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Sassari W vs Virtus Bologna W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 74-69
13-22 23-19 18-13 20-15
Position#7
Record4-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game74.9
Sassari W 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna W
Italy
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game61.1
ItalySerie A1 WRound 11· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Women2023-24
Meetings · Sassari W v Virtus Bologna W
09 Dec 2023
SASS74
VIRT69
19 Mar 2023
SASS69
VIRT73
05 Feb 2022
SASS91
VIRT95
17 Oct 2020
SASS68
VIRT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Schio W
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 60
H21/10
Serie A1 W
Szekszard W
#29
W
85-69
85
69
+16
79avg 60
H26/10
EuroCup Women
Ragusa W
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
52avg 60
A29/10
Serie A1 W
Estudiantes W
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
43avg 60
A01/11
EuroCup Women
Venezia W
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
37avg 60
A04/11
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
70avg 60
A19/11
Serie A1 W
Chomutov W
#44
W
88-65
88
65
+23
90avg 60
H23/11
EuroCup Women
Battipaglia W
#12
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 60
H26/11
Serie A1 W
Szekszard W
#29
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 60
A29/11
EuroCup Women
Brixia W
#10
W
82-64
82
64
+18
77avg 60
A02/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
22-19
10-21
14-15
26-16
18-23
26-16
15-14
16-18
19-19
16-14
14-20
11-13
14-10
5-17
17-14
12-28
16-17
6-25
18-14
17-13
21-12
19-26
22-18
32-11
24-22
14-19
18-13
22-24
24-17
23-14
12-23
24-17
17-24
14-20
17-22
24-11
17-21
12-13
29-19
145.2Avg total
72.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.274.9145.1-4.744%
Season at home (4)76.882.5159.2-5.850%
Season away (5)65.068.8133.8-3.840%
Last 10 (10)72.972.3145.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)80.471.8152.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.577.8141.2-14.20%
vs Similar (9)71.074.0145.0-3.044%
vs Weaker (11)78.070.3148.3+7.782%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 67
A25/10
Euroleague Women
San Martino W
#9
L
60-67
60
67
-7
45avg 67
A28/10
Serie A1 W
CBK Mersin W
#7
L
65-73
65
73
-8
60avg 67
H01/11
Euroleague Women
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
80-51
80
51
+29
83avg 67
H04/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
W
61-54
61
54
+7
55avg 67
A16/11
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
94-62
94
62
+32
105avg 67
H19/11
Serie A1 W
USK Prague W
#2
L
69-90
69
90
-21
59avg 67
H22/11
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#14
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 67
A29/11
Euroleague Women
Venezia W
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
65avg 67
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Polkowice W
#11
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
65avg 67
A06/12
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
14-10
18-22
14-17
7-18
15-17
20-22
18-10
16-20
14-19
20-20
15-14
23-4
19-13
23-17
15-17
12-17
23-12
10-10
16-15
23-19
28-9
23-25
20-9
15-28
10-22
19-23
25-17
20-22
22-22
9-7
17-19
19-29
18-18
18-17
14-16
22-24
13-15
14-14
20-16
141.2Avg total
70.6Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.861.1134.9+12.778%
Season at home (5)78.863.0141.8+15.880%
Season away (4)67.558.8126.2+8.875%
Last 10 (10)70.670.6141.2+0.030%
Last 5 (5)75.676.6152.2-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
vs Similar (9)74.378.2152.6-3.922%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)75.861.8137.7+14.089%
This opponent (Sassari W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
Sassari WVirtus Bologna W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sassari WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H21/10
Serie A1 W
Szekszard W
#29
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H26/10
EuroCup Women
Ragusa W
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/10
Serie A1 W
Estudiantes W
#6
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A01/11
EuroCup Women
Venezia W
#1
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A04/11
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A19/11
Serie A1 W
Chomutov W
#44
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H23/11
EuroCup Women
Battipaglia W
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H26/11
Serie A1 W
Szekszard W
#29
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/11
EuroCup Women
Brixia W
#10
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A02/12
Serie A1 W
77.4Avg total
40.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.974.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.236.376.5+3.969%-
