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Santa Clara vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 62-54
32-25 30-29
Position#39
Record15-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#16
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Santa Clara v St. Marys (CA)
17 Jan 2026
SANT62
ST. 54
29 Jan 2025
SANT54
ST. 67
13 Jan 2024
SANT49
ST. 73
31 Dec 2022
SANT64
ST. 67
08 Feb 2022
SANT77
ST. 72
27 Feb 2020
SANT72
ST. 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Santa Clara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Santa ClaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H14/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
102-64
102
64
+38
A28/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A31/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H03/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H05/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A09/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
103-72
103
72
+31
H11/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
55-38
24-44
29-33
34-27
40-40
38-40
53-20
49-44
40-44
52-41
42-35
40-28
45-32
53-38
37-37
40-52
45-30
58-42
44-42
41-27
159.3Avg total
85.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.371.3154.7+12.075%
Season at home (13)83.267.5150.7+15.885%
Season away (7)83.678.6162.1+5.057%
Last 10 (10)85.973.4159.3+12.570%
Last 5 (5)89.072.6161.6+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.385.0159.3-10.70%
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.379.3150.7-8.033%
vs Weaker (22)87.270.0157.3+17.282%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
93-76
93
76
+17
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
43-37
32-37
35-31
38-30
50-45
28-27
35-31
33-33
45-40
34-25
38-20
42-27
36-30
39-44
54-32
50-38
38-44
42-28
40-40
144.2Avg total
77.9Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.965.1145.1+14.889%
Season at home (12)84.163.4147.5+20.7100%
Season away (7)72.968.0140.9+4.971%
Last 10 (10)77.966.3144.2+11.690%
Last 5 (5)82.665.6148.2+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.562.5125.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.574.5148.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (23)76.262.9139.0+13.396%
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +6.4+6.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +6.4+6.4
Santa ClaraSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Santa ClaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#194
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H14/12
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
53-20
53
20
+33
A28/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H03/01
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/01
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H15/01
NCAA
78.1Avg total
43.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.332.775.0+9.677%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.132.975.0+9.184%-
Last 30 away (11)42.732.475.1+10.464%-
Last 10 (10)43.035.178.1+7.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.277.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.037.375.3+0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.338.372.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker (22)43.831.775.5+12.186%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A29/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/01
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H10/01
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A14/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
36.5Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.230.366.5+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.329.968.2+8.384%-
Last 30 away (11)32.630.963.5+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)36.531.367.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.432.473.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.032.068.0+4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.837.070.8-3.250%-
vs Weaker (23)36.529.265.7+7.383%-
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Santa Clara wins
9
St. Marys (CA) wins
Santa Claralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HPacific85-69
11/01/26HLoyola Marymount103-72
09/01/26AGonzaga77-89
05/01/26HSan Diego Toreros98-70
03/01/26HPepperdine82-63
31/12/25APortland92-85
28/12/25AOregon State102-64
20/12/25HLoyola Chicago78-80
18/12/25HNorth Texas63-60
14/12/25HArizona State79-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ASan Francisco82-68
10/01/26HWashington State88-82
05/01/26HSeattle93-76
03/01/26HPortland78-57
31/12/25APepperdine72-45
29/12/25ALoyola Marymount78-73
23/12/25HNorthern Iowa63-58
20/12/25HFlorida Atlantic88-75
14/12/25ABoise State67-68
07/12/25ADavidson70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Santa Clara
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %75%85%57%
Points / game83.383.283.6
Allowed / game71.367.578.6
Point differential+12.0+15.8+5.0
Avg total154.7150.7162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%69%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %89%100%71%
Points / game79.984.172.9
Allowed / game65.163.468.0
Point differential+14.8+20.7+4.9
Avg total145.1147.5140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%83%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga1918195%91.267.7+23.4
2 St. Marys (CA)1917289%79.965.1+14.8
3 Santa Clara2015575%83.371.3+12.0
4 Seattle1913668%76.868.0+8.8
5 Pacific2113862%75.869.2+6.5
6 San Francisco2012860%75.369.3+6.0
7 Loyola Marymount2011955%76.571.5+5.0
8 Oregon State21101148%71.074.4-3.5
9 Portland2091145%78.580.3-1.9
10 Washington State1981142%74.676.5-1.8
11 San Diego Toreros2081240%75.276.5-1.3
12 Pepperdine2061430%69.575.5-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Santa Clara323062
St. Marys (CA)252954
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