Santa Clara faces Wisc. Milwaukee in the NCAA on 4 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Santa Clara as the clear favourite at 97% to win, a rating driven by their undefeated 1-0 record, 89.0 points scored per game and 70.0 points allowed per game, placing them 131st in the league. Wisc. Milwaukee, 0-1 with 63.0 points scored and 95.0 points allowed per game, sits 345th. Santa Clara's sole home game was a 89-70 victory over Towson, while Wisc. Milwaukee's lone road outing ended in a 63-95 loss to USC. In the last five games Santa Clara has 3 wins and 2 losses, whereas Wisc. Milwaukee has 1 win and 4 losses. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 92-68 score, 160.5 total points, and a 70% chance that Santa Clara will cover the -17.5 line; the over on the 159.5 total has a 52% probability. The overtime likelihood is 1%. The game ends with Santa Clara's 92 points, a concrete indicator of their offensive edge.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Santa Clara winWon
97.5%fair 1.03
Best odds1.06
Implied91.4%
Edge+6.0pp
Wisc. Milwaukee winLost
2.5%fair 39.81
Best odds12.00
Implied8.6%
Edge-6.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 14:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5
Over 157.5
57.3%
@ 1.78+3.9pp
Under 157.5
42.7%
@ 2.55-3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
SBO
1.74
Betano
1.67
Marathon Be
1.62
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
SBO
2.00
Over/Under 162.5 · main lineActual: Over 162.5
Over 162.5
44.9%
@ 1.90-5.6pp
Under 162.5
55.1%
@ 1.92+5.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Under 167.5
Over 167.5
33.1%
@ 2.82-1.6pp
Under 167.5
66.9%
@ 1.47+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Bet365
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.37
📊 3. Team Totals
Santa Clara total 84Actual: Santa Clara over 84
Over 84
80.0%
Under 84
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara total 88 · main lineActual: Santa Clara over 88
Over 88
66.3%
@ 1.85+16.3pp
Under 88
33.7%
@ 1.85-16.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Santa Clara total 92Actual: Santa Clara over 92
Over 92
50.0%
Under 92
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisc. Milwaukee total 67Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee over 67
Over 67
56.0%
Under 67
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisc. Milwaukee total 71 · main lineActual: Wisc. Milwaukee over 71
Over 71
39.4%
@ 1.86-10.5pp
Under 71
60.6%
@ 1.85+10.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Wisc. Milwaukee total 75Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee under 75
Over 75
24.7%
Under 75
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Santa Clara -19.5Actual: Santa Clara -19.5
SANT -19.5
63.9%
@ 2.40+24.0pp
WISC +19.5
36.1%
@ 1.60-24.0pp
Best 5 market prices
SANT
Bet365
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40
Betano
2.18
WISC
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.52
Spread Santa Clara -16.5 · main lineActual: Santa Clara -16.5
SANT -16.5
73.2%
@ 1.97+24.1pp
WISC +16.5
26.8%
@ 2.00-24.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SANT
Bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.93
1xBet
1.91
WISC
SBO
2.00
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Spread Santa Clara -13.5Actual: Santa Clara -13.5
SANT -13.5
81.0%
@ 1.58+21.2pp
WISC +13.5
19.0%
@ 2.37-21.2pp
Best 5 market prices
SANT
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.50
WISC
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.22
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Santa ClaraWisc. Milwaukee
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Santa ClaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/02
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A22/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/03
NCAA
Towson
#311
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
37.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 77.5
Last 30 (30)
40.1
34.4
74.5
+5.7
70%
43%
Last 30 at home (15)
40.8
34.7
75.5
+6.1
80%
47%
Last 30 away (15)
39.5
34.1
73.6
+5.3
60%
40%
Last 10 (10)
37.4
35.2
72.6
+2.2
70%
50%
Last 5 (5)
36.8
33.2
70.0
+3.6
80%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
36.0
35.2
71.2
+0.8
50%
25%
vs Similar (5)
33.4
35.2
68.6
-1.8
40%
40%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)
42.5
34.0
76.6
+8.5
81%
48%
This opponent (Wisc. Milwaukee) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Santa Clara win
SANT win
no forecast
@ 1.25
WISC win
no forecast
@ 3.95
2nd half Spread Santa Clara -6.5 · main lineActual: Wisc. Milwaukee +6.5
SANT -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
WISC +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
2nd half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Over 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Santa Clara 2nd half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Santa Clara over 45.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Wisc. Milwaukee 2nd half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Wisc. Milwaukee over 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Spread Santa Clara -7.5Actual: Wisc. Milwaukee +7.5
SANT -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
WISC +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Santa Clara (regulation)
SANT
no forecast
@ 1.29
Draw
no forecast
@ 20.00
WISC
no forecast
@ 3.95
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Santa Clara -17.5
70.3%
1.94
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
2.05
Betano
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.93
SBO
1.87
+25.9pp
Won
Santa Clara -17
72.4%
1.97
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
2.02
Marathon Bet
1.98
SBO
1.82
-
+25.9pp
Won
Santa Clara -16.5
73.2%
1.91
Bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.91
+24.1pp
Won
Santa Clara -16
75.3%
1.84
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86
Bet365
1.80
-
-
+23.8pp
Won
Santa Clara -14
80.6%
1.62
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Santa Clara -13
82.9%
1.54
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
-
+22.5pp
Won
Santa Clara -15.5
76.0%
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Bet365
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
+22.1pp
Won
Santa Clara -15
78.1%
1.71
Bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
-
-
-
+22.1pp
Won
Santa Clara -13.5
81.0%
1.54
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+21.2pp
Won
Santa Clara -14.5
78.6%
1.64
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.60
-
-
+21.0pp
Won
Santa Clara -12
85.0%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+20.8pp
Won
Santa Clara -12.5
83.3%
1.47
