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San Miguel Beermen vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 May 2026
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 104-113
27-27 29-30 27-26 21-30
Position#7
Record7-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game106.2
vs
Position#3
Record9-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game105.1
PhilippinesCommissioners CupPBA Commissioner's Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2025
Meetings · San Miguel Beermen v Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
15 May 2026
SAN 104
RAIN113
08 Apr 2026
SAN 112
RAIN116
10 Dec 2024
SAN 93
RAIN107
19 Sep 2024
SAN 112
RAIN122
24 May 2024
SAN 107
RAIN100
19 May 2024
SAN 106
RAIN89
29 Nov 2023
SAN 115
RAIN110
17 Mar 2023
SAN 129
RAIN116
09 Oct 2022
SAN 113
RAIN105
29 Jun 2022
SAN 99
RAIN93
03 Mar 2022
SAN 104
RAIN100
12 Sep 2021
SAN 93
RAIN95
09 Nov 2019
SAN 85
RAIN91
02 Aug 2019
SAN 98
RAIN95
29 Jul 2019
SAN 117
RAIN105
01 Feb 2019
SAN 98
RAIN108
13 May 2018
SAN 119
RAIN123
06 Sep 2017
SAN 103
RAIN96
05 Feb 2017
SAN 98
RAIN91
13 Jan 2017
SAN 107
RAIN101
10 Sep 2016
SAN 82
RAIN75
28 Apr 2016
SAN 104
RAIN98
24 Apr 2016
SAN 94
RAIN98
13 Jan 2016
SAN 103
RAIN94
09 Jan 2016
SAN 106
RAIN111
05 Jan 2016
SAN 109
RAIN105
04 Nov 2015
SAN 84
RAIN99
08 Jul 2015
SAN 117
RAIN110
04 Jul 2015
SAN 110
RAIN113
13 Mar 2015
SAN 129
RAIN114
19 Mar 2014
SAN 112
RAIN107
03 Feb 2014
SAN 83
RAIN88
29 Jan 2014
SAN 94
RAIN103
07 Oct 2013
SAN 110
RAIN89
02 Oct 2013
SAN 90
RAIN88
16 Mar 2013
SAN 87
RAIN79
14 Nov 2012
SAN 96
RAIN86
03 Oct 2012
SAN 86
RAIN102
04 Mar 2012
SAN 110
RAIN103
24 Jun 2011
SAN 83
RAIN113
04 Nov 2010
SAN 93
RAIN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Miguel Beermen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Miguel BeermenPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
92-118
92
118
-26
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
112-116
112
116
-4
H08/04
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
101-120
101
120
-19
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A19/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
120-126
120
126
-6
H22/04
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A28/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
126-110
126
110
+16
H06/05
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
116-104
116
104
+12
A09/05
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-35
16-22
28-28
32-33
33-26
29-25
31-32
17-11
12-26
23-10
23-30
27-16
27-26
25-36
21-33
39-21
22-30
28-28
22-34
29-28
25-35
25-17
27-16
21-26
23-36
27-29
44-27
26-34
24-28
24-27
29-18
26-19
23-16
35-30
34-32
34-32
22-30
34-21
29-31
31-22
211.9Avg total
106.3Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)106.5106.2212.7+0.358%
Season at home (6)112.0110.8222.8+1.250%
Season away (6)101.0101.5202.5-0.567%
Last 10 (10)106.3105.6211.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)112.6105.2217.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)99.8100.8200.6-1.060%
vs Similar (3)103.7107.0210.7-3.367%
vs Weaker (22)103.895.0198.8+8.964%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
109-102
109
102
+7
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
151-95
151
95
+56
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
116-112
116
112
+4
A08/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
120-111
120
111
+9
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
124-117
124
117
+7
A15/04
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A25/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A29/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
90-114
90
114
-24
H03/05
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
142-131
142
131
+11
A08/05
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
22-21
27-32
31-26
42-15
33-29
29-23
47-28
26-27
36-25
33-21
21-39
31-29
30-25
34-21
25-36
26-27
41-18
29-28
28-44
18-16
26-13
20-32
19-26
20-25
18-16
28-21
25-20
23-18
26-19
29-38
12-17
20-21
22-30
28-35
20-28
32-21
36-43
48-26
26-41
215.9Avg total
111.6Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)112.0105.1217.1+6.975%
Season at home (5)112.0103.2215.2+8.860%
Season away (7)112.0106.4218.4+5.686%
Last 10 (10)111.6104.3215.9+7.370%
Last 5 (5)99.2101.2200.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)115.0112.5227.5+2.550%
vs Similar (17)99.5100.6200.2-1.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)117.1104.4221.5+12.791%
This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -5.1-5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -5.1-5.1
San Miguel BeermenRain or Shine Elasto Painters
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Miguel BeermenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TNT Tropang Giga
#5
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A28/03
Commissioners Cup
Macau Black Bears
#11
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A05/04
Commissioners Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H08/04
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H12/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A19/04
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H22/04
