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Davidson vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-70
24-27 37-43
Position#109
Record7-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#16
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game63.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Davidson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A13/03
NCAA
DeSales
#495
W
97-63
97
63
+34
H04/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A21/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
60-94
60
94
-34
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H28/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
35-33
31-36
44-47
49-30
48-33
40-24
45-45
29-19
33-36
45-38
46-49
33-31
26-18
30-48
30-46
47-38
43-36
36-29
43-34
146.9Avg total
76.7Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.969.2147.1+8.688%
Season at home (6)83.775.0158.7+8.783%
Season away (2)60.552.0112.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.770.2146.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)75.873.4149.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.678.0142.6-13.414%
vs Similar (9)71.173.7144.8-2.622%
vs Weaker (13)75.364.6139.9+10.792%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A23/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H12/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
80-49
80
49
+31
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H20/11
NCAA
California Merced
#656
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
71-96
71
96
-25
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-42
37-38
35-25
49-33
48-33
39-33
45-27
45-33
47-17
33-32
47-39
38-33
40-26
56-16
33-31
37-34
31-20
46-46
34-51
37-45
146.0Avg total
80.6Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.263.8146.0+18.489%
Season at home (7)85.659.0144.6+26.6100%
Season away (2)70.580.5151.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)80.665.4146.0+15.280%
Last 5 (5)79.868.2148.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.361.0123.3+1.367%
vs Similar (5)72.270.4142.6+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)76.158.8134.9+17.395%
This opponent (Davidson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +7.4+7.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +7.4+7.4
DavidsonSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
NCAA
DeSales
#495
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H05/12
NCAA
69.9Avg total
37.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.532.567.1+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.432.267.6+3.256%-
Last 30 away (12)33.233.066.2+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)37.432.569.9+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.875.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.638.968.4-9.314%-
vs Similar (9)33.433.667.0-0.122%-
vs Weaker (13)36.828.665.5+8.285%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A23/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H12/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H20/11
NCAA
California Merced
#656
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A28/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
38.9Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.228.463.6+6.883%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.127.965.0+9.189%-
Last 30 away (12)32.529.161.6+3.475%-
Last 10 (10)38.931.170.0+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.470.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.030.766.7+5.367%-
vs Similar (5)32.234.466.6-2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.626.862.4+8.990%-
This opponent (Davidson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Davidson wins
1
St. Marys (CA) wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23St. Marys (CA) v Davidson89-55
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HCitadel79-63
28/11/25HN. Carolina A&T90-74
24/11/25HUtah State60-94
21/11/25ABoston College59-49
15/11/25HBowling Green91-87
12/11/25ACharlotte62-55
08/11/25HWashington State85-69
04/11/25HDeSales97-63
13/03/25ASt. Louis Billikens75-83
12/03/25HRichmond Spiders69-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25AVanderbilt71-96
27/11/25HVirginia Tech77-66
27/11/25AWichita State70-65
23/11/25HCalifornia Merced96-42
20/11/25HArkansas State85-72
15/11/25HNorth Texas80-49
12/11/25HOhio90-60
08/11/25HChattanooga Mocs87-66
04/11/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)84-58
23/03/25AAlabama66-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Davidson
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %88%83%100%
Points / game77.983.760.5
Allowed / game69.275.052.0
Point differential+8.6+8.7+8.5
Avg total147.1158.7112.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %89%100%50%
Points / game82.285.670.5
Allowed / game63.859.080.5
Point differential+18.4+26.6-10.0
Avg total146.0144.6151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason109190%80.165.3+14.8
2 St. Bonaventure109190%75.966.0+9.9
3 Richmond Spiders98189%84.869.7+15.1
4 St. Louis Billikens87188%89.670.1+19.5
5 Davidson87188%77.969.2+8.6
6 George Washington108280%91.475.7+15.7
7 Rhode Island107370%76.668.7+7.9
8 Dayton107370%79.372.0+7.3
9 VCU Rams96367%84.370.9+13.4
10 Duquesne96367%86.880.0+6.8
11 Saint Josephs Hawks85362%76.175.6+0.5
12 Fordham106460%75.964.3+11.6
13 La Salle104640%68.067.4+0.6
14 Loyola Chicago103730%67.675.1-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga98189%91.166.1+25.0
2 St. Marys (CA)98189%82.263.8+18.4
3 Santa Clara108280%80.869.3+11.5
4 Seattle86275%80.465.6+14.8
5 Loyola Marymount107370%79.767.9+11.8
6 Pacific107370%73.665.2+8.4
7 Portland106460%84.481.4+3.0
8 San Francisco95456%75.768.6+7.1
9 Oregon State105550%73.272.9+0.3
10 San Diego Toreros83538%73.174.4-1.2
11 Washington State93633%78.179.8-1.7
12 Pepperdine103730%73.675.5-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Davidson243761
St. Marys (CA)274370
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