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Satria Muda vs Bali United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 101-88
24-22 20-17 31-34 26-15
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#7
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game68.8
IndonesiaIBL· Pertamina arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Satria Muda v Bali United
13 Jun 2025
SATR104
BALI74
03 Mar 2024
SATR101
BALI88
08 Jul 2023
SATR75
BALI67
31 Jan 2023
SATR85
BALI65
10 Mar 2022
SATR57
BALI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Satria Muda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bali United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Satria MudaIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMuda
Date
Competition
Bali United
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
A06/07
IBL
Bali United
#7
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
H08/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
A13/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H15/07
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
W
94-72
94
72
+22
89avg 84
H13/01
IBL
Dewa United
#2
L
92-101
92
101
-9
77avg 84
H14/01
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
W
100-77
100
77
+23
105avg 84
A20/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
72avg 84
A21/01
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 84
A03/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
W
86-57
86
57
+29
83avg 84
H01/03
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
19-17
16-22
14-13
26-23
17-21
19-12
13-11
12-16
15-22
10-28
30-14
20-19
24-22
20-20
20-26
31-23
17-13
20-23
26-13
22-26
20-15
22-30
28-30
28-24
23-21
25-20
24-12
19-22
25-23
20-23
17-18
25-18
23-16
19-26
18-20
17-21
29-10
18-18
22-8
160.5Avg total
83.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.778.8168.5+10.867%
Season at home (3)90.776.7167.3+14.067%
Season away (3)88.781.0169.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)83.776.8160.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)88.880.2169.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)79.481.3160.7-1.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)78.867.3146.1+11.591%
This opponent (Bali United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bali UnitedIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Hangtuah
#11
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H17/06
IBL
NSH Mountain Gold
#14
W
93-60
93
60
+33
no box
A19/06
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#12
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A21/06
IBL
Satria Muda
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
H06/07
IBL
Satria Muda
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A08/07
IBL
Hangtuah
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
86avg 74
H13/01
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
W
80-50
80
50
+30
83avg 74
H14/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#6
L
68-92
68
92
-24
53avg 74
A20/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
68avg 74
A21/01
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
78avg 74
H03/02
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
25-20
21-9
23-18
25-15
25-10
25-14
18-21
26-13
18-21
23-21
19-14
9-24
17-19
22-16
13-14
23-26
21-17
12-19
11-13
20-25
26-12
19-13
19-22
9-19
22-13
29-7
20-11
21-24
21-19
9-25
17-24
25-17
25-18
18-16
11-13
27-20
22-22
12-11
16-13
147.5Avg total
79.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.668.8146.4+8.880%
Season at home (3)80.362.7143.0+17.7100%
Season away (2)73.578.0151.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)79.068.5147.5+10.570%
Last 5 (5)77.668.8146.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.680.6154.1-7.014%
vs Similar (8)78.675.9154.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (15)82.067.6149.6+14.473%
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Satria MudaBali United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Satria MudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bali United
#7
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A06/07
IBL
Bali United
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H08/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#2
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A13/07
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H15/07
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H13/01
IBL
Dewa United
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H14/01
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A20/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/01
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A03/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H01/03
IBL
81.7Avg total
43.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.475.3+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.037.178.1+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.933.672.5+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.181.7+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.285.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)38.440.779.1-2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.433.774.2+6.765%-
This opponent (Bali United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bali UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hangtuah
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H17/06
IBL
NSH Mountain Gold
#14
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A19/06
IBL
Rajawali Medan
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/06
IBL
Satria Muda
#3
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H06/07
IBL
Satria Muda
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A08/07
IBL
Hangtuah
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/01
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#13
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A20/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#8
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/01
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H03/02
IBL
80.4Avg total
43.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.879.0+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.237.576.6+1.754%-
Last 30 away (17)42.738.180.8+4.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.180.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.881.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.643.781.3-6.129%-
vs Similar (8)43.540.083.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (15)41.633.975.5+7.760%-
This opponent (Satria Muda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Satria Mudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Satria Muda: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.2
54.5%
50.4%48.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.5
32.5%
29.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.08.5
56.7%
64.7%8.5
They take 76.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bali Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bali United: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.622.6
46.5%
50.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.6
30.3%
29.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.812.0
67.4%
64.7%12.0
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Satria Muda
WWLWLWLLWW
Bali United
WWLWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#7
+12.1
Net rating
+11.8
101.7
Offensive rating
96.9
89.6
Defensive rating
85.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
46.2%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
38.0%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.5%
3-point %
30.3%
71.2%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 96.9Defence89.6 · 85.0Shooting52.1% · 46.2%3-point %32.5% · 30.3%Ball care19.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Satria Muda   ■ Bali United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Satria Muda wins
0
Bali United wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24HBima Perkasa Yogyakarta86-57
03/02/24ABima Perkasa Yogyakarta85-80
21/01/24ARANS PIK81-86
20/01/24APelita Jaya100-77
14/01/24HDewa United92-101
13/01/24HBumi Borneo94-72
15/07/23HPelita Jaya84-87
13/07/23APelita Jaya67-80
08/07/23HBali United75-67
06/07/23ABali United73-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HPrawira Bandung77-66
21/01/24ABumi Borneo79-64
20/01/24ARANS PIK68-92
14/01/24HBima Perkasa Yogyakarta80-50
13/01/24HHangtuah84-72
08/07/23ASatria Muda67-75
06/07/23HSatria Muda61-73
21/06/23ARajawali Medan86-69
19/06/23ANSH Mountain Gold93-60
17/06/23HHangtuah95-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Satria Muda
IBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game89.790.788.7
Allowed / game78.876.781.0
Point differential+10.8+14.0+7.7
Avg total168.5167.3169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bali United
IBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game77.680.373.5
Allowed / game68.862.778.0
Point differential+8.8+17.7-4.5
Avg total146.4143.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dewa United550100%91.673.2+18.4
2 Pelita Jaya65183%89.280.3+8.8
3 Kesatria Bengawan Solo54180%75.062.8+12.2
4 Bali United54180%77.668.8+8.8
5 Satria Muda64267%89.778.8+10.8
6 RANS PIK64267%81.874.8+7.0
7 Rajawali Medan85362%73.976.2-2.4
8 Prawira Bandung74357%73.072.3+0.7
9 Hangtuah63350%73.770.8+2.8
10 Tangerang Hawks63350%80.779.3+1.3
11 Pacific Caesar Surabaya71614%77.987.3-9.4
12 Satya Wacana71614%63.074.4-11.4
13 Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta71614%61.782.9-21.1
14 Bumi Borneo7070%71.181.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Satria Muda24203126101
Bali United2217341588
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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