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Sarangani Marlins vs Pangasinan Heatwaves Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 55-81
10-21 19-19 13-23 13-18
Position#22
Record8-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#9
Record12-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.4
PhilippinesMPBL
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sarangani Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pangasinan Heatwaves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sarangani MarlinsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abra Weavers
#1
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A09/05
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H20/05
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A28/05
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
W
119-95
119
95
+24
H05/06
MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws
#16
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A11/06
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H17/06
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
W
96-95
96
95
+1
A24/06
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H03/07
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A08/07
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H15/07
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-28
11-18
19-28
36-29
11-29
13-13
17-14
19-19
22-15
24-20
37-30
28-22
35-19
31-22
21-28
32-26
13-17
18-10
17-30
17-22
20-18
12-18
26-15
19-24
22-28
22-23
24-18
28-26
7-20
25-26
27-25
26-24
22-14
30-15
20-20
24-34
17-12
20-15
13-17
16-10
169.1Avg total
85.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.886.8170.7-3.040%
Season at home (8)86.182.8168.9+3.450%
Season away (12)82.389.6171.9-7.233%
Last 10 (10)85.084.1169.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)84.080.4164.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.786.6156.3-16.90%
vs Similar (7)89.384.3173.6+5.071%
vs Weaker (3)118.393.7212.0+24.7100%
This opponent (Pangasinan Heatwaves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pangasinan HeatwavesPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GenSan Warriors
#13
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H08/05
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A17/05
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H26/05
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A02/06
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
108-79
108
79
+29
H09/06
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A14/06
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A21/06
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A26/06
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H05/07
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
W
114-90
114
90
+24
A11/07
MPBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
18-19
27-14
20-42
16-24
22-22
26-17
27-15
13-16
13-15
23-19
27-18
10-17
22-10
22-16
12-16
22-12
19-21
29-18
38-28
19-29
19-14
14-22
16-10
30-19
20-11
–
–
20-17
11-19
13-20
22-17
18-22
17-16
27-21
21-12
27-13
16-31
36-25
35-21
151.2Avg total
80.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.776.4159.1+6.267%
Season at home (8)88.184.9173.0+3.262%
Season away (10)78.369.7148.0+8.670%
Last 10 (10)80.171.1151.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)76.267.8144.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.585.2160.8-9.80%
vs Similar (8)85.182.2167.4+2.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.262.8147.0+21.3100%
This opponent (Sarangani Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
Sarangani MarlinsPangasinan Heatwaves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sarangani MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abra Weavers
#1
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A09/05
MPBL
Batangas City
#8
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H20/05
MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo
#28
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A28/05
MPBL
Cebu Classic
#20
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H05/06
MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws
#16
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A11/06
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H17/06
MPBL
Pasig City
#18
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/06
MPBL
Pampanga Giant Lanterns
#7
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/07
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A08/07
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H15/07
MPBL
76.4Avg total
38.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.141.479.5-3.235%-
Last 30 at home (8)39.239.478.6-0.138%-
Last 30 away (12)37.442.880.2-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.076.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.642.371.9-12.710%-
vs Similar (7)43.442.485.9+1.043%-
vs Weaker (3)54.336.090.3+18.3100%-
This opponent (Pangasinan Heatwaves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pangasinan HeatwavesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GenSan Warriors
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/05
MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/05
MPBL
Davao Tigers
#19
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H26/05
MPBL
Muntinlupa Cagers
#21
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A02/06
MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
#27
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H09/06
MPBL
Abra Weavers
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/06
MPBL
Bacolod Masskara
#26
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A21/06
MPBL
San Juan Knights
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A26/06
MPBL
Basilan Viva Portmasters
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/07
MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
#25
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/07
MPBL
72.6Avg total
36.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)36.438.174.5-1.622%-
Last 30 at home (8)33.539.873.2-6.212%-
Last 30 away (10)38.836.775.5+2.130%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.072.6+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.844.075.8-12.20%-
vs Similar (8)36.540.577.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.530.870.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Sarangani Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sarangani Marlins wins
0
Pangasinan Heatwaves wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/25HDavao Tigers66-54
08/07/25AMarikina Verdiamonds96-83
03/07/25HPampanga Giant Lanterns85-95
24/06/25APasig City96-95
17/06/25HBacolod Masskara77-75
11/06/25AMindoro Tamaraws65-79
05/06/25HCebu Classic119-95
28/05/25AManila Batang Quiapo111-87
20/05/25HBatangas City60-75
09/05/25AAbra Weavers75-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25AValenzuela City Darkhorse114-90
05/07/25HBasilan Viva Portmasters83-71
26/06/25ASan Juan Knights66-73
21/06/25ABacolod Masskara50-30
14/06/25AAbra Weavers68-75
09/06/25HMarikina Verdiamonds108-79
02/06/25AMuntinlupa Cagers66-59
26/05/25HDavao Tigers76-68
17/05/25APasay Voyagers91-78
08/05/25HGenSan Warriors79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sarangani Marlins
MPBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW40%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game83.886.182.3
Allowed / game86.882.889.6
Point differential-3.0+3.4-7.2
Avg total170.7168.9171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pangasinan Heatwaves
MPBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayWLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%62%70%
Points / game82.788.178.3
Allowed / game76.484.969.7
Point differential+6.2+3.2+8.6
Avg total159.1173.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abra Weavers2019195%88.269.5+18.8
2 San Juan Knights2019195%82.268.7+13.6
3 Nueva Ecija Vanguards1918195%89.772.6+17.1
4 Quezon Huskers1916384%82.666.8+15.7
5 Pampanga Giant Lanterns2015575%80.975.7+5.2
6 Zamboanga Sikat2115671%82.572.8+9.8
7 Pangasinan Heatwaves1812667%82.776.4+6.2
8 GenSan Warriors2013765%83.774.3+9.3
9 Batang Kankaloo2013765%77.072.8+4.2
10 Rizal Golden Coolers1912763%84.776.0+8.7
11 Batangas City1912763%78.771.2+7.6
12 Binan Tatak Gel1912763%76.670.7+5.8
13 Pasay Voyagers2113862%78.874.0+4.8
14 Mindoro Tamaraws2112957%81.778.0+3.7
15 Ilagan Isabela Cowboys2011955%82.275.2+7.0
16 Muntinlupa Cagers1910953%75.374.2+1.1
17 Basilan Viva Portmasters189950%78.775.1+3.6
18 Davao Tigers1981142%75.580.5-5.1
19 Sarangani Marlins2081240%83.886.8-3.0
20 Imus Braderhood2181338%77.582.6-5.1
21 Pasig City1971237%78.682.1-3.4
22 Bataan Risers2071335%78.579.0-0.5
23 Quezon City1951426%75.179.8-4.7
24 Cebu Classic2051525%71.080.6-9.6
25 Marikina Verdiamonds2041620%74.587.0-12.6
26 Valenzuela City Darkhorse2141719%71.885.5-13.7
27 Bulacan Kuyas2031715%71.395.8-24.4
28 Bacolod Masskara1921711%71.083.4-12.4
29 Manila Batang Quiapo2021810%79.5105.5-26.1
30 Paranaque Patriots191185%66.286.2-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sarangani Marlins1019131355
Pangasinan Heatwaves2119231881
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