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A28/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H06/05
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A09/05
Commissioners Cup
102.6Avg total
49.3Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.147.997.0+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.148.597.6+0.664%-
Last 30 away (16)49.147.496.5+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)49.353.3102.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)52.453.8106.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)47.052.699.6-5.60%-
vs Similar (3)43.352.796.0-9.333%-
vs Weaker (22)50.446.296.6+4.273%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A27/03
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
75-44
75
44
+31
H31/03
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#7
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/04
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#9
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H10/04
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#10
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A15/04
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H21/04
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/04
Commissioners Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#1
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A29/04
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H03/05
Commissioners Cup
Titan Ultra Giant Risers
#13
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A08/05
Commissioners Cup
101.8Avg total
55.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.048.1101.1+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.749.0100.7+2.762%-
Last 30 away (17)54.047.4101.4+6.676%-
Last 10 (10)55.746.1101.8+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.492.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.556.0108.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (17)49.346.695.9+2.765%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)58.849.0107.8+9.882%-
This opponent (San Miguel Beermen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Miguel Beermentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Miguel Beermen: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.427.1
48.9%
-54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.3
31.8%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.217.7
70.2%
-17.7
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
-44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
-17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Miguel Beermen
WWWLWLLWWL
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
WLLWLWWWWW
#7
League position
#3
+3.4
Net rating
-3.9
106.9
Offensive rating
108.0
103.4
Defensive rating
111.9
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
12.9%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.8%
3-point %
32.3%
53.4%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ San Miguel Beermen   ■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26APhoenix Fuelmasters116-104
06/05/26HTerrafirma Dyip126-110
28/04/26AMeralco Bolts103-92
22/04/26HBlackwater Bossing120-126
19/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors98-94
12/04/26HMagnolia Hotshots101-120
08/04/26HRain or Shine Elasto Painters112-116
05/04/26ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel85-82
31/03/26HMacau Black Bears110-94
28/03/26ATNT Tropang Giga92-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26ATitan Ultra Giant Risers142-131
03/05/26HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel90-114
29/04/26ANLEX Road Warriors90-92
25/04/26AMagnolia Hotshots91-82
21/04/26HPhoenix Fuelmasters83-87
15/04/26ATerrafirma Dyip124-117
10/04/26HConverge FiberXers120-111
08/04/26ASan Miguel Beermen116-112
31/03/26HBlackwater Bossing151-95
27/03/26AMeralco Bolts109-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Miguel Beermen
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game106.5112.0101.0
Allowed / game106.2110.8101.5
Point differential+0.3+1.2-0.5
Avg total212.7222.8202.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Commissioners Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW75%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%60%86%
Points / game112.0112.0112.0
Allowed / game105.1103.2106.4
Point differential+6.9+8.8+5.6
Avg total217.1215.2218.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NLEX Road Warriors1310377%102.997.2+5.7
2 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters129375%112.0105.1+6.9
3 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel129375%103.998.3+5.6
4 Magnolia Hotshots138562%102.094.1+7.9
5 Meralco Bolts138562%102.996.3+6.6
6 San Miguel Beermen127558%106.5106.2+0.3
7 TNT Tropang Giga137654%101.399.0+2.3
8 Phoenix Fuelmasters126650%103.7103.3+0.3
9 Converge FiberXers125742%102.8103.4-0.6
10 Terrafirma Dyip124833%97.7103.5-5.8
11 Macau Black Bears123925%104.1110.4-6.3
12 Blackwater Bossing1221017%102.4112.8-10.3
13 Titan Ultra Giant Risers1221017%101.1115.6-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Miguel Beermen27292721104
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters27302630113
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