Saratov will host Unics Kazan on 6 November 2026 in the VTB United League, with the model clearly favouring the Kazan side because of their 5-2 record, 96.4 points per game and 77.3 allowed, placing them fourth, compared with Saratov's 3-5 record, 74.1 points per game and 88.2 allowed, seventh; the Pythia model gives Unics a 98% chance to win and a 2% chance for Saratov, projecting a 68-94 score and a total of 162.2 points. Saratov has gone 2-1 at home, averaging 82.0 points and conceding 77.3, but has lost four of its last five games, including defeats to Dynamo Vladivostok 73-98 and CSKA Moscow 55-117, and a win over MBA Moscow 94-83; Unics has won four of its last five, with a 98.5 points per game average and 84.5 allowed on the road, and recent victories over Lokomotiv Kuban 80-107, MBA Moscow 83-56 and Uralmash Ekaterinburg 95-84. The teams have met ten times before, with Unics winning all ten and their last encounter ending 86-65 in favour of Kazan. The home line is 31.5, with a 68% chance that Unics will cover, while the total line is 164.5, with a 44% chance of the over, and the game has a 1% chance of going into overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Saratov winLost
2.4%fair 42.24
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unics Kazan winWon
97.6%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Saratov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 162 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (13%). The market's main line is 167.5.
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
49.0%
@ 1.59-8.9pp
Under 162.5
51.0%
@ 2.19+8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Marathon Be
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.19
Marathon Be
2.19
Over/Under 167.5 · main lineActual: Under 167.5
Over 167.5
36.8%
@ 1.96-13.0pp
Under 167.5
63.2%
@ 1.86+13.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.96
Marathon Be
1.96
Pinnacle
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.77
Marathon Be
1.77
Over/Under 172.5Actual: Under 172.5
Over 172.5
25.7%
Under 172.5
74.3%
@ 1.44
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.44
📊 3. Team Totals
Saratov total 64.5Actual: Saratov under 64.5
Over 64.5
64.0%
Under 64.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saratov total 68 · main lineActual: Saratov under 68
Over 68
50.6%
@ 1.87+0.6pp
Under 68
49.4%
@ 1.87-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Saratov total 72Actual: Saratov under 72
Over 72
34.7%
Under 72
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unics Kazan total 94Actual: Unics Kazan under 94
Over 94
49.8%
Under 94
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unics Kazan total 98 · main lineActual: Unics Kazan under 98
Over 98
33.8%
@ 1.86-16.5pp
Under 98
66.2%
@ 1.88+16.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Unics Kazan total 101.5Actual: Unics Kazan under 101.5
Over 101.5
22.6%
Under 101.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Saratov's side (positive = Saratov win). Pythia's expected margin is -25.8; Saratov win by 1+ in 1% of simulations.
Spread Saratov +27Actual: Saratov +27
SAR +27
54.3%
@ 2.36+15.1pp
UKA -27
45.7%
@ 1.57-15.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SAR
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathon Be
2.19
1xBet
2.19
UKA
Marathon Be
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.52
Spread Saratov +30 · main lineActual: Saratov +30
SAR +30
64.1%
@ 1.88+13.7pp
UKA -30
35.9%
@ 1.90-13.7pp
Best 5 market prices
SAR
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
UKA
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Spread Saratov +33Actual: Saratov +33
SAR +33
73.0%
@ 1.57+14.1pp
UKA -33
27.0%
@ 2.25-14.1pp
Best 5 market prices
SAR
Marathon Be
1.57
1xBet
1.57
UKA
Marathon Be
2.25
1xBet
2.25
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
SaratovUnics Kazan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Saratov +33
73.0%
1.57
Marathon Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Won
Saratov +34
75.7%
1.48
Marathon Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Saratov +32.5
71.1%
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathon Bet
1.62
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Won
Saratov +33.5
73.8%
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Marathon Bet
1.53
-
-
-
+13.6pp
Won
Saratov +34.5
76.3%
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.45
-
-
-
+13.6pp
Won
Saratov +32
70.2%
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.61
-
-
+12.7pp
Won
2nd half: Unics Kazan (regulation)
90.4%
1.06
Marathon Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Q3: Unics Kazan (regulation)
79.0%
1.19
Marathon Bet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Won
Q1: Unics Kazan (regulation)
79.7%
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathon Bet
1.13
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Q2: Unics Kazan (regulation)
79.2%
1.13
Marathon Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Saratov +38.5
84.9%
1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Saratov +38
84.6%
1.26
Marathon Bet
1.26
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Q1: Draw or Unics Kazan
83.5%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathon Bet
1.07
-
-
-
-
-
Saratov +37.5
83.0%
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Q2: Draw or Unics Kazan
82.8%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathon Bet
1.07
-
-
-
-
-
Q3: Draw or Unics Kazan
82.8%
1.02
Marathon Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
-
Saratov +37
82.6%
1.30
Marathon Bet
1.30
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Saratov +36.5
80.9%
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Saratov +36
80.5%
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.35
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Saratov +35.5
78.7%
1.39
Marathon Bet
1.39
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Saratov +35
78.2%
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.41
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 173.5
76.3%
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.40
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 173
75.8%
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.41
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 172.5
74.3%
1.44
Marathon Bet
1.44
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 172
73.7%
1.46
Marathon Bet
1.46
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 171.5
72.2%
1.49
Marathon Bet
1.49
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 171
71.6%
1.51
Marathon Bet
1.51
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 170.5
70.1%
1.54
Marathon Bet
1.54
-
-
-
-
-
Won
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They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saratovtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Saratov: 81.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
41.1
22.6
55.0%
-
45.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
22.5
8.5
37.8%
-
25.5
🏀Free throws
14.4
10.8
75.0%
-
10.8
Their opponents take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Unics Kazantheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Unics Kazan: 70.1 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
36.3
17.5
48.2%
-
35.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
21.1
7.1
33.6%
-
21.3
🏀Free throws
17.9
13.8
77.1%
-
13.8
Their opponents take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saratovtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Saratov: 84.6 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
38.9
21.5
55.3%
-
43.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.4
9.8
38.5%
-
29.3
🏀Free throws
16.5
12.3
74.4%
-
12.3
Their opponents take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Unics Kazantheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Unics Kazan: 70.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
35.6
17.7
49.8%
-
35.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
22.2
7.4
33.3%
-
22.2
🏀Free throws
16.6
12.9
77.7%
-
12.9
Their opponents take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saratov
LLWLLWLWLL
Unics Kazan
LWWWWWLLLL
#9
League position
#3
-19.1
Net rating
+4.7
100.9
Offensive rating
110.7
120.0
Defensive rating
106.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
20.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
33.5%
65.4%
Assist %
51.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%
Profile
■ Saratov■ Unics Kazan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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PythiaBasketballBETA
Saratov
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Kuban
Zenit Petersburg
Parma Perm
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
MBA Moscow
Dynamo Vladivostok
Enisey
Samara
