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeL0%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%0%75%
Points / game98.295.099.0
Allowed / game93.498.092.2
Point differential+4.8-3.0+6.8
Avg total191.6193.0191.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%100%0%
Phoenix Fuelmasters
Philippine Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game94.6102.089.7
Allowed / game96.689.0101.7
Point differential-2.0+13.0-12.0
Avg total191.2191.0191.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Magnolia Hotshots550100%106.488.6+17.8
2 NLEX Road Warriors54180%91.685.0+6.6
3 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel53260%99.289.0+10.2
4 San Miguel Beermen53260%98.293.4+4.8
5 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters53260%110.6106.8+3.8
6 Converge FiberXers74357%90.987.6+3.3
7 Meralco Bolts63350%104.2103.3+0.8
8 TNT Tropang Giga52340%89.688.8+0.8
9 Phoenix Fuelmasters52340%94.696.6-2.0
10 NorthPort51420%100.2108.8-8.6
11 Blackwater Bossing51420%92.4103.0-10.6
12 Terrafirma Dyip61517%83.0106.7-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Miguel Beermen30342126111
Phoenix Fuelmasters2921132992
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.