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Saratov vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 110-71
31-16 25-14 28-20 26-21
Position#18
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game85.2
Saratov 🏆
vs
Position#45
Record1-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game95.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A22/10
VTB United League
Nevezis
#19
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H28/10
VTB United League
Benfica
#45
W
97-86
97
86
+11
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
77-110
77
110
-33
H05/11
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#15
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A11/11
VTB United League
Nevezis
#19
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Minsk
#8
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A19/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H02/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
25-20
15-27
13-21
17-12
20-24
26-24
20-24
20-24
27-15
15-18
20-20
21-23
26-17
22-24
28-22
7-38
25-25
23-26
22-21
23-23
20-29
20-25
22-20
22-17
20-23
21-27
19-22
18-23
17-27
31-19
9-17
26-15
24-29
18-17
17-21
23-16
21-13
18-23
22-23
169.5Avg total
81.6Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.285.2168.4-2.040%
Season at home (2)75.579.5155.0-4.050%
Season away (3)88.389.0177.3-0.733%
Last 10 (10)81.687.9169.5-6.340%
Last 5 (5)82.285.8168.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.596.0175.5-16.50%
vs Similar (10)83.082.6165.6+0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.881.3166.2+3.583%
This opponent (Benfica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#15
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A28/10
LPB
Saratov
#18
L
86-97
86
97
-11
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#5
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H05/11
LPB
Nevezis
#19
L
68-94
68
94
-26
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#15
L
95-108
95
108
-13
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H18/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A29/11
LPB
Electrico FC
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
A01/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
18-18
20-12
22-18
14-24
13-22
29-21
20-28
23-18
18-28
19-13
21-11
23-21
17-26
24-22
22-28
24-20
19-14
30-19
24-22
17-23
11-28
23-21
17-22
23-22
25-31
29-28
18-27
21-20
21-14
18-20
23-27
16-19
17-19
17-18
26-17
29-21
21-20
24-15
25-22
168.0Avg total
83.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.695.4178.0-12.820%
Season at home (3)89.796.0185.7-6.333%
Season away (2)72.094.5166.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)83.884.2168.0-0.460%
Last 5 (5)84.286.8171.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.986.3167.2-5.440%
vs Similar (4)73.869.5143.2+4.2100%
vs Weaker (16)87.875.6163.4+12.288%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
SaratovBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/10
VTB United League
Nevezis
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H28/10
VTB United League
Benfica
#45
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
32-63
32
63
-31
H05/11
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#15
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/11
VTB United League
Nevezis
#19
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Minsk
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A19/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H02/12
VTB United League
85.3Avg total
41.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.384.6-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.441.484.9+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)41.243.184.3-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.885.3-2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.085.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.449.589.9-9.112%-
vs Similar (10)40.241.081.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.238.683.8+6.783%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#15
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A28/10
LPB
Saratov
#18
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H05/11
LPB
Nevezis
#19
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#15
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H18/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/11
LPB
Electrico FC
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A01/12
LPB
81.8Avg total
38.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.377.2+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.338.379.7+3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)36.538.374.8-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.181.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.744.581.2-7.810%-
vs Similar (4)34.834.869.5+0.025%-
vs Weaker (16)41.435.376.7+6.169%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saratov wins
0
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
01/11/17Benfica v Saratov86-97
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/17HNizhny Novgorod84-75
19/11/17AMinsk85-82
15/11/17HNevezis75-86
11/11/17AUnics Kazan82-89
08/11/17ABakken Bears85-97
05/11/17HLokomotiv Kuban77-110
01/11/17ABenfica97-86
28/10/17HBC Kalev/Cramo82-77
24/10/17ANevezis83-84
22/10/17ACSKA Moscow66-93
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/17AElectrico FC99-78
29/11/17AOliveirense76-73
18/11/17HOvarense83-81
15/11/17HBakken Bears95-108
08/11/17ANevezis68-94
05/11/17HCAB Madeira97-75
01/11/17HSaratov86-97
28/10/17AGalitos81-70
25/10/17ABakken Bears76-95
21/10/17HFC Porto77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
FIBA Europe Cup 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game83.275.588.3
Allowed / game85.279.589.0
Point differential-2.0-4.0-0.7
Avg total168.4155.0177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
FIBA Europe Cup 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game82.689.772.0
Allowed / game95.496.094.5
Point differential-12.8-6.3-22.5
Avg total178.0185.7166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kormend98189%81.376.4+4.9
2 Cluj Napoca54180%88.876.2+12.6
3 Bakken Bears54180%91.880.6+11.2
4 Keravnos54180%84.474.4+10.0
5 Nizhny Novgorod54180%89.081.0+8.0
6 Kataja54180%85.681.0+4.6
7 Belfius Mons97278%78.868.3+10.4
8 Buyukcekmece97278%80.671.7+8.9
9 Le Portel75271%78.365.0+13.3
10 Spirou Charleroi75271%75.170.7+4.4
11 Szolnoki Olaj96367%86.777.0+9.7
12 Istanbul BB96367%77.773.9+3.8
13 Donar Groningen53260%73.861.8+12.0
14 Alba Fehervar53260%74.869.8+5.0
15 Minsk53260%74.871.4+3.4
16 Mornar Bar53260%72.269.2+3.0
17 Z-Mobile Prishtina53260%71.271.4-0.2
18 Antwerp Giants53260%80.481.0-0.6
19 Szombathely74357%88.985.3+3.6
20 Nevezis95456%82.376.4+5.9
21 Parma Perm42250%78.071.0+7.0
22 CSM Oradea21150%75.576.0-0.5
23 Trabzonspor21150%87.588.0-0.5
24 s.Oliver Wurzburg21150%69.070.0-1.0
25 Ostrow Wielkopolski21150%69.574.0-4.5
26 AEK Larnaca21150%72.578.0-5.5
27 Pardubice42250%74.280.5-6.2
28 BC Dnipro21150%78.085.5-7.5
29 Sodertalje21150%69.079.5-10.5
30 Rilski Sportist21150%71.583.5-12.0
31 FC Porto73443%77.778.3-0.6
32 Saratov52340%83.285.2-2.0
33 Basic-Fit Brussels52340%72.674.8-2.2
34 Academic52340%72.676.4-3.8
35 Bnei Herzliya93633%72.175.0-2.9
36 Kapfenberg Bulls51420%74.080.6-6.6
37 Benfica51420%82.695.4-12.8
38 Khimik71614%67.079.1-12.1
39 Balkan91811%79.184.2-5.1
40 CSU Sibiu2020%71.078.0-7.0
41 Tartu Ulikool2020%73.080.0-7.0
42 BC Steaua Bucuresti2020%73.582.0-8.5
43 Dinamo Tbilisi5050%66.480.2-13.8
44 Boras2020%66.581.5-15.0
45 Beroe2020%67.583.5-16.0
46 KR Basket2020%69.086.0-17.0
47 Rabotnicki2020%68.091.5-23.5
48 Karpos5050%74.097.8-23.8
49 KK Bosna5050%62.288.4-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov31252826110
Benfica1614202171
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