Last 30 away (17)36.935.672.5+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.677.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.478.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.239.979.1-0.638%-
vs Similar (9)35.836.472.2-0.756%-
vs Weaker (11)41.933.775.6+8.291%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ESB Villeneuve W
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A25/10
Euroleague Women
San Martino W
#9
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A28/10
Serie A1 W
CBK Mersin W
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H01/11
Euroleague Women
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
42-17
42
17
+25
H04/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A16/11
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H19/11
Serie A1 W
USK Prague W
#2
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H22/11
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/11
Euroleague Women
Venezia W
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Polkowice W
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/12
Euroleague Women
71.6Avg total
34.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.473.8+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.375.1+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.135.472.5+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)34.936.771.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.050.075.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (9)37.439.476.9-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.932.271.2+6.778%-
This opponent (Sassari W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassari Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari W: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.115.3
42.4%
45.7%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.1
32.3%
32.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.614.2
80.7%
74.9%14.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bologna Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna W: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.0
48.3%
45.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.7
32.5%
32.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
74.9%12.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari W
WLWWWLLLWL
Virtus Bologna W
LLLLWWWLLL
#7
League position
#3
+0.8
Net rating
+0.3
95.0
Offensive rating
94.7
94.3
Defensive rating
94.4
45.0%
Effective FG%
48.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
20.6%
Turnover %
20.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.3%
3-point %
32.5%
68.4%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 94.7Defence94.3 · 94.4Shooting45.0% · 48.5%3-point %32.3% · 32.5%Ball care20.6% · 20.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 22.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Sassari W   ■ Virtus Bologna W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sassari W wins
6
Virtus Bologna W wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Sassari W v Virtus Bologna W69-73
18/12/22Virtus Bologna W v Sassari W88-52
05/02/22Sassari W v Virtus Bologna W91-95
06/11/21Virtus Bologna W v Sassari W97-71
23/01/21Virtus Bologna W v Sassari W86-65
17/10/20Sassari W v Virtus Bologna W68-72
Sassari Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ABrixia W82-64
29/11/23ASzekszard W72-83
26/11/23HBattipaglia W81-78
23/11/23HChomutov W88-65
19/11/23ASanga Milano W79-69
04/11/23AVenezia W52-84
01/11/23AEstudiantes W47-54
29/10/23ARagusa W65-71
26/10/23HSzekszard W85-69
21/10/23HSchio W78-86
Virtus Bologna Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23APolkowice W78-81 OT
03/12/23HVenezia W69-80
29/11/23ALandes W68-70
22/11/23HUSK Prague W69-90
19/11/23HOxygen Roma W94-62
16/11/23ACampobasso W61-54
04/11/23HSanga Milano W80-51
01/11/23HCBK Mersin W65-73
28/10/23ASan Martino W60-67
25/10/23AESB Villeneuve W62-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game70.276.865.0
Allowed / game74.982.568.8
Point differential-4.7-5.8-3.8
Avg total145.1159.2133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %11%25%0%
Virtus Bologna W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL78%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game73.878.867.5
Allowed / game61.163.058.8
Point differential+12.7+15.8+8.8
Avg total134.9141.8126.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia W990100%76.957.3+19.6
2 Schio W87188%78.062.6+15.4
3 Virtus Bologna W97278%73.861.1+12.7
4 San Martino W86275%74.870.0+4.8
5 Campobasso W96367%64.760.3+4.3
6 San Giovanni W85362%63.262.2+1.0
7 Ragusa W84450%70.069.2+0.8
8 Sassari W94544%70.274.9-4.7
9 Oxygen Roma W82625%71.875.4-3.6
10 Brixia W82625%60.673.4-12.8
11 Faenza W92722%63.369.2-5.9
12 Sanga Milano W81712%62.978.5-15.6
13 Battipaglia W9090%59.176.1-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari W1323182074
Virtus Bologna W2219131569
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