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Won
Santa Clara -11
86.9%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+19.9pp
Won
Santa Clara -11.5
85.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+19.5pp
Won
Santa Clara -10.5
87.2%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Won
Santa Clara -10
88.6%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Won
Santa Clara -9.5
88.8%
1.29
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
+17.3pp
Won
Santa Clara -9
90.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+17.1pp
Won
Santa Clara -8.5
90.3%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+16.3pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee under 75.5
76.1%
1.49
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.37
-
-
+14.9pp
Won
Santa Clara over 85.5
74.5%
1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
-
-
+13.3pp
Won
Santa Clara over 83.5
80.5%
1.31
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee under 77.5
81.8%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
+12.2pp
Won
Santa Clara (regulation)
97.0%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Marathon Bet
1.06
-
-
-
+12.2pp
Won
Santa Clara -7.5
91.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+12.2pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee under 79.5
86.5%
1.24
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+12.0pp
Won
Santa Clara -6.5
92.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+11.5pp
Won
Santa Clara over 84.5
77.6%
1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Santa Clara over 81.5
85.6%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee under 74.5
72.9%
1.47
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
-
-
+10.4pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee under 78.5
84.3%
1.25
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee under 76.5
79.1%
1.35
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Santa Clara over 82.5
83.2%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Won
Santa Clara over 86.5
71.1%
1.51
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.44
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Santa Clara over 77.5
92.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+8.5pp
Won
Santa Clara over 79.5
89.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Won
Santa Clara -1.5
97.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Santa Clara -2.5
96.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Santa Clara over 78.5
91.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Santa Clara over 73.5
96.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Santa Clara over 75.5
95.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Santa Clara over 76.5
94.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Santa Clara over 71.5
98.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Santa Clara over 80.5
87.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Santa Clara over 74.5
96.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Santa Clara +2.5
98.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Santa Clara over 72.5
97.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Santa Clara +3.5
98.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Santa Clara win
97.5%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Pinnacle
1.05
WilliamHill
1.04
+6.0pp
Won
Under 169
70.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Under 170
72.8%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Under 169.5
71.3%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Under 170.5
73.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Under 172.5
77.3%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Over 134.5
94.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Over 135.5
94.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
Under 181.5
90.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Under 177.5
85.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Over 139.5
90.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Over 136.5
93.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Under 176.5
84.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Under 171.5
75.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Over 152
70.5%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Under 180.5
89.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Over 137.5
92.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Won
Over 149.5
75.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Over 140.5
89.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 54.5
91.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Over 144.5
84.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 53.5
93.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Under 179.5
88.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Over 141.5
88.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Under 175.5
82.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
Over 145.5
82.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Over 150.5
73.2%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-2.1pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 55.5
90.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Over 142.5
86.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Santa Clara under 100.5
80.5%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Under 174.5
80.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Over 146.5
80.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 56.5
88.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Over 151.5
71.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
Santa Clara under 101.5
83.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Santa Clara under 99.5
77.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 57.5
86.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.7pp
Won
Over 147.5
79.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
Santa Clara under 98.5
74.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-5.6pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 58.5
84.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-6.6pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 59.5
81.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.8pp
Won
Santa Clara under 97.5
71.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-9.3pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 61.5
75.8%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-9.3pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 60.5
78.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-9.9pp
Won
Wisc. Milwaukee over 62.5
72.5%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-12.1pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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