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Saratov vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 98-57
27-9 23-20 23-12 25-16
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game86.8
Saratov 🏆
vs
Position#21
Record6-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1
European cup2018
Meetings · Saratov v Kataja
12 Dec 2018
SAR98
KAT57
26 Oct 2016
SAR113
KAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
113-102
113
102
+11
A27/10
VTB United League
Den Bosch
#12
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-110
76
110
-34
A04/11
VTB United League
Nes Ziona
#6
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Minsk
#14
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H10/11
VTB United League
Pardubice
#45
W
129-91
129
91
+38
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Khimki M.
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A18/11
VTB United League
Den Bosch
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#10
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H25/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
A07/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-18
30-28
38-36
23-22
22-24
22-26
30-21
18-25
28-28
16-29
14-28
19-28
18-23
27-32
22-21
31-27
23-16
18-25
23-31
33-27
32-27
31-17
33-20
20-26
17-26
18-14
22-19
27-15
19-24
13-22
30-18
17-24
32-16
18-24
16-21
15-16
22-20
36-13
25-26
186.6Avg total
94.3Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.386.8183.2+9.583%
Season at home (3)97.778.0175.7+19.7100%
Season away (3)95.095.7190.7-0.767%
Last 10 (10)94.392.3186.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)95.283.0178.2+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.093.6180.6-6.629%
vs Similar (11)86.483.3169.6+3.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.988.2183.1+6.875%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#31
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H04/11
Korisliiga
Aris
#14
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kobrat
#8
W
103-94
103
94
+9
A09/11
Korisliiga
Lukoil Levski
#8
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ura Basket
#11
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H17/11
Korisliiga
BC Dnipro
#31
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Nokia
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H25/11
Korisliiga
Kauhajoen Karhu
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A05/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
L
93-109
93
109
-16
A07/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
15-12
26-24
25-23
25-20
19-21
21-20
22-23
16-26
19-20
20-16
33-24
30-25
28-23
22-27
23-19
26-25
32-28
17-19
20-30
26-24
9-22
21-18
24-24
14-18
18-15
16-20
17-28
22-24
17-19
36-15
16-24
23-23
18-25
21-17
28-24
17-31
27-26
23-28
26-24
176.8Avg total
87.6Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.580.7163.2+1.860%
Season at home (5)91.882.8174.6+9.080%
Season away (5)73.278.6151.8-5.440%
Last 10 (10)87.689.2176.8-1.660%
Last 5 (5)83.889.8173.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)86.891.8178.5-5.038%
vs Similar (12)81.986.3168.2-4.442%
vs Weaker (10)85.982.6168.5+3.370%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
SaratovKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A27/10
VTB United League
Den Bosch
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A04/11
VTB United League
Nes Ziona
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Minsk
#14
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H10/11
VTB United League
Pardubice
#45
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Khimki M.
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A18/11
VTB United League
Den Bosch
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H25/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A07/12
VTB United League
91.3Avg total
46.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.144.389.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.443.390.7+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)43.145.288.3-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.291.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.844.291.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.446.792.1-1.343%-
vs Similar (11)42.542.585.0+0.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.344.691.9+2.867%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#31
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H04/11
Korisliiga
Aris
#14
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kobrat
#8
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A09/11
Korisliiga
Lukoil Levski
#8
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ura Basket
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H17/11
Korisliiga
BC Dnipro
#31
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Nokia
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H25/11
Korisliiga
Kauhajoen Karhu
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A07/12
Korisliiga
86.4Avg total
41.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.984.0+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.183.1+4.867%-
Last 30 away (15)40.344.784.9-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)41.944.586.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.483.6-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)44.147.992.0-3.838%-
vs Similar (12)39.839.879.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (10)43.339.783.0+3.660%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saratov wins
1
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
14/12/16Kataja v Saratov97-86
26/10/16Saratov v Kataja113-84
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/18ANizhny Novgorod98-75
25/11/18HVEF Riga83-85
21/11/18HDen Bosch89-79
18/11/18AKhimki M.77-85
14/11/18HPardubice129-91
10/11/18HMinsk95-99
07/11/18ANes Ziona86-104
04/11/18ACSKA Moscow76-110
31/10/18ADen Bosch97-93
27/10/18ABC Kalev/Cramo113-102
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/18APyrinto Tampere93-109
05/12/18AKauhajoen Karhu90-89
25/11/18HBC Nokia91-82
21/11/18ABC Dnipro65-81
17/11/18HUra Basket80-88
14/11/18HLukoil Levski95-102
09/11/18AKobrat103-94
07/11/18HAris88-86
04/11/18HKTP Kotka Basket87-84
31/10/18HBC Dnipro84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game96.397.795.0
Allowed / game86.878.095.7
Point differential+9.5+19.7-0.7
Avg total183.2175.7190.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game82.591.873.2
Allowed / game80.782.878.6
Point differential+1.8+9.0-5.4
Avg total163.2174.6151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears660100%105.575.7+29.8
2 Sassari87188%95.575.8+19.8
3 Varese65183%87.072.0+15.0
4 Saratov65183%96.386.8+9.5
5 Lukoil Levski65183%86.777.5+9.2
6 Szolnoki Olaj65183%84.879.0+5.8
7 Donar Groningen65183%78.873.3+5.5
8 Leiden86275%75.972.8+3.1
9 Alba Fehervar86275%84.481.8+2.6
10 Nes Ziona107370%91.281.9+9.3
11 Karsiyaka64267%81.772.8+8.8
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg64267%77.372.7+4.7
13 Z-Mobile Prishtina64267%84.385.5-1.2
14 AEK Larnaca64267%74.876.7-1.8
15 Balkan85362%79.074.5+4.5
16 Kataja106460%82.580.7+1.8
17 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
18 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
19 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
20 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
21 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
22 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
23 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
24 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
25 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
33 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
34 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov2723232598
Kataja920121